Module 8 Ultimate Wx Analysis Newton John
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Jan 9, 2024
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Module 8 Ultimate Wx Analysis
John Newton
Paragraph 1/Part 1
The system appears to be high stress with a warm front. The pressure gradient is loose
and the associated wind is vulnerable to influence of change.(Image 2)
The clouds appear to be
relatively high and layered. There does appear to be some chance of precipitation due to the
cloud coverage moving towards east over the area also resulting in the low visibility seen in the
chart.(Image 3) With the runway facing southwest to northeast this counters the wind direction
of southeast completely and would likely result in extreme crosswinds. (Google Map and Image
4) Just before passing over Fort Worth area there would be a close encounter with a trough. The
wind is changing speed and direction the entire trip, getting stronger and settling as we get
closer to KRPC. There are many clouds along the trip, especially in Texas just after DFW are thick
layered clouds and the aircraft would be passing through them along the trip but would lift
some upon arrival to KPRC. These clouds are mostly cumulous in nature and attributed to the
low-pressure area and warm and cold front meeting. The majority of the precipitation can be
spotted along the trip closest to the aforementioned low pressure zone where the clouds were
most dense. When considering the temperature stated at takeoff and landing from 54 to 34
respectively, with variations of high and low temperatures along the way with a gradual
decrease that is more noticeable upon landing. In KPRC there is a high heat front with a steeper
gradient and only somewhat stronger winds in comparison to the takeoff location. The clouds at
KPRC are layered higher level excessive clouds. There does not appear to be any heavy
precipitation on the way to KRPC at the time of travel. The closer you get to KPRC the more we
notice that the wind calms back down. As you approach KPRC the cloud coverage has changed
some and from when we left Daytona. There isn’t any fog due to the conditions and time of day
but the cloud coverage is convective and low. Some deviation from the runway direction and
direction of wind include that much like Daytona there would likely be a strong crosswind due
to the wind bowing southeast and the runway going from southwest to northeast. (Google and
image 4)
Paragraph 2/Part 2
Some of the conditions from part one are going to effect the takeoffs and landings that
we do. The less visibility will likely not help, mixed with overcast conditions, and crosswinds and
you have some not so ideal conditions for takeoff. Additionally, there is expected to be
turbulence along the route due to the wind and other conditions previously stated. During this
trip the wind will shift multiple times, almost always not in favor of a tail wind, meaning more
fuel consumption and less efficiency. Crosswinds will be present from takeoff, into a headwind
for most of the trip and then back to a crosswind as you approach Prescott. The closest chance
for a high to low scenario exist outside fort worth. The most common area for mountain
turbulence is just before arriving at Prescott where elevation is 7,942 ft AGL.
Paragraph 3 What if
If this flight were to take place during the summer vs the spring there would still likely be
a temperature variation as well as runway directional concerns but some of the cloud coverage
may have shifted by then or the very least could hope for better overall weather given the
increase in temperature and humidity at all locations.
Paragraph 4 Self Reflection
For this project I could have done a few things differently to be a little better prepared,
such as reviewing previous module material to better understand terms or even asking more
questions about material not understood. I found myself still researching some of the more
simple task due to not having enough practice coming into this project which is my fault for
needing such repetition before retaining the information. In the future I plan to review
differently and try to do the projects and practice work more till a better understanding is
achieved to keep from having to look up meanings so frequently in the class.
Reference:
Ahrens, C. D., & Henson, R. (2021). Meteorology Today: An Introduction to Weather, Climate,
and the Environment. Cengage Learning.
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