PSY 375 Module Six Lab Worksheet

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PSY 375 Module Six Lab Worksheet Monty Hall Lab Data Strategy Winning Percent Stay with initial door 0.417 Switch to other door 0.667 Lab Questions ● Did your results match those predicted as described in the output? Explain how your results did or did not match the prediction. 1

My results match what is predicted. By switching most of the time I scored higher than 66% and my stay score was less than 50% but more than 33%. This shows that I chose to switch to a different door more often and got more prizes because of it. ● Why does switching your choice lead to better odds in the long run? I chose to switch doors because I was starting to realize that it was rare to have the door that you pick to have the prize behind it. I came up with a strategy by changing which door I initially picked at the beginning of each new trial and then watching which door opened first to determine which door I was going to stay with depending on if it had a price behind it in the past. Wason Selection Lab Data Condition Mean Number of Cards Correct Abstract 0.333 Thematic 1.000 2

Lab Questions ● Why should we expect that the proportion correct should be higher for the thematic rules? We can expect that the proportion correct should be higher for the thematic rule because we use our knowledge and experiences to answer the question. This helps make the correct decision and gives a higher probability of being correct. ● What does the Wason Selection task tell us about seeking confirmation of our beliefs versus seeking falsification of our beliefs? “The Wason Selection task was designed to see if people applied logic that would disprove a hypothesis by falsifying it as well as by confirming it” (Badcock, 2012). This tells me that it is easier to find facts that correlate to my own experiences. We can use our logical beliefs before we think outside of the box to solve problems. Risky Decisions Lab 3

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