Assess The Validity Of The Demographic Transition Model

High fertility rates come with the territory of Guatemala 's current position in the demographic transition model. If Guatemala doesn’t keep its population in check

Three demographic indicators of development include, but are not limited to natural increase rate, education level, and infant mortality rate. Natural increase helps determine the level of development of a country because if there is a positive increase rate, it shows that people are living to a reasonable age and children are being born and surviving. Education level determines the future of the country’s economy because if people are more educated the country’s economy most likely will become better. Infant mortality rate helps to determine the level of development in a country because it gives a good representation of the state of the medical facilities in the country and the mother’s need to have multiple children.

Many things like high unemployment, different cultural traits and the spread of cities have created two totally different countries. The comparison between the two countries further the accuracy of the demographic transition model because it shows the different stages of development. For instance, South Africa has a high birth and death rate while the US has low birth rates and death rates showing that the US is more developed. We can see this by looking at the difference in things like unemployment rate and life expectancy. Overall the US is more developed than South Africa shown by the differences between things like population, culture and

In the Central African Republic, the infant mortality rate is 107 per 1,000(6). That means that an infant born in Norway has a 10 per cent higher chance of survival than an infant born in the Central African Republic. Even in the first few days after birth, inequalities exist between the lives of infants born in developed countries and the lives of infants born in underdeveloped countries. Furthermore, the life expectancy at birth of a child born in Norway is 81.1 (5) years, whereas in the Central African Republic, the life expectancy at birth is 48.4 years (5). Again, inequalities exist between the infants born in developed countries and the infants born in developed countries. Although the Central African Republic has a high rate of infant mortality as well as a high death rate - 17.6 per 1,000 in the years 2005-2010(7), it also has a very high birth rate - 35.6 per 1,000 in the years 2005-2010 (8). This has lead to a very high population, which puts a huge strain on the resources of the country. Norway on the other hand, has a much steadier population, with a low birth rate - 12.6 per 1,000 in the years 2005-2010 (8) - but also a low death rate - 8.8 per 1,000 in the years 2005-2010 (7). The population is controlled and their are enough resources to serve the entire population. It is for this reason that Norwegians generally receive an average of 12.6 years of schooling (5). Contrast this with the Central African Republic, where citizens there

The Dominican Republic is a developing country in the early expanding stage of their demographic transition. This means their Crude Birth Rate (CBR) is constant, their Crude Death Rate (CDR) is decreasing exponentially, and their Rate of Natural Increase (RNI) is growing. All of these values correspond to the number of births per 1000, number of deaths per 1000, and population growth or the (CBR – CDR), is greater than zero indicating growth of population annually, respectively. These values of the Dominican Republic and more are shown below in comparison to the average values of the world.

David Foot, a Canadian demographer puts forward some economic prediction in the aspect of demographics in his recent research. He states his opinion that which countries will success and which countries will be in trouble in the next 20 years are predictable, based on the number of old and young people they have. An adequate amount of young people who are ready to work is the key for economies growth. Lack of enough young people to work will result in underproduction, while too many of them will lead to youth unemployment and unrest. In the article “Is Canada Headed for Demographic Disaster,” the author Diane Francis makes some predictions based on demographics. Countries such as Syria, Libya, Yemen, and Egypt are in danger since their birth

The demographic transition is a three-stage model of population growth in Europe. In the first stage there is a stable population because birth and death rates are both high. The second stage happens as mortality rates begin to slowly decline, but birth rates stay high. When this stage happens, there is fast population growth. During the third stage, the population is more stable as both birth and death rates are low and are more or less balanced. In more recent years, a fourth stage as been brought on by Anti-Malthusians. During this stage, population shrinkage occurs because the deaths begin to outnumber the births. Europe provides a great example to the theory of demographic transition. After speedy population growth of stage two, Europe settled at stage three with a stable population. It is currently in stage four with a shrinking population. In most European nations there are lesser births than deaths which could ultimately create other social problems.

At present time, Canada is facing a significant demographic transition in its population. From last century, the decrease in mortality, fertility and the increase in life expectancy lead to vast changes in Canada’s population. Aging of Canada’s population becomes more and more severer. This research paper is to study the correlation between demographic transition in Canada and how does the transition impact on economic growth. To be more specifically, demographics variables can include life expectancy, fertility and mortality; economic growth variables can include labour force and public expenditure.

There are two religions in Djibouti; Islam, and Christianity. 94% of Djiboutians are Muslim. And 6% are christian. If you are Islamic, then on fridays the men go to mosques and pray. Women stay at home and pray, then make the midday meal. Schooling is required for 9 years, but attendance is not enforced. There are primary schools, and secondary schools. Primary schools start at age 6 and lasts about 5 years. Secondary schools start at age 12 and last around 6 years. Good secondary schools only accept children with high grades. Schooling is free, but poor families still can't let there children in school because school supplies cost lots of money. Making a little less than 60% of children in Djibouti attend primary school. In secondary school, it's less. Healthcare around Djibouti has health clinics, a French military hospital, and government hospital. Malaria and Typhoid are common around the nation. Maternal mortality and infant mortality are very low, making it one of the lowest in the world. Djibouti is affected by its social/ religious behavior by its kids not being able to go to school, poverty, its religion and the maternity and infant mortality

According to table 1.1, Israel’s population is increasing at a moderate rate. The nation has a Rate of National Increase of 13.33. With a life expectancy of 82.27, Israel’s population is aging, yet not to an extreme extent due to a crude birth rate of 18.48. Israel’s population pyramid does exhibit their birth rate, as a significant portion of the population is generally young. Their population pyramid does exhibit the effect of WWII and the following search for independence as a Jewish state, as the elderly population is lower for a nation of Israel’s status, However, the offspring of Jewish European migrants is seen in the population pyramid along the middle age ranges.

The demographic transition theory is a widespread explanation of the changing mold of humanity, fertility and increase rates as civilizations move from one demographic system to another. “The term was first coined by the American demographer Frank W. Notestein in the mid-twentieth century, but it has since been elaborated and expanded upon by many others” (The Demographic Transition, 2012). There are four stages of demographic transition.

Demographic transition is the process by which a nation/country moves from high birth rate and high death rates to low birth and low death rates as the growth population in the interim (Weeks, 2005). Some of the nations that have gone through this transitions are; Canada, Germany, United States and England. The demographic transition to an industrialized society is harmful to the environment. Industrialized countries also have the largest ecological and carbon footprint comparative to developing/non-industrialized nations. Nevertheless, demographic transitions have some notable advantages. Countries that have gone through demographic transitions have low birth and death rates. Citizens in

A demographic transition is the transition from a populace with high conception rates and passing rates to a populace that is steady, yet with a much lower level of conception and demise rates.

Iceland and Gabon have different population sizes, but they are relatively close in comparison to all countries of the world. The various people that make up their populations reflect each as developed and developing (respectively). Iceland has a population of 317,351 and is ranked 180 in the world, whereas Gabon has a population of 1,672,597 and is ranked 154 in the world . Iceland’s population is relatively small because the climate of Iceland does not promote a large amount of human life as it is consistently cold and its already developed systems keep its population small with a growth rate of .65%. However, such a small population facilitates more effective government programs to support health care and insure good quality of life for more individuals. Gabon’s population, on the other hand, is small because it recently began its demographic transition. This illustrates its status as a developing country along with its growth rate of 1.94% kept low by the smaller population but still growing steadily along with its developing industry, healthcare, and food production, where Iceland has the advantage of this infrastructure, Gabon has not yet fully developed this infrastructure and can not deal as easily with the growth in population or support individuals or communities quality of life. The age structure of each country also affects their growth rate. In Iceland, 19.7% of

But the death rate exceeds the birth rate, which triggers the population increasing very slowly or almost stable. In this stage, birth rate becomes high due to less use of contraception and sterilization. Most of the people do survive in agriculture where the children are considered as economic assets and so people are encouraged to get many children. Similarly death rate becomes high due to diseases, natural calamities, wars, etc. Infant death rate is also found very high. Because of poor health facilities provided by the state to the people, lack of clean water and sanitation and food shortage, health of the people will be weak so that the people will depart the life in high numbers. Before 1920, China and India were at this stage (Raj, H. 2003). This stage is generally found in the countries where people depend on agriculture as a main source of surviving. At present, the countries like Nigeria, Ethiopia, Tanzania, Angola, etc. are passing through this stage (Raj, H.2003)