Cash Flow Model And The Dividend Discount Model Essay

The questions that follow and the article Comparing the Accuracy and Explainability of Dividend, Free Cash Flow, and Abnormal Earnings Equity Value Estimates will inform your completion of Milestone Three. An understanding of the models in this assignment will assist you in hypothesizing the incremental impact of a new investment project for the company. The understanding of these models will contribute to your ability to look toward the future when considering the direction of an organization. This activity is worth a total of 75 points. See the distribution of points listed before each question.

• Valuation of the company—application of sophisticated quantitative valuation models, IRR, net present value and forecast of future cash flows.

Capital asset pricing model or CAPM is a financial model that measures the risk premium inherent in equity investments like common stocks while Discounted Cash Flow or DCF compares the cost of an investment with the present value of future cash flows generated by the investment with the mindset being that if the cash flow is positive, then the investment is good. Generally speaking, CAPM is a model that describes the relationship between risk and expected return and DCF is a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of an investment opportunity. So what are the differences, advantages and disadvantages of each one? How

This is an important valuation method used to estimate the desirability of an investment opportunity. Discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis uses future free cash flow projections and discounts them (using the weighted average cost of capital) to arrive at a present value. The calculated present value is then used to evaluate the potential for investment. For this project, the DCF analysis will be used to evaluate the intrinsic value of the CVS health corporation (“DCF,” n.d.).

These large sums of cash outflow are spread out over long periods of time. Therefore, the present value of cash flow signifies the economic worth of a project for a company at a specific point in time. This, in turn, helps decision makers ascertain the time period that the company’s investments will be tied up. Also, it helps them establish the amount of time that it will take to begin receiving a return. Furthermore, decision-makers can better evaluate which projects have a higher chance of providing them with a return sooner since present value discounts future cash flows to their equivalent value today. Additionally, it aids them in establishing which projects should be invested in and those that should not. Moreover, it allows them to ascertain if and when a project will benefit them so they can evaluate their investment options and select the best alternative (Edmonds et al.,

We valued the company using four different methods; Net Present Value, Internal Rate of Return, Modified Internal Rate of Return and Profitability Index. We began with the Net Present Value, or NPV, calculation. NPV values an investment’s profitability based on the projected future cash inflows and outflows of the investment, discounted back to present value using the WACC. The calculations for NPV are presented in Appendix 2. We started by separating cash inflows and outflows by each year. We used Bob Prescott’s estimates for the revenue per year and related operating costs of cost of goods sold as

In this case, Conservative pricing policy is preferred to ensure the short and long run access capital Based on the conservative pricing policy, we use three share valuation methods to determine the value of shares. First one is price/ earnings valuation. Second one is EBIT multiple valuation and last one is the DCF valuation.

The standard method of calculating a stock price using the perpetual dividend growth model is done by assessing a company’s dividend one year into the future adding the future expected growth rate. The formula is written as: P0 = D1/(Ke − g), where Ke is the investor required return, D1 is next year’s dividend and g is the

First advantage of discounted dividend model is conservatism. The dividend discount model only values on what the company pays out to investors. Earnings of a company, the cash the company holds, or anything other than the dividend is not considered by this model. Second advantage is simplicity. The dividend discount model is one of the easiest ways to value a security. It requires only three inputs, which almost any investor can reasonably determine or forecast. Because of its conservatism, investors who value companies with a dividend discount model have more room for error in the variables they forecast than do investors who use alternative, more finicky projections.

We performed a DCF Analysis for two scenarios: 1) assuming the purchase of the residual equity of LIN Broadcasting; and 2) assuming the sale of the residual equity of LIN Broadcasting (See Exhibits 1 & 2). The most critical assumptions impacting value were: 1) discount rate and 2) terminal growth rate. We relied on discount rates between

In particular, small changes in inputs can result in large changes in the value of a company, given the need to project cash-flow to infinity.  James Montier argues that, "while the algebra of DCF is simple, neat and compelling, the implementation becomes a  minefield of problems". He cites, in particular, problems with  estimating cash flows and estimating discount rates. Despite the issues, DCF analysis is very widely used and is perhaps the primary valuation tool amongst the financial analyst community.

How to determine the most appropriate dividend policy has become one of the hottest topics in recent years as dividend decisions continue to have a significant impact on both investment and finance decisions (company’s performance overall), affecting financial managers considerations when deciding how much earnings to reinvest and how much to be paid to shareholders (Watson and Head, 2010). There are already many theories either supporting or criticising the impact of dividend decisions on a firm’s value. Litner (1956) indicated that dividends are paid by mature companies who have positive earnings instead of smaller firms and managers always target a long-term dividend payout that can be sustained. This essay will critically evaluate

This project evaluates the discounted Net Present Value which shows the estimated cash flow. The cash flow forecast is for 10 year which incorporates International complexities as well as the cost of capital.

The current valuation for the company is based on the DCF valuation model which assumes, valuation based a market risk-free rate of

This section on literature review is focussed on various models and theories that are relevant to our study.