ACC 345 Business Valuation Report Template (1)

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Summary Business Valuation Report of Netflix, Inc.
Netflix, Inc. Report Date, 2022 < Contents TOC \O "1-3" \H \Z \U INTRODUCTION PAGEREF _TOC520208257 \H 3 HYPERLINK \l "_Toc520208258" Nature, Background, and History PAGEREF _Toc520208258 \h 4 Facilities PAGEREF _Toc520208259 \h 4 HYPERLINK \l "_Toc520208260" Customers PAGEREF _Toc520208260 \h 4 Management PAGEREF _Toc520208261 \h 4 HYPERLINK \l "_Toc520208262" Competition PAGEREF _Toc520208262 \h 4 Strengths and Weaknesses PAGEREF _Toc520208263 \h 4 HYPERLINK \l "_Toc520208264" Ownership PAGEREF _Toc520208264 \h 4 Major Shareholder Transactions PAGEREF _Toc520208265 \h 4 HYPERLINK \l "_Toc520208266" Business Risks PAGEREF _Toc520208266 \h 4 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS PAGEREF _TOC520208267 \H 5 HYPERLINK \ L "_T OC 520208268" F INANCIAL A NALYSIS O VERVIEW PAGEREF _T OC 520208268 \ H 5 B ALANCE S HEETS PAGEREF _T OC 520208269 \ H 5 HYPERLINK \l "_Toc520208270" Assets PAGEREF _Toc520208270 \h 5 Liabilities PAGEREF _Toc520208271 \h 5 HYPERLINK \l "_Toc520208272" Stockholder’s Equity PAGEREF _Toc520208272 \h 6 I NCOME S TATEMENTS PAGEREF _T OC 520208273 \ H 6 HYPERLINK \ L "_T OC 520208274" N ORMALIZATION A DJUSTMENTS PAGEREF _T OC 520208274 \ H 6 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK PAGEREF _TOC520208275 \H 7 HYPERLINK \ L "_T OC 520208276" I NDUSTRY A NALYSIS PAGEREF _T OC 520208276 \ H 7 Industry Overview PAGEREF _Toc520208277 \h 7 HYPERLINK \l "_Toc520208278" Competitive Landscape PAGEREF _Toc520208278 \h 7 Products, Operations and Technology PAGEREF _Toc520208279 \h 7 HYPERLINK \l "_Toc520208280" Sales and Marketing PAGEREF _Toc520208280 \h 7 Finance and Regulation PAGEREF _Toc520208281 \h 7 HYPERLINK \l "_Toc520208282" Regional and International Issues PAGEREF _Toc520208282 \h 7 Labor Trends PAGEREF _Toc520208283 \h 7 HYPERLINK \ L "_T OC 520208284" G ENERAL E CONOMIC A NALYSIS PAGEREF _T OC 520208284 \ H 7 Interest rates PAGEREF _Toc520208285 \h 7 HYPERLINK \l "_Toc520208286" GDP PAGEREF _Toc520208286 \h 7
International and Domestic Trade Policy PAGEREF _Toc520208287 \h 7 HYPERLINK \l "_Toc520208288" Monetary Policy PAGEREF _Toc520208288 \h 7 Fiscal Policy PAGEREF _Toc520208289 \h 7 HYPERLINK \L "_TOC520208290" BUSINESS VALUATION PAGEREF _TOC520208290 \H 8 V ALUATION A PPROACHES PAGEREF _T OC 520208291 \ H 8 HYPERLINK \l "_Toc520208292" Asset Approach PAGEREF _Toc520208292 \h 8 Income Approach PAGEREF _Toc520208293 \h 8 HYPERLINK \l "_Toc520208294" Market Approaches PAGEREF _Toc520208294 \h 8 S ELECTED M ETHOD - I NCOME A PPROACH PAGEREF _T OC 520208295 \ H 8 HYPERLINK \l "_Toc520208296" Prospective Analysis PAGEREF _Toc520208296 \h 8 Discount rate PAGEREF _Toc520208297 \h 9 HYPERLINK \l "_Toc520208298" Valuation calculation PAGEREF _Toc520208298 \h 10 DISCOUNTS AND PREMIUMS PAGEREF _TOC520208299 \H 11 HYPERLINK \ L "_T OC 520208300" D ISCOUNT FOR L ACK OF C ONTROL PAGEREF _T OC 520208300 \ H 11 D ISCOUNT FOR L ACK OF M ARKETABILITY PAGEREF _T OC 520208301 \ H 11 HYPERLINK \L "_TOC520208302" FINAL CALCULATION OF VALUE PAGEREF _TOC520208302 \H 12 SOURCES PAGEREF _TOC520208303 \H 13 >
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INTRODUCTION Description of the Assignment The intended use for this is the sole purpose of sale of a minority stake for Netflix Inc.’s value. The objective for this summary is to provide Netflix’s financial statements to evaluate the businesses value and health. This summary analysis will be very informative when it comes to decisions that are being considered for redevelopment, improvements, or investments for operational performance. Standard of Value The value of Netflix’s business is a going concern and is not a liquidation or other premise. It is a fair market value as opposed to liquidation, fair value, investment value or some other standard. This valuation will provide a detailed description of Netflix Inc.’s prior revenue, tangible and intangible assets, expenses, liabilities, and Netflix’s employees who operate the company. Management and potential investors will be able to use this information to make future forecasts for Netflix Inc.’s profitability and investment opportunities. 4
Netflix, Inc. Brief History/Overview 0 Nature, Background, and History Netflix Inc. was founded in 1997 in Scotts Valley, California by Reed Hastings and Marc Randolph which started off as an online movie rental service. Their marketing strategy was unlimited rentals with no shipping and handling charges, due dates, and late fees which started to pull in new customers. By 2002, “Netflix goes public in May. The IPO raises $82.1 million and values Netflix at $309.7 million. Reed has 500,000 shares, and Marc has 166,000 shares. Netflix opens regional warehouses, bringing overnight delivery in response to subscriber complaints that it took too long to get their DVDs” (Kariuki, 2022). In 2006, Reed and Marc began making a profit from Netflix of $80 million and the subscribers rose to 6.3 million. In 2007, Netflix began streaming through their Watch Now service in Canada that allowed customers to watch the content on televisions, tablets, and computers. In 2010, they introduced Netflix to the United States and became a streaming business that offered DVDs by mail. In 2011, Netflix lost 800,000 subscribers due to them splitting their DVD rental company and streaming business into two different packages. In 2012, they started to make original shows and since then they won a lot of awards and the Squid Game and The Crown became extremely popular. In 2021, they provided streaming in 190 countries and had 209 million subscribers. China, Syria, North Korea, and Iran are notable exceptions. Mobile games were introduced on Netflix so that users could play games. Now in 2022, lost 200,000 subscribers in the first quarter which hasn’t happened in over 10 years (Kariuki, 2022). 1 Facilities Netflix Inc.’s facilities for their office locations are located in Los Angeles, California; Los Gatos, California; New York, New York; Salt Lake City, Utah; Washington, DC; Toronto, Canada; Amsterdam, Netherlands; Berlin, Germany; London, United Kingdom; Madrid, Spain; Paris, France; Rome, Italy; Istanbul, Turkey; Stockholm, Sweden; Copenhagen, Denmark; Warsaw, Poland, Alphaville, Brazil; Mexico City, Mexico; Buenos Aires, Argentina; Bogota, Colombia; Bangkok, Thailand; Hsinchu City, Taiwan; Jakarta, Indonesia; Manila, Philippines; Mumbai, India; Seoul, South Korea; Singapore, Singapore; Sydney, Australia; and Tokyo, Japan (Netflix, n.d.) Netflix’s corporate headquarters is located in Los Gatos, California (N.D., 2022). 2 Customers In quarter 3 of 2022, Netflix had approximately 223 million paid subscribers worldwide. The company had an increase of almost 2.5 million subscribers from quarter 2. Netflix Inc. has a total of 73 million global subscribers that are based in Canada and the United States (Stoll, 2022). The business has a majority of African Americans and Hispanics as their subscribers than they do Caucasians. The customers ages that use the service range from 18-54 years old (Stoll, 2022). 3 Management 4
Netflix Inc. has a unitary or U-form organizational structure which maintains the direction and executive control throughout the organization. The business executives all report to the Chief Executive Officer (CEO). The management levels are reduced when using this design that is needed to escalate issues from the bottom-line of the online companies to its headquarters. The main 3 corporate structures for Netflix include functional groups for online and non-online operations, geographical divisions for managing regional markets, and divisions for various product types and operation types (Anderson, 2019). Functional groups for online and non-online operations are based on human resources which is one of the business functions that the company’s corporate structure is referred to as Talent. Since the business has minimized levels of middle management the organizational structure is relatively flat. This enables the company’s organization to respond rapidly to changes in the entertainment industry. Netflix Inc. promotes cooperation and open communication which is from their corporate culture. “Netflix’s organizational structure has the following main functional groups or offices: 1. CEO 2. Legal 3. Talent 4. Finance 5. Product 6. Content 7. Communications” (Anderson, 2019). The geographical divisions managing regional markets enable strategic management that are specific to characteristics of the regional market. The multinational market trends are reflected by the different geographic segments that are most significant to Netflix Inc.’s strategic plan for their member base to grow which targets customers entertainment preferences by aligning the marketing strategies. “The on-demand digital content streaming company’s corporate structure has the following divisions for its operating segments: 1. Domestic Streaming 2. International Streaming” (Anderson, 2019). Divisions for various product types and operation types outputs Netflix’s company model which is original programming and other content. The original programming is a major factor in the businesses corporate structure since it generates revenues through Netflix’s original movies and television shows while the business attracts more customers. However, the other content is associated more with the businesses organizational structure since the online platform streams or distributes such content. “The strategic objective of these organizational structural divisions is to achieve operational effectiveness in separately managing content distribution and content production. In summary, the following divisions are an aspect of Netflix’s corporate structure: 1. Original Programming 2. Other Content” (Anderson, 2019). 4 Competition 4
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Netflix’s competition is Disney Plus, HBO Max, Amazon Prime Video, CBS All Access, Hulu, Peacock, Apple TV+, YouTube TV, FuboTV, Sony Crackle, Showmax, and Curiosity Stream (Pereira, 2022). 5 Strengths and Weaknesses The businesses strengths are their brand, growth, customer base, content, adaptability, and price. Their weaknesses are copyrights, market over-dependence, costs, sustainability, and rigid pricing (Pereira, 2022). 6 Ownership Netflix is currently being owned by a majority of their institutional shareholders at 75.08%, Netflix’s insiders own 6.70%, and the retail investors own 18.22% (N.D., 2022). The institutional shareholders for Netflix are Capital Group at 9.1%, The Vanguard Group at 7.8%, BlackRock Inc. (BLK) at 6.3%, State Street Corporation (SSgA Funds Management) at 3.9%, and Fidelity Investments at 3.8% (Arrieche, 2022). 7 Major Shareholder Transactions The major shareholders among the businesses insiders are Leslie J. Kilgore at 35,196,000 shares, David A. Hyman at 31,610,000 shares and Gregory K. Peters at 13,090,000 shares (Arrieche, 2022). 8 Business Risks Netflix Inc.’s business risks involve strategy risk, competitive risk, supplier risk, regulation risk, and international risk. The strategy risk that the business has is that their content is more focused on providing original, interactive, and timely content. In 2019, the company spent more than 80% of 15.3 billion for original content production and it is increasing each year. Netflix changed their prices in 2017 and in 2019 which could affect the company by not as many members joining their services or existing customers cancelling their memberships. The business can be affected by new or existing competitors that could damage Netflix’s value by targeting its current existing market portion. “Netflix’s global expansion is also slowed by many local streaming service companies who are more easily accepted by local customers and more favored by local governments” (Yingxian, 2021). This could put the businesses future growth and development at a significant risk. The company relies on numerous partners to make its services available to consumers which these partners only stay for a year or two. “If Netflix can’t be successful in maintaining existing relationships and creating new ones with these partners, it might result in customer dissatisfaction and therefore adversely impact company value” (Yingxian, 2021). Netflix Inc. could be negatively impacted if the laws and regulations were to change concerning online services and the internet. There could be new fees or taxes due to the governments from other countries extending existing regulations to the companies services or by introducing new regulations. Netflix couldn’t completely expand globally or continue to grow their subscribers because many Asian countries have heavy restrictions when it comes to content. Netflix Inc. faces many risks with them expanding internationally. Netflix not only is dealing with the international governments restrictions but they are also facing the economic and intellectual challenges. The companies content doesn’t come in any other language except for English and it would cost them a lot of money to produce their content in another language to fit the local market. Another issue for the international market is the pricing. Most customers that are local don’t want to pay for limited library content and high subscription costs. The international customers would rather have local service providers. “Netflix needs to develop 4
different pricing strategies and systems for different markets according to the regional average income level” (Yingxian, 2021). 4
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS Financial Analysis Overview Guidance : This section should provide a general overview of the balance sheet, the major items present, the company’s capital structure, and any changes over time in these items. A common- size analysis (which is built in to your workbook) will help with this. Ask yourself questions such as, “Has the company taken on additional debt? If so, why?”, or “Does the company have a lot of Intangible Assets? If so, are they at risk for impairment?” Balance Sheets / Assets Liabilities PAGE 12
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Stockholder’s Equity Income Statements Guidance : Similar to the balance sheet write-up, discuss major line items and drivers of those line items. For example, are there increases in Cost of Goods Sold? If so, what are the drivers of those costs? / Normalization Adjustments Guidance : Discuss any normalization adjustments you’ve made. Remember, normalization adjustments are changes to the incomes statement (or balance sheet) that smooth out or “normalize” any anomalies that the company may have experienced. An example would be expenses related to a corporate merger or restructuring. This helps you in your prospective analysis by not including any unusual expenses or income. PAGE 12
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Industry Analysis Guidance : Research your industry by reviewing a select group of your company’s peers. By reviewing the annual report of 2-3 competitors you will get an understanding of these items below. You may also search the web for scholarly articles on your chosen industry or recent industry reports. Focus on the suggested items below: 9 Industry Overview 10 Competitive Landscape 11 Products, Operations and Technology 12 Sales and Marketing 13 Finance and Regulation 14 Regional and International Issues 15 Labor Trends General Economic Analysis Guidance : Research the primary economy in which your company operates. Use the U.S. as the default if it’s a global firm, but try to incorporate any important global factors if a majority of its operations is abroad. Focus on the factors suggested below: 16 Interest rates 17 GDP 18 International and Domestic Trade Policy 19 Monetary Policy 20 Fiscal Policy PAGE 12
BUSINESS VALUATION Valuation Approaches Guidance : Discuss the major approaches below even though you’ll only be calculating the Income Approach. Explain what they are and how they’re derived. 21 Asset Approach 22 Income Approach 23 Market Approaches Selected Method - Income Approach Guidance : Explain the mechanics of the calculation below. Discuss your selection for the cells in yellow – annual growth rate, and percentage of revenue for Gross Profit and Operating Expenses. 24 Prospective Analysis / PAGE 12
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25 Discount rate Guidance : Discuss the purpose of the discount rate in the valuation process. You do not have to explain each of these components, but note that they assign risk to different categories of the company. The risk-free rate is what a company would earn on a riskless government security. The equity risk premium is the risk above the risk-free rate one should expect on an equity security. The industry premium is the risk associated with a particular industry (i.e. manufacturing or retail). The specific company risk is a subjective amount applied by the valuation analyst based on his or her perception of the company’s risk. / PAGE 12
26 Valuation calculation Guidance : Discuss the mechanics of the calculation below. Provide your reasoning for the amounts chosen for the items in yellow (Depreciation, Capital expenditures, and Debt Reduction). / PAGE 12
DISCOUNTS AND PREMIUMS Discount for Lack of Control Guidance : You may choose a default discount amount of 15% or if you want to justify a higher or lower amount then you may do so. The following factors below should be considered in this discussion. Explain why each of these factors could only be done by a party with majority control and why a lack thereof could affect the value. Ability to appoint or change management Ability to determine management compensation and perquisites. Able to negotiate and consummate mergers and acquisitions. Can liquidate, dissolve, sell out or recapitalize the company. Able to declare and pay cash dividends. Able to decide what investments to hold and to sell. Block any or all of the above actions. Discount for Lack of Marketability Guidance : Similar to the DLOC, you may choose a default value. Use 25% or if you want you may justify a higher or lower amount. The following factors should be considered because these factors affect a company’s liquidity, which in turn affects its marketability. Suggested factors that should be considered: Company’s Dividend Policy Nature of the Company Company Management Amount of Control to be Transferred Restrictions on Transferability of Stock Holding Period for Stock Company’s Redemption Policy Costs Associated with a Public Offering Note : In practice there is a lot of effort spent on determining these discounts, but due to a lack of free resources and time it is impractical to require that in this course. PAGE 12
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FINAL CALCULATION OF VALUE Guidance : Summarize the table below and what it is telling the reader. / PAGE 12
SOURCES The following sources were used to derive the conclusions in this report and the ultimate calculation of value: 0 Current and historical financial statements were obtained for years ended: 1 Industry data from: 2 Economic data from: 3 Other sources: Anderson, D. (10 Nov., 2019). Netflix Inc.’s Organizational Structure & Its Strategic Implications. Rancord Society. Retrieved from HYPERLINK "https://www.rancord.org/netflix-organizational-structure-design-organizational-chart- characteristics" https://www.rancord.org/netflix-organizational-structure-design- organizational-chart-characteristics Arrieche, A. (29 Sept., 2022). Netflix shareholders: Who owns the most NFLX stock? Capital.com. Retrieved from HYPERLINK "https://capital.com/netflix-shareholder- who-owns-most-nflx-stock" https://capital.com/netflix-shareholder-who-owns-most-nflx- stock HYPERLINK "https://www.makeuseof.com/how-when-netflix-start-brief- company-history/" https://www.makeuseof.com/how-when-netflix-start-brief-company- history/ N.D. (2022). Netflix Headquarters and Office Locations. Craft. Retrieved from HYPERLINK "https://craft.co/netflix/locations" https://craft.co/netflix/locations Netflix. (n.d.). Locations Across the Globe. Netflix Jobs. Retrieved from HYPERLINK "https://jobs.netflix.com/locations" https://jobs.netflix.com/locations Pereira, D. (15 July, 2022). Netflix Business Model. The Business Model Analyst. Retrieved from HYPERLINK "https://businessmodelanalyst.com/netflix-business- model/#Netflixs_Key_Resources" https://businessmodelanalyst.com/netflix-business- model/#Netflixs_Key_Resources HYPERLINK "https://www.statista.com/statistics/250934/quarterly-number-of-netflix-streaming- subscribers-worldwide/" https://www.statista.com/statistics/250934/quarterly-number-of- netflix-streaming-subscribers-worldwide/ Yingxian, W. (2021). 5 Strategic Risks For Netflix: From Competition to Regulation. Journo. Retrieved from HYPERLINK "https://journo.com.tr/netflix-strategic-risks" https://journo.com.tr/netflix-strategic-risks 13