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School
Babson College *
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Course
1000
Subject
Industrial Engineering
Date
Dec 6, 2023
Type
jpg
Pages
1
Uploaded by EarlMoon11764
NuWave
electronics
currently
produces
digital
watches.
However,
they
are
considering
expanding
into
one
of
two
other
product
markets:
(i)
smart
watches
or
(ii)
digital
music
players.
They
have
completed
some
preliminary
market
tests
to
confirm
that
a
market
exists
for
both
products.
If
the
smart
watches
are
successfully
developed,
the
company
projects
revenues
of
51,000,000
over
the
next
five
years.
If
the
digital
music
players
are
successfully
developed,
the
company
projects
revenues
of
5400,000
over
the
next
five
years.
Since
both
products
are
very
different
from
NuWave’s
current
products,
the
company
may
not
be
able
to
successfully
complete
the
product
development
process.
The
smart
watch
is
a
breakthrough
product
which
will
require
significant
research
and
development
(R&D) investments.
There
is
only
a
5%
chance
that
the
development
of
the
smart
watch
will
be
successful.
The
company
estimates
that
product
development
cost
for
the
smart
watch
will
be
$100,000.
However,
the
digital
music
players
will
only
cost
$10,000
of
research
and
development
(R&D)
investments.
There
is
an
80%
chance
that
the
development
of
the
digital
music
player
will
be
successful.
For
both
new
products,
if
the
NPD
process
is
not
successful,
then
NuWave
will
realize
SO
in
revenues.
If
the
product
development
of
either
of
these
products
is
successful,
then
NuWave
will
discontinue
sales
of
the
digital
watches.
If
they
the
development
of
either
new
products
is
a
failure,
they
will
discontinue
that
product
and
continue
to
produce
digital
watches
at
current
output
levels,
which
is
predicted
to
yield
$225,000
in
annual
profits
for
the
next
five
years.
In
this
case,
development
cost
will
have
to
deducted
from
the
profits
generated
by
the
production
of
digital
watches.
Prompt:
-
Complete
the
following
decision
table
for
Optimistic,
Pessimistic
and
Expected
Value
Criterion
(Note:
Round
all
numbers
to
thousands
without
decimal
places
and
without
$
sign).
-
Once
you
complete
the
table
enter
the
appropriate
decision
alternative
number
in
the
space
provided
for
each
criterion
(Note:
Do
not
type any
characters
other
than
ONE
of
the
three
decision
alternative
numbers!):
Enter:
1
for
Digital
Watches
Enter:
2
for
Smart
Watches,
or
Enter:
3
for
Digital
Player
States
of
Nature
(Profits
in
thousands
$'s)
Alternatives
Optimistic
Pessimistic
Expected
Value
Develop
tS
Devel
t
Failure
(1)
Continue
Making
Digital
Watches
(2)
Make
Smart
Watch
(3)
Make
Digital
Player
-
Using
Optimistic
Criterion
Only,
NuWave
should
chose
decision
alternative
-
Using
Pessimistic
Criterion
Only,
NuWave
should
chose
decision
alternative
-
Using
Expected
Value
Criterion
Only,
NuWave
should
chose
decision
alternative
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