Debt Capital Markets

.docx

School

ECPI University *

*We aren’t endorsed by this school

Course

303

Subject

Economics

Date

Jan 9, 2024

Type

docx

Pages

11

Uploaded by ENVYMEMAN

Debt Capital Markets After a period of uncertainty during the pandemic, which resulted in one of the steepest drops in global GDP in history, the prognosis for 2022 is brighter and more affluent. According to JPMorgan analysts, 2022 will be a year of global recovery following the end of Covid 19-induced limitations and the return to normalcy (JPMorgan, 2022). With the return of mobility throughout the world and a rapid increase in consumer expenditure, including corporate spending, a cyclical rebound is envisaged. The monetary policy stance, which was predicted to be accommodating in the first half of the year, is likely to shift to modestly assertive in the second half of the year. Rising inflation is going to be a persisting concern for multiple economies due to supply chain bottlenecks and expected to ease only in the latter half of the year because of targeted policy responses and decrease in supply demand imbalances (IMF, 2022). The Bank of England has raised rates to combat increasing prices (King, 2022), and the US Fed, European Central Bank, and Bank of Canada are all likely to follow suit, showing that the regulators' position has switched from dovish to slightly hawkish. The following graph depicts the rate of global GDP growth in comparison to financial crises and previous expansionary periods:
(JP Morgan, 2022)
The rebound of global output following the pandemic is likely to outperform both the recovery from the global financial crisis and the average of the previous three expansions. This scenario is predicted to come true as a result of the private sector's solid fundamentals and continued expansion. During the epidemic, people and corporations built up savings, which is likely to stimulate demand for worldwide services and inventory. An ideal formula for a global boom in the making is a mix of solid foundations and policies aimed at growth in all industries. During the times of the pandemic the issuance of High yield bonds have gained prominence around the world. In the US, high yield or junk bonds represented 25 percent of the total bond issuances in the country as they were supported immensely by the debt market investors due to high returns associated with it. With an expected flattening of yield curve in the latter half of the year due to tightening of monetary policy by central banks, a shift of investment in investment grade corporate bonds along with some investment in high yield bond is anticipated (Michele, 2022). Outperforming Industry in 2022 The following section highlights the performance of industries in the debt capital markets in the latter half of the year: Banks and financial – One of the most beneficial industry according to bond market expectation is the banks and financial institutions. A
rising interest rate environment would propel growth in the industry as banks would be able borrow at lower rates and lend at higher rates. High yield bonds from banking and finance industry are expected to perform well due to low risk of default (Martin, 2022). Energy industry – On the back of rising energy prices around the globe, the industry is expected to perform well in the future periods to come. Amongst all other energy commodities, oil is expected to become the major beneficiary of the economic recovery with a rise in price per barrel. Basic materials – High infrastructural development that is expected generate pace may be able to push the valuations of basic materials companies to higher levels. With electronic market vehicle picking up around the world demand for charging infrastructural development would rise benefitting material companies. Miners of lithium, cobalt, and nickel would be benefitted due to a rise in demand of batteries for electronic vehicles (Fidelity, 2022). Real Estate – Rising interest rate environment across the world would be beneficial for real estate owners as due to the effect of inflation the rents for the properties would rise. The sector is historically been considered as an inflation hedge and is expected to outperform in a rising inflation environment (Rastegar, 2022).
Your preview ends here
Eager to read complete document? Join bartleby learn and gain access to the full version
  • Access to all documents
  • Unlimited textbook solutions
  • 24/7 expert homework help