hw7

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Texas A&M University *

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Industrial Engineering

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Dec 6, 2023

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IE3302 HW#7 (Ch 8) Due by end of day Fri 4/9 To be worked individually. Calculated values may be given in fraction or decimal form; if in decimal form must be rounded to 4 decimal places . 100pt assignment. To be worked individually. All problems to be submitted in order, in a single Word or PDF document, to the Hw#7 Moodle dropbox. If handwritten & scanned, or use handwritten with digital ink, ensure that all solutions are legible before submitting. Work must be shown for credit. All problems 10pts each. 1. A food delivery service has delivery times with known =45 minutes and =12 minutes. A sample of 36 delivery times is taken. a. What is the probability the sample mean will be > 48 minutes? 0.0668 b. What is the probability the sample mean is between 44 and 49 minutes? 0.6331 c. If 100 samples were collected, and the sample mean was 65 minutes, what would you conclude? There are many outliers in the 100 samples collected. 2. Given X~b(x;10,0.2). a. For a sample size of 50, what is the probability of the sample mean being between 1.9 and 2.3? 0.9996 b. Give the Excel formula to find the probability of ´ X being less than 1.9. =NORM.DIST(1.9, 2, 0.09798, TRUE) c. What is the minimum sample size needing such that the standard error is no more than 0.01? 400 3. Given observations X i ~ NORM( 40, 0.25 ) inches. A sample of 36 observations is taken from the population with ´ X = 40.01. a. Pr( ´ X > 40.02)? 0.0228 b. What is the probability of ´ X being at least as far from the mean as the sample above ( ´ X = 40.01)? 0.0456 c. Calculate +/- 3 sigma control limits for ´ X . Would the sample taken above fall within or outside the limits? What conclusion do you draw from this? The control limits are 39.35 and 40.75, the same take above would fall into these limits which suggest that the sample is consistent with the expected variability. 4. 50 observations are collected from an EXPONENTIAL distribution with a mean of 20 hours. ´ X =20.4 hours and S=22.3 hours (note: since you know the Xi~EXPO(), you also know ). a. What is the probability of getting a sample mean at least this far from the population mean? 0.17 b. What is the probability of getting an S this far or further above the population standard deviation? 0.0606 5. The average height of students at a university has historically been 174.5cm and is believed to be approximately normally distributed. The is not known, but from a random sample of 10 students, S=7.5cm.
a. Given n=10, what is mean, standard deviation (standard error), and distribution of ´ X ? 0.2846 b. If you were to run samples of 10 repeatedly, what proportion would you expect to fall between 172 to 176cm? 0.2472 c. You want to flag any sample that falls more than 2 standard errors from the mean. What will your limits be in terms of ´ X ? - 4.74 to 4.74 6. X and Y are believed to have the same distribution, ~NORM(30,2.5). A sample is taken from each (n x =30, n y =35). a. What is the probability that the absolute difference between any ´ X x and ´ X y will exceed 0.5? 0.0626 b. You take sample ´ X x =30.22 and ´ X y = 30.85. What is the probability that the difference will be at least as far from the mean difference as these two samples are? 0.1885 7. A normally distributed measurement historically has had =12.2cm. a. What is the probability of getting S=15cm or higher for a sample of n=20 from this population? 0.1521 b. What is the 90 th percentile for S? 13.6144cm c. Give the Excel formula to answer part B =PERCENTILE(array, 0.9) 8. Test scores on a course’s final exam have historically followed a X ~ NORM( 77, 8 ) distribution. For the latest final exam, S=12 with n=30. Is this consistent with the variability of the historical distribution? Show supporting calculations and explanation. This seems to be consistent with the variability of the historical distribution. This is because the samples SD appears to be almost the same as the 8 SD given. 9. Book problem 8.52 The variance of the given two populations are significantly different from each other, this shows that the encapsulation of the semiconductor has a big impact on the variance. 10. Historically, a manufacturing process has produced parts whose key dimension had =1.5mm. You have made a change in the manufacturing process to reduce cost and believe that the change has not changed the process . A sample of 29 parts is pulled after the change with S=1.85mm, and a sample of 21 parts is pulled and measured before the change with S=1.49mm. What is the probability of a ratio of sample variances at least this large if in fact the population variance has not changed? The probability of this happening is very low.
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