655 topic 3 disc

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Grand Canyon University *

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MIS 655

Subject

Economics

Date

May 15, 2024

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docx

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3

Uploaded by ProfInternet10544

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To determine if the manufacturer's inventory level is considerably different from the industry norm, Mike can conduct a hypothesis test and calculate a confidence interval using the sample mean and standard deviation. Hypothesis: Null Hypothesis (H0): The manufacturer's inventory level is not significantly different from the industry norm. Alternative Hypothesis (H1): The manufacturer's inventory level is significantly different from the industry norm. 95% confidence interval Where: 𝑥 bar = Sample mean (310 tires) 𝑠 = Sample standard deviation (72 tires) 𝑛 = Sample size (120 retailers) 𝑧 = Z-score corresponding to the confidence level (95%) The critical z-value for a 95% confidence interval is approximately 1.96. Plugging in the values: 310 ± 1.96 (72/SQRT(120) 310 ± 12.89 This gives a confidence interval of (297.11, 322.89). Since the industry average falls outside the confidence interval, we reject the null hypothesis. Therefore, there is a significant difference between the manufacturer's inventory level and the industry standard at a 95% confidence level. However, if we use a 99% confidence interval, the critical z-value would be approximately 2.576. 310 ± 16.92 This gives a confidence interval of (293.08, 326.92). Since the industry average falls within this wider confidence interval, even at a 99% confidence level, we then fail to reject the null hypothesis. I am not sure about the decision to be made by looking at the different intervals other than trying to make an answer fit a question.
Your explanation highlights the balance between accuracy and dependability that this interval provides, making it a common choice in statistical practice. In this scenario though, it is hard to understand the rationale of conducting one or the other. The 95% confidence level offers a satisfactory level of confidence without overly widening the interval, thus achieving a practical balance. Additionally, your assessment of the historical frequency of using 95% confidence intervals and their standardization in research practices point out the widespread acceptance and utility. In relation to the shift to a 99% confidence interval, your calculation accurately demonstrates how the broader interval encompasses the industry average. This change in confidence level offers a higher degree of certainty but comes with the trade-off of wider intervals. It's important to consider the context of the analysis and the specific requirements of the decision at hand when choosing between confidence levels. While a 95% confidence level might suffice for many scenarios, situations that demand heightened confidence or risk mitigation may warrant the use of a 99% confidence interval despite the wider range.
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