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Economics
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Jun 24, 2024
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Module 7 Extra Practice Problems
For Questions 1 - 7, choose the best answer.
1. If Martha is willing to pay up to
350 for insurance against a loss of
7000 which will occur with a 4%
probability, she is:
A. risk neutral.
B. risk averse.
C. risk loving.
D. irrational.
Solution:
The expected loss is 0.04( 7000), or
280. The fact that Martha is willing to pay more
than her expected loss for insurance against this loss indicates that she is risk averse.
2. Which of the following are responses by insurance companies to the problem of adverse selection in the
health insurance market?
A. Requiring a physical examination before issuing an insurance policy.
B. Offering lower prices for health insurance to members of group plans, such as all employees of
a large firm, rather than simply offering lower prices to individuals.
C. Including a co-pay for visits to the doctor’s office, so the policyholder has to bear some of the
cost.
D. Including a deductible in the insurance policy, so the policyholder has to bear the loss up to
some dollar limit.
E. Both (a) and (b) are true.
Solution:
Adverse selection arises when there is asymmetric information in the market. If there
are hidden characteristics, one’s own knowledge of the state of their health, for example, then the
insurance company might try to learn those characteristics, but it will be difficult to gather accurate
information. If insurance companies have poor information on each individual’s level of risk, and if
insurance is offered at a single price, then the worst risks are the ones most likely to buy, pushing up
the price for the best risks. Insurance companies can partially solve this adverse selection problem
by implementing (a) and (b) above. Note that (c) and (d) are partial solutions to the moral hazard
problem.
3. Upon purchasing a new refrigerator, you are deciding whether to also purchase the two-year warranty.
The consumer guides that you have read say that ten percent of new refrigerators need repairs in their
second year, and the cost of repair averages
500. The rest of the refrigerators need no repair. Assume
a zero discount rate. Which of the following statements is true?
A. If you were risk neutral, you would definitely purchase the warranty if its price were
55.
B. If you were risk neutral, you would definitely purchase the warranty if its price were
45.
C. If you were risk averse, you would definitely purchase the warranty if its price were
50.
D. If you were risk averse, you would definitely purchase the warranty if its price were
55.
E. Both (b) and (c) are true.
Solution:
The expected loss, or cost of repair, is 0.10(500) =
50. If you are risk neutral, you would
spend up to
50 for the warranty (if the warranty cost exactly
50 you would be indifferent between
buying the warranty or not). You would not be willing to spend
55, so choice a is false. You would
be willing to spend
45, so choice b is true. If you are risk averse, you would be willing to spend
at least
50, so choice c is true. Choice d is false because we do know for sure that a risk-averse
person will spend
55 on the warranty. We know that they are willing to spend more than
50, but
we don’t know how much more. (If we observe someone paying
55 for a warranty against a loss of
50 we can infer that they must be risk averse. But knowing that they are risk averse does not give
us enough information to predict exactly how much they will spend on the warranty.) Therefore,
the answer is choice E (both b and c are true).
4. In the insurance market,“moral hazard” refers to the following problem:
A. Insurers can’t tell high-risk customers from low-risk customers.
B. High-risk customers have an incentive to give false signals to make themselves look like low-risk
customers.
C. Companies may unfairly lump individuals together by race, sex, age or other characteristics in
an attempt to use demographic data to pinpoint high-risk populations.
D. Individuals may change their behavior after the insurance is purchased, so that
they behave in a more high-risk manner than before.
E. Both (a) and (b) are true.
Solution:
This is the basic definition of the moral hazard problem.
5. Sigmund invests
25 in an investment that has a 50% chance of being worth
100 and a 50% chance of
being worth
0. From this information we can infer that Sigmund is
A. risk loving.
B. risk neutral.
C. risk averse.
D. We cannot infer Sigmund’s risk preference based on the information given.
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Related Questions
Only typed answer and give fast answer i will give you upvote
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5,
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4. Insurance
You are pondering whether to buy insurance for your new car. The car is worth $50,000. Apart from
that, your wealth sums up $40,000. Your utility takes the form u(w) = √w. There is 0.5% chance
that your car will be stolen. With the insurance in place, you will get fully reimbursed if this tragedy
happens.
(a) If the insurance premium is $400, would you buy the insurance?
(b) What is the largest premium you are willing to pay for the car insurance?
(c) If your utility is instead given by u(w) = log(w), how does your answer to part (2) change?
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2. Two individuals have the same income ($100,000), but different potential healthcare expenses. Person A's
probability of having $80,000 in healthcare expenses is 0.5 percent. Person B's probability of having $800 in
healthcare expenses is 50 percent. Assume your utility is
U = VI
where
I
is your income. Calculate each person's expected income and expected utility. Calculate each person's
certainty equivalent. What does value of the certainty equivalent tell you about how much each person would
be willing to insure against their loss?
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1. Suppose a company can select among two decisions (d1 and d2) and face three states of nature (s1, s2 and s3) with
the following payoff table:
Decision s1 s2 s3
d1
d2
150 200 200
50
200
500
The probabilities of s1, s2, and s3 are unknown. Using the optimistic approach, what is the optimal decision and what is
the value of the payoff? Place the optimal decision in the first answer box and the maximum payoff used to arrive at this
decision in the second.
Question 6 options:
2. Suppose a company can select among two decisions (d1 and d2) and face three
states of nature (s1, s2 and s3) with the following payoff table:
Decision s1 s2 s3
d1
d2
150 200 200
50 200 500
The probabilities of s1, s2, and s3 are unknown. Using the conservative approach, what is the optimal decision and what is
the value of the payoff? Place the optimal decision in the first answer box and the maximum payoff used to derive this
solution in the second.
Question 7 options:
8
3. Suppose a company must consider two…
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3. The risk free rate is 3%. The optimal risky portfolio has an expected return of 9% and standard deviation of 20%. Answer the following questions.
(a) Assume the utility function of an investor is U = E(r) − 0.5Aσ2. What is condition of A to make the investors prefer the optimal risky portfolio than the risk free asset?
(b) Assume the utility function of an investor is U = E(r) − 2.5σ2. What is the expected return and standard deviation of the investor’s optimal complete portfolio?
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4. You wish to hire Ricky to manage your Dallas operations. The profits from the operations depend partially on
how hard Ricky works, as follows.
Probabilities
Profit $10,000
Profit= $50,000
Lazy worker
40%
60%
20%
Hard worker
80%
If Ricky is lazy, he will surf the Internet all day, and he views this as a zero cost opportunity. However, Ricky would
view working hard as a "personal cost" valued at $1,000. What fixed percentage of the profits should you offer
Ricky? Assume Ricky only cares about his expected payment less any "personal cost."
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neat and clean ANSWER dont copy from CHEGG or other websites
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↑
Consider the following FIRE INSURANCE PROBLEM where fire destroys a $300 (thousand) house.<
INSURANCE PAYOUT INSURANCE PREMIUM
200
0
EVENT
FIRE →
NO FIRE
PROBABILITY
0.02
0.98
OUTCOME
100
300
10
10
(a) What do we mean when we say an agent is Risk Averse?
(b) Assume utility is U(x) = √(x). What is the expected payoff and expected utility of having no insurance?
Show your work.
(c) Suppose the Insurance Premium was $10. Would this risk averse agent buy insurance? Show your work
and explain.
(d) Suppose the probability of a fire rose to 5%. Would the agent buy insurance now? Show your work and
explain.
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Exercise 4: Insurance
Fiona has von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function u(x) =
VT and initial wealth 640, 000. She faces a
25% chance of losing L = 280, 000.
1. Is Fiona risk averse?
2. What is Fiona's utility if no loss occurs, what is her utility if the loss occurs? What is Fiona's expected
utility?
3. What is the cost of fair insurance against the possible loss?
Suppose Fiona is able to choose insurance with any coverage z E [0, 1] (i.e. 0 0
C(z) =
if
z = 0
4. Suppose co = 0 and c1 = 70,000. Is insurance at coverage level z > 0 fair insurance? What coverage
level z* would Fiona choose? Explain.
5. Suppose co = 100 and c1 = 70,000. Is insurance at coverage level z > 0 fair insurance? What coverage
level z** would Fiona choose? Explain. (Note that co = 100 is an "avoidable fixed cost" which is only
paid if she chooses strictly positive insurance coverage. However, the "marginal cost" of additional
insurance, c1 = 70,000, is the same as in the previous part.)
6. Suppose co = 100 and…
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2
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Typed Plzzzz And Asap Thanks
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Continue from Question 16: You make $20,000 per year, and there's a $100 insurance
expense to mitigate a 1% risk of a $10,000 accident.
Utility without insurance and no accident = 2000
Utility without insurance with accident = 1500
What is the expected utility "without" insurance?
Utility
"2000"
"1999"
"1500"
1999
2000
1995
1500
$10,000 $19,900 $20,000
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A wheel of fortune in a gambling casino has 54 different slots in which the wheel pointer can stop. Four of the 54 slots contain the number 9. For a 1 dollar bet on hitting a 9, if he or she succeeds, the gambler wins 10 dollars plus the return of the 1 dollar bet. What is the expected value of this gambling game? What is the meaning of the expected value result?
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2. Bob's wealth is $2500. However, he faces a 50% chance of suffering a S900 loss. He
is an expected utility maximizer and his utility function is
U(w) = vw ,
Where w is his wealth.
(a) What is Bob's cost of risk?
(b) If Bob can buy insurance against his loss for a price of $500, will he buy it?
(c) What is the maximum amount Bob would be willing to pay for insurance?
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Utility Theory
You live in an area that has a possibility of incurring a massive earthquake, so you are considering buyingearthquake insurance on your home at an annual cost of $180. The probability of an earthquake damagingyour home during one year is 0.001. If this happens, you estimate that the cost of the damage (fully coveredby earthquake insurance) will be $160,000. Your total assets (including your home) are worth $250,000.
A. Apply Bayes’ decision rule to determine which alternative (take the insurance or not) maximizes yourexpected assets after one year.
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17. Suppose a risk-neutral power plant needs 10,000 tons of coal for its operations next month. It is uncertain
about the future price of coal. Today it sells for $60 a ton but next month it could be $50 or $70 (with equal
probability). How much would the power plant be willing to pay today for an option to buy a ton of coal next
month at today's price? (Ignore discounting over the short period of a month.)
а.
5
b.
4
с.
3
d.
NOTE: I KNOW THAT THE ANSWER IS (A), BUT
PLEASE INCLUDE ALL THE STEPS HOW TO SOLVE
THE PROBLEM BECAUSE I NEED TO PRACTICE.
THANK YOU.
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4) You are a financial professional working in a corporate loan department. A company named
Mitch Hedberg Inc. (MH) comes to you for a loan. MH has debt from a previous loan (given
by a different firm than yours) of 200. Your company analysts say that MH is likely to earn
either 180, 240, or 300 this year - each with a probability of 1/3. MH wants you to lend them
100. MH could use this borrowed 100 to do either project X or project Y. Project X has a
guaranteed return of 125 if the 100 is put there. Project Y may return either 0 or 210; each has
probability of 1/2 and also costs 100 to do.
a) Which project, X or Y, has the larger expected value?
b)
If you lend MH the 100, what will they do with the money? Why? Show your math.
c) Should you lend MH the money or not? Show your math.
d)
Why did I choose the letters "MH" for this problem? What financial economic concept
with initials "MH" is important in this problem?
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Describe the difference between risk and uncertainty. Which one is more preferable and why?
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A risk-averse manager is considering a project that will cost £100. There is a 10 percent chance the project will generate revenues of £100, an 80 percent chance it will yield revenues of £50, and a 10 percent chance it will yield revenues of £500. Should the manager adopt the project? Explain. What will a risk-neutral and risk-loving manager do in the same situation?
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Online sale
Suppose a student is considering selling their used smartphone online. They can sell it now for $p
or wait and sell it next month for a different price. If they wait, they will receive a random offer
with an equal probability of being either $300 or $100. The student can only receive one offer and
cannot sell the phone after the second month.
1. Calculate the expected price in the next month.
2. Suppose that the current price p is equal to 200.
(a) Give a reason why selling today could be a good idea.
(b) Give a reason why selling next month could be a good idea.
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A new company is offering its shares for sale in an initial public offering (IPO) through an auction. There is a 50% probability that the company will be very successful, in which case each share is worth $28. Otherwise, each share is worth $0. You are competing with professional investors such as hedge funds that know if the company will be successful or not.
Part 1If you bid $14 per share, what is your expected return?
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Q13
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6. Policyholders are assumed to have a utility function u(x) = e- where
> 0 varies between policyholders following an exponential distribution
with unknown mean. An insurance company sells an insurance policy
which covers a risk which causes a loss of $6,000 with probability 0.4.
There are 3,000,000 potential customers for this policy. The insurer finds
that when the premium for the policy is set to $3000, they are able to sell
952,000 policies. How many policies would they sell if they increased the
premium to $4,000?
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1. A person with U(w) = w² is facing the following lottery: there are four tickets sold, or
which only one wins the prize of $100.
a. Calculate the expected value of the lottery.
b. Calculate the certainty equivalent.
c. Comparing parts (a) and (b), what is this person's risk preference and why?
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What term do economists use to describe the tendency for people to prefer certain outcomes over risky situations?
a. The precautionary principle
b. Risk differentiationc. Risk uncertainty
d. Risk aversion
e. Risk management
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An insurance company offered drivers auto insurance. Assume that claims by safe drivers cost the insurer $1,000 over the term of the policy and claims by reckless drivers costs $5,000. Drivers know whether they are safe or reckless, but the insurer only know that 10% of drivers are reckless. a. What is the expected cost of losses to the insurance company? b. How much does the insurance company have to charge for auto insurance to break-even? Why? I found answer for part a. but I didn't find any answer for part b. Could you please post answer for part b. Please don't repeat answer from old post. I just need answer for part b. Thank you
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- 2. Two individuals have the same income ($100,000), but different potential healthcare expenses. Person A's probability of having $80,000 in healthcare expenses is 0.5 percent. Person B's probability of having $800 in healthcare expenses is 50 percent. Assume your utility is U = VI where I is your income. Calculate each person's expected income and expected utility. Calculate each person's certainty equivalent. What does value of the certainty equivalent tell you about how much each person would be willing to insure against their loss?arrow_forward1. Suppose a company can select among two decisions (d1 and d2) and face three states of nature (s1, s2 and s3) with the following payoff table: Decision s1 s2 s3 d1 d2 150 200 200 50 200 500 The probabilities of s1, s2, and s3 are unknown. Using the optimistic approach, what is the optimal decision and what is the value of the payoff? Place the optimal decision in the first answer box and the maximum payoff used to arrive at this decision in the second. Question 6 options: 2. Suppose a company can select among two decisions (d1 and d2) and face three states of nature (s1, s2 and s3) with the following payoff table: Decision s1 s2 s3 d1 d2 150 200 200 50 200 500 The probabilities of s1, s2, and s3 are unknown. Using the conservative approach, what is the optimal decision and what is the value of the payoff? Place the optimal decision in the first answer box and the maximum payoff used to derive this solution in the second. Question 7 options: 8 3. Suppose a company must consider two…arrow_forward3. The risk free rate is 3%. The optimal risky portfolio has an expected return of 9% and standard deviation of 20%. Answer the following questions. (a) Assume the utility function of an investor is U = E(r) − 0.5Aσ2. What is condition of A to make the investors prefer the optimal risky portfolio than the risk free asset? (b) Assume the utility function of an investor is U = E(r) − 2.5σ2. What is the expected return and standard deviation of the investor’s optimal complete portfolio?arrow_forward
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- Exercise 4: Insurance Fiona has von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function u(x) = VT and initial wealth 640, 000. She faces a 25% chance of losing L = 280, 000. 1. Is Fiona risk averse? 2. What is Fiona's utility if no loss occurs, what is her utility if the loss occurs? What is Fiona's expected utility? 3. What is the cost of fair insurance against the possible loss? Suppose Fiona is able to choose insurance with any coverage z E [0, 1] (i.e. 0 0 C(z) = if z = 0 4. Suppose co = 0 and c1 = 70,000. Is insurance at coverage level z > 0 fair insurance? What coverage level z* would Fiona choose? Explain. 5. Suppose co = 100 and c1 = 70,000. Is insurance at coverage level z > 0 fair insurance? What coverage level z** would Fiona choose? Explain. (Note that co = 100 is an "avoidable fixed cost" which is only paid if she chooses strictly positive insurance coverage. However, the "marginal cost" of additional insurance, c1 = 70,000, is the same as in the previous part.) 6. Suppose co = 100 and…arrow_forward2arrow_forwardTyped Plzzzz And Asap Thanksarrow_forward
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