Argumentative Essay On Landline

I think it is also worth noting that Green and Palmquist use the NES poll data in their study which bring us back to the first question which is how to accurately measure partisanship? If question asked by pools can heavily change the result of studies we need to know what question to ask when we are measuring short term variance and when we are measuring long term variance. I think the Gallup poll might be useful to measure the short term variance in macro partisanship and the NES and GSS poll might be effecting when it comes to long term shifts in partisanship. However these article failed to discuss the polls in general and find if the interviewed population is representative of the US population. Abramson and Ostrom also briefly talked about the effect telephone poll can have on polls result but it was discussed in depth. In last week Alan S. Gerber and Donald P. Green found positive effect of personal contract on voting. Doing interviews for polls might have better result than telephone

The two surveys utilized data from the National Annenberg Election Study. The data was retrieved using Internet and telephone collection methods. An advantage to this method was the utilization of two pools of sampling. The pools were each collected from the Internet, and one telephone. Also, the author used already available data. This significantly reduced the time and financial strain that a survey could take up. The sample was collected through random digit dialing and availability to the Internet. This adds to the reliability of the results. Traditional phone surveys use a set list of phone numbers. This would exclude those who have private or unlisted numbers. This problem is avoided with random digit dialing. The surveys were conducted during four different waves. The waves were from winter, spring, summer, and fall waves. The winter wave resulted in 19,190 respondents. The spring wave resulted in 17, 747 interviews. The summer wave included 20,052 interviews. The fall wave resulted in 19,241 respondents. To be

The Gallup interviews adults over 18 in all fifty states. They use cellphone or landlines

In the New York Times article “What’s the Matter With Polling?” public policy and political science professor Cliff Zukin argues that polls and pollsters have grown to be unreliable due to the growth of cellphones and the decline in people willing to answer surveys. Since a higher percentage of people have acquired and use cellphones more than landlines in the past decade and the 1991 Telephone Consumer Protection Act has been interpreted to prohibit the calling of cellphones through automatic dialers, survey companies have to devote more money, time, and resources to contacting potential participants. The rapidly declining response rate has also increased the risk of surveys failing to reflect public opinion, and therefore increase the number of failed predictions. Although conducting polls on the Internet is cheaper, “coverage error” is prominent, and Internet use correlates inversely with age and voting habits, making it even more difficult to predict the outcome of elections. Beyond this, as Zukin illustrates, it is nearly impossible to figure out how to draw a representative sample of Internet users.

Surveys and Polls can be used as a way to obtain facts on a certain subject, but they may not all be as reliable as they

One thing that I found odd while researching for this paper is the variety of poll results across a small selection of sources. For instance, CNN posted a poll update in late January, stating that our President’s job approval ratings were at an all-time low at 36%. Underneath the large heading and introductory statement, they mentioned that the information was gathered by one national poll that was provided by one university. Should the findings of one poll, given by one university, be published as if they represent all of the American population’s views? Personally, I do not feel the need to pay attention to polls when it comes to national politics. I am generally distrusting of the agendas that many news outlets support when it comes to national polls, even though I still believe that polls aren’t entirely unnecessary. I fully support the idea of giving the public a way to compare views and express personal

The information age makes it much easier for the sample size of the poll to be increased with little effort or cost. The increase in the sample size would provide for the margin of error to decrease due to the increased sample size. However, the increase in sample size would only prove beneficial if the other biases that can come into play within the population selection process do not come into play on the

The aim of the report is to investigate whether the polls analysed in the report are fair and unbiased or unfair and biased or a concoction of both. Before any judgements are declared, the definition of what makes a fair and unbiased poll must be outlined. A poll is where people are asked to give their opinions on a subjective or objective matter. A poll diverges into nine types; benchmark polls, tracking polls, bushfire polls, entrance polls, exit polls, deliberative opinion polls, opinion polls, push polls and straw polls. A benchmark poll is generally a short and simple survey of respondent’s opinion designated to help political candidates craft their campaigns. Tracking polls are repeated over several consecutive days to create a picture of where opinion is moving over time, to enable a rough report of the campaigns. The bushfire polls are polls taken during the period between the benchmark and tracking polls. The number of brushfire polls taken by a campaign is determined by how competitive the race is and how much money the campaign has to spend. These polls usually focus on likely voters and the

The lack of cell phones made randomly calling phone numbers for polling easy to reach to the vast majority of the population, which leads to more accurate results. However, cell phone use has gone up sharply since then. In 2006, a poll showed that only six percent of people used cell phones only (Zukin). The result benefited the pollers, as that meant 94 percent of the population still used landlines. However, another poll in 2014 showed 43 percent used cell phones only, and 17 percent used cell phones mostly, which meant that landline polling would miss three in five people (Zukin). Why would they miss those people; can they not randomly call their numbers as well? The 1991 Telephone Consumer Protection Act stops calling cell phones using automatic random dialers, so pollers have to call numbers manually and individually to reach those people, which includes more costs such as paying the people asking and answering the polls (Zukin), and also takes more time to complete (DeSilver and Keeter). Also, some of the people answering the calls may consist of minors, who can not participate in the surveys (DeSilver and Keeter). The increase in cell phone use also means that the people who do not have cell phones, which mainly consists of older, typically more conservative people, will answer the landline calls. (The Week Staff). Because of the increase in cell phone use over landline use, asking to survey

Whether by exit/entrance, in-person, internet, or telephone, over time, political polls have been used by mass media outlets to strategically create interest groups and objectively measure public opinion. Political scientist, V.O. Key, Jr., described public opinion as “those opinions held by private persons which government finds it prudent to head.” The media relies on polls the right amount because it’s only a general sample and doesn’t include every potential factor such as question ambiguity, non-response, and non-attitudes. In addition, as discussed in lecture, many citizens are unconnected, uninformed, or inconsistent in their ideologies. Given these potential errors, the media’s use of polls has a mixed effect. On one hand, polls are able to keep audiences updated in public opinion and political

Berger argues that a pollster is a well-known figure whose main objective is to gather public opinions and views on issues of varying interests and market trends. However, pollster methods of data collection resemble those applied in sociological research.

How many times have you received a call asking for you to take a survey? Most people will hang up the phone or find any reason not to take a survey that could take any amount of time. This is one of the reasons that polls have been less successful. For example, if you call one hundred people to ask them if they like oranges or apples better usually it would be about half and half, but if only twenty-five people agreed to take the survey and 17 liked apples while the other eight said they liked oranges, it wouldn’t be represented

The second unsettling trend is the rapidly declining response rate.This decline is worrisome for two reasons. First, of course, is representativeness. Strangely, for some reason that no one really understands, well done probability samples seem to have retained their representative character despite the meager response rate. The low response rate has also had a significant impact on the cost. Survey organizations have to pay interviewers to complete between 700 and 1,000 cellphone interviews with a response rate of 8 percent.The new economics have driven many election pollsters to the Internet, where expenses are a fraction of what it costs to do a good telephone sample. However, there are major problems with Internet polls. First is that not everyone is reachable online. Internet use correlates inversely with age and voting habits, making this a more severe problem in predicting elections. While all but 3 percent of those ages 18 to 29 use the Internet, they made up just 13 percent, 40 percent of those 65 and older do not use the Internet, but they made up 22 percent of

When seeking to determine additional information needed to know from the pollster, mainly my first task would be to inquire which hypothesis test technique was utilized. Moreover, once that was known and established and the correct hypothesis test was used then it would be much easier to analyze the results. Furthermore, it is essential to determine and know the direction of the test to use such as would we utilize a two-tailed test, an upper-tailed test, or a lower-tailed test (Mirabella, 2011).

How many times did you find yourself on your Wi-Fi compatible device, only to find out that you have been disconnected from a game, movie, or music you were streaming over Wi-Fi? These occurrences are not often things you encounter when at home, but when living on a campus with thousands of people connected to the internet problems are bound to happen. Recently our campus suffered a problem with the internet causing students to be disconnected from the school’s Wi-Fi. With problems of this nature consistently occurring students are left without a resource to study, communicate, and entertainment themselves on their free time. This problem concerns me because I am a student at this university who relies mostly on using the internet.