DAT 640 Practical R Activity Four
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DAT 640 Practical R Activity Four
Interactive Data
Overview: For this activity, you will be exploring visualizations and interacting with data through regression algorithms. First, you will explore potential visualization packages and identify one to apply to a data set. You can use any data set for this, such as the many built into R or those found online. Next, we will work through the three uCertify labs to build a linear regression model and plot the output as visuals.
Instructions:
Complete the lab activities below. Provide responses to the questions and screenshots when prompted. Please note: This assignment will be submitted and graded in Brightspace. Part 1
: Using the uCertify lab environment and RStudio, choose a visualization package of your choice, explore a data set of your choice, and produce at least two interactive plots, such as marginal, splom, and parallel coordinate plots. Provide screenshots of your results and a summary describing the details of the visual and benefits to view and analyze the underlying data.
Ggvis is one data visualization package for R that lets you declaratively describe data graphics and leverages standard web browsers to publish rich interactive graphics. A good overview and tutorial examples can be found at Gg
v
is
0
.4
O
v
er
v
i
ew
. In addition to ggvis, there are several alternative visualization packages: ggplot2, lattice, and ggcorplot, to name a few (for information on these, review F
i
v
e
Wa
y
s
to
Vis
u
ali
z
e
Y
o
u
r
P
ai
r
w
i
s
e
C
o
mp
ari
s
on
s
). Within uCertify, choose one of these packages to complete the two interactive plots.
Part 2
: Complete the uCertify
Lab 5.1.1 Plotting Data with a Regression Line
, Lab 5.3.1 Measuring the Goodness of Fit of the Regression
, and Lab 5.9.1 Verifying the Regression Assumptions
. Take screenshots of each illustrating successful execution of the R commands.
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Related Questions
The following Figure: Illustration of business intelligence original objective as a focus area and the resulting actual implementations
Distinguish business intelligence from business analytics regarding the focus of the eight
analytical steps. [500 Words add References]
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Answer number 1 only. Full solution. Unique answers only.
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Hide Assignment Information
Instructions
Exercise #5
For this week exercise, we need to try a few logit models (see this link for more information: LOGIT REGRESSION)
If you have chosen to work with Excel, please run above three models and complete the following tables.
Model 1: Run a regression model and use being a member of network and find out its impact on hospital cost? (Model 1) Model 2: For the 2nd model run a regression model and use being a member of network and find out its impact on hospital cost and hospital revenue? (Model 2) Model 3: For the 3rd model run a regression model and use being a member of network and find out its impact on ratio-Medicare-discharge and ratio-Medicaid-discharge.
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Part 1
The accompanying dataset provides the closing prices for four stocks and the stock exchange over 12 days. Complete parts a through c.
Part 1
a. Use Excel's Data Analysis Exponential Smoothing tool to forecast each of the stock prices using simple exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of
0.3.
Complete the exponential smoothing forecast model for stock B.
(Type integers or decimals rounded to two decimal places as needed.)
Date
Forecast B
09/03/2010
09/07/2010
09/08/2010
09/09/2010
09/10/2010
09/13/2010
09/14/2010
09/15/2010
09/16/2010
09/17/2010
09/20/2010
09/21/2010
Date A B C D Stock Exchange09/03/2010 128.82 18.38 21.22 15.37 10,462.5509/07/2010 124.78 18.27 20.54 15.54 10,262.8409/08/2010 126.03 17.86 20.68 15.77 10,351.6809/09/2010 125.91 17.98 20.43 15.99 10,319.1309/10/2010 126.87 17.87…
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The number of internal disk drives (in millions) made at a plant in Taiwan during the past 5 years follows:
TT
Year
Disk Drives
1
140
2
160
190
4
200
210
a) Using simple linear regression, the forecast for the number of disk drives to be made next year =
disk drives (round your
response to one decimal place).
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Answer number 3 only. Full solution. Unique answers only.
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4. What is the difference between trend and seasonality in time series data?
5. Here are the errors associated with a particular forecast over the past 5 months, in
chronological order: 5, 10, -15, 0, 8. In which month was the forecast perfectly
accurate? In which month was the forecast the least accurate? In which month or
months was the forecast too high? (Noteshaper Ramp Up # 23)
6. Tutoring Center needs to allocate tutors this week for office appointments, so it needs
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Time Period
Code
Student Appointments
Jan 6 - 10
95
Jan 13 - 17
80
Jan 20 - 24
65
Jan 27 – 31
4
50
a) What is the naïve forecast for the number of student appointments for Time
Period 5 (Feb 3– 7)?
b) What is the 2 week moving average for Time Period 5?
c) What is the 3 week moving average for Time Period 5?
d) What is the forecast for Time Period 5 using exponential smoothing with alpha =…
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1. A forecaster must decide on the value of this factor before he can use the simple moving average model. *
a. Actual demand for each period
b. Averaging period
c. Exponential smoothing constant
d.Weights
2. A forecaster must decide on the value of this factor before he can use the exponential smoothing model. *
a. Actual demand for each period
b. Averaging period
c. Exponential smoothing constant
d. Weights
3. A forecaster must calculate this value to assess the accuracy of a time series forecasting model. *
a. Averaging period
b. Correlation coefficient
c. Exponential smoothing constant
d. Mean absolute deviation
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Peter is working on a
report to forecast sales.
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Next
ntum All rights reserved.
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TaskTime (min)Immediate predecessor
A4-
B7-
C6A, B
D5C
E6D
F7E
G8E
I6F, G
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38
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a.
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b.
Unit method and linear programming
c.
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d.
Top down and learning curve analysis
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Forecasting
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4
.Substitute for Problem # 4 on in attachment)-Calculate the MAD,revised MAD and the Revised Forecast for months 1-6 for the following three groups,where the Forecast stands for Forecast Demand.Has your forecast improved ? Tell me how would you go about improving the revised forecast( for each of the three groups)without actually doing so?
Estate Planning Group Auditing and Accounting Group Business Consulting Group
Month Actual Demand Forecast Actual Demand Forecast Actual Demand Forecast
1 100 125 270 230 140 135
2 90 125 240 230 130 135
3 110 125 280 230 160 135
4 115 125 260 230 180 135
5 130 125 300 230 200 135
6 115 125 220 230 190 135
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2. Calculate the exponential smoothing forecast for week eight using a=0.2.
Week
Sales
Forecast
1
39
2
44
3
40
4
45
5
38
6
43
7
39
a. 41.63
b. 39.98
c. 40.54
d. 40.03
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a.
a & b is correct
b.
Cross-sectional data
c.
Time Series data
d.
Panel data
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Ten weeks of data on the Commodity Futures Index are 7.36, 7.41, 7.56, 7.57, 7.61, 7.53, 7.53, 7.71, 7.63, and 7.56.
(a) Construct a time series plot.
1
2
3
4
What type of pattern exists in the data?
Week
5
The data appear to follow a horizontal pattern.
O The data appear to follow a cyclical pattern.
O The data appear to follow a trend pattern.
O The data appear to follow a seasonal pattern.
6
8.5-
8.3
8.1
7.9+
7
7.7
7.5-
8
7.3
7.1
6.9
6.7
6.5 +
01 23 4567 7 8 9 10 11
Week
9
8.5-
8.3-
10
8.1
7.9
7.7+
7.5-
7.3
7.1
6.9
6.7
6.5
0 1 2
Time Series
Value
7.36
7.41
7.56
(b) Use trial and error to find a value of the exponential smoothing coefficient a that results in a relatively small MSE. (Round
your answers to two decimal places.)
7.57
7.61
7.53
3 4
7.53
7.71
5 67 7 8 9 10 11
Week
7.63
7.56
a = 0.1
Forecast
α = 0.3
Forecast
J
C
O
Index
DIC
a = 0.8
Forecast
8.5
8.3-
8.1
7.9
7.7
7.5-
7.3
7.1
6.9
6.7
6.5
0
8.5 T
8.3-
8.1
7.9-
7.7-
7.5
7.3
7.1
6.9-
6.7-
6.5
1
2 3 4 5 678
Week
+
0 1 2 3 4
8 9…
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