By Definition, An Exchange Rate Is “The Price Of A Nation’S

Before we look at these forces, we should sketch out how exchange rate movements affect a nation 's trading relationships with other nations. A higher currency makes a country 's exports more expensive and imports cheaper in foreign markets; a lower currency makes a country 's exports cheaper and its imports more expensive in foreign markets. A higher exchange rate can be expected to lower the country 's balance of trade, while a lower exchange rate would increase it.

One important determinant of a country 's exchange rate in the long term is whether it has a higher or lower inflation rate than its trading partners. The theory of purchasing power parity (PPP) suggests that the exchange rate between two countries will adjust to ensure that purchasing power is equalised in both countries. If a country 's inflation rate is persistently higher than that its trading partners, its trade-weighted exchange rate will tend to depreciate to prevent a progressive loss of competitiveness over time. In addition, political events can also impact the exchange rate, as seen with the ‘Malcolm Turnbull effect’ which lifted the Australian dollar. The Australian dollar, at US70.68c broke US71c in overnight trade after Turnbull discussed the need for economic reforms to counteract "challenges" facing the slowing local economy. Shortly after Mr Turnbull was confirmed as the victor against Prime Minister Tony Abbott, the dollar additionally rose one-third of a cent.

The exchange rate is the currency of a country expressed in terms of another currency, for example, US dollar or other nation’s currency compared to Canadian dollar. Canada has a flexible system when it comes to exchange rate system. Canada targets inflation to maintain the domestic value of the Canadian dollar. The exchange rate for the Canadian dollar against US dollar and other currency can be affected by supply and demand for Canadian dollar in foreign exchange market. Canada competes with many other countries for the share of US market, which is one of their top traders. However, many factors can affect the currency of the Canadian dollar with dominant role of different point in time. These factors include; the world prices for commodities.

Stanek, M. B. (2002). A review of exchange rate policies and their effect upon nations and

´´Currency manipulation is the cause of the U.S. trade deficit with China´´ (Geithner, 2009 p8, Morrison 2009, p3, Feenstra 2006, p29 ) is one of the most common claims that economists make when regarding the current trade relationship between U.S. and China. Although several economic policy reforms have contributed to the management of the RMB (Chinese currency), the statement ´´ the larger China’s external surplus is, the more undervalued is the Yuan´´ established by Zhe (2007 p11) seems to clarify that China´s currency is being manipulated by the government. This kind these strategies in order to enhance its competitiveness. This currency manipulation is becoming a difficulty for U.S and China´s

Such a process can be very time consuming and imprecise, without, of course, having a market currency price to begin with. The exchange-rate system is an important topic in international economic policy. Policymakers and journalists often seem to treat the choice of exchange-rate system as one of the most important economic policy choices that a national government makes, on a par with free international trade. Under most circumstances and for most countries, a system of freely floating exchange rates is likely to be a better choice than attempting to peg the exchange rate.

Examine the connection and the differences between the official exchange rate market controlled by the CADIVI and the permuta. Discuss the states of equilibrium in each of these markets. Central banks intervene in foreign exchange markets in order to achieve a variety of overall economic objectives, such as controlling inflation, maintaining competitiveness or maintaining financial stability. The precise objectives of policy and how they are reflected in foreign exchange market intervention depend on a number of factors, including the stage of a country‟s development, the degree of financial market development and integration, and a country‟s overall vulnerability to shocks. The precise definition of which operations in forex markets

However, speculation can only be expected to smooth exchange rate movements if underlying economic processes are relatively stable. If there is a great deal of uncertainty over future government actions and their economic impact, expectations will not be strongly held. Thus expectations can change dramatically from day- to-day, leading to rapidly fluctuating exchange rates.

The value of any particular currency is determined by market forces based on trade, investment, tourism, and

China’s Central Bank had devalued the Yuan by nearly 2% for the second time in August 2015. Having a currency called the “Yuan”, China has one of the most successful economies of our time. Their structural reform in the late 1970’s and their integration with the WTO (World Trade Organisation) has enabled them to fully integrate with the world market and obtain several advantages leading to them being an export oriented economy (Yang Yao, 2011). China’s devaluation has had significant effects on its own economy and the rest of the world such as making its exports cheaper and affecting the aggregated demand of China. The devaluation of the “Yuan” will also have an effect upon the imports by making them more expensive. In this essay these effects will be analysed to a greater extent.

On August 11th China’s central bank has cut the rate of the national currency, the Yuan by nearly 1.9%. The next day it devalued it by a further 1.6% to around 6.3306 per dollar and on the next day by a further 1.1% (Chandran, 2015). It seems to be a really small devaluation, but because China’s rapidly economy growth is such a major motor for the global economy, this policy could be a wave to Chinese market, even the global economic market. This essay will talk about the impacts of devaluation of Yuan for both Chinese economy and other countries’ economy. Firstly, it presents reasons why China decided to devalued Yuan. Then, it outlines the possible influence taken by that policy in China. Finally, it examines what will happen if China’s

The foreign exchange rate is the rate when domestic currency (for example, Chinese yuan) is used to exchange foreign currency (for example, us dollar). Volatility of exchange rate has been Kamble and Honrao (2014) defined as ?the risk associated with unexpected movements in the exchange rate.? The volatility of exchange rate has great impacts on international trade and cross-country investment. The increased importance being attached to exchange rate is a result of the globalisation of modern business, the continuing growth in world trade relative to national economies, the trend towards economic integration and the rapid pace of change in the technology of money transfer. (Copeland, Laurence S. 2014). According to the announcement of People?s Bank of China at 21th July 2005, Chinese exchange rate policies changed from the dollar pegged float to the floating basket peg system. Recently, since the volatility in the forex market is growing, which makes there are increase concern about the forecasting of exchange rate movements. (Schnabl, 2008).

Exchange rate represents the external value of a currency. Changes in exchange rates may affect the relative position of a country in the international trade. Politicians and economists concern about exchange rate variability for lots of reasons, among which that the exchange rate variability discourages trade comes first. However, a large empirical literature on this issue does not confirm a significant effect of exchange rate on the volume of trade [1]. Instead other variables such as employment should be much more important from a practical point of view, for it is closely related to people’s livelihood.

A fixed exchange rate regime will offer an economy greater stability in international prices and therefore encourage trade. Additionally, for developing countries a fixed rate will assist in promoting institutional discipline as the country will adopt restrictive monetary and fiscal policies that foster an anti-inflationary environment. A significant weakness of a fixed rate is that it is subject to destabilizing speculative attacks which could lead to financial meltdowns and devastating economic contractions. A floating exchange rate regime allows central banks to combat macroeconomic factors such as unemployment, inflation, and interest rates without having to worry about the effect on exchange rates. However, developing countries whose economies depend on trade will be reluctant to allow their exchange rates to fluctuate freely.

Current spot rates………………………………….… Purchasing power parity forecasts…………….…… International Fisher forecasts………………………. Implied real interest rates…………………………… Forecasting with real interest rates………….…….. Forward rates………………………………….……… Real economic activity and misery………….……… Balance of payments approach……………….……. Current