China Yuan Becoming Reserve Currency

China has seen massive economic growth in the past few decades. Since its reopening in the 1970s, the country has begun trading and buying foreign currencies with western nations like the United States. When the housing crisis which began to unravel in 2007 really hit the American economy hard, China was more than happy to step in and put up funding to help keep the American economy, one of its biggest customers, in a delicate balance. Unfortunately, the American economy has been incredibly slow to recover from the last major recession. As such, it has increased its dependence on Chinese funding to back American debt.

These effective strategies helped Hong Kong overcome the financial crisis. All these facts fully demonstrated that China is a responsible big country. After the Asia financial crisis, the importance of China's economy has been brought into focus; China's neighboring countries have begun to recognize the influence of the Renminbi.

In conclusion, I think that China should change its policy because it is damaging not only the U.S. economy but the economy globally. Countries such as the United States are still recovering from the economic recession we are still leaving in. It is obvious that if China let the Yuan appreciate their exports will decrease and imports will increase making their trade surplus to decrease. If this happens international countries will be grateful because by this happening means that their export will increase and employment will increase. Countries should avoid doing currency manipulation or artificially devaluing their currency because it just hurts the global economy and it promotes other countries to do the same – it hurts everyone.

Which goes back on how the dollar is back up. Another deal that countries see is that they can also exchange the Yuan which they have, to the federal banks of China into gold since their money is control in a gold standard economy.

Since July 21, 2005, China has adopted a managed floating rate regime based on market supply and demand with reference to a basket of undisclosed currency. The daily trading price of the U.S. dollar against RMB in the foreign exchange market will be allowed to float within a band of +/->0.3% around the central parity published by People’s Bank of China. The signal was initially interpreted by the international market as an indication that China would embark on a gradual shift toward increased flexibility which eventually adopt a floating exchange rate regime where the RMB will appreciate much against US dollar. However, they soon

China, the largest growing market in the world, currently has a policy regarding monetary regulation that allows the Yuan to “float”. This has seen the Yuan appreciate by approximately 24% over the past few years. Today, the exchange rate between the Chinese Yuan and the American Dollar is approximately 6.3 Yuan to 1 Dollar. Some argue that China should revalue the Yuan again the dollar, establishing a more fixed exchange rate. Others believe that current should allow

This paper was prepared for GD530 Economics and the International System, taught by Professor Snow

In fact since 2005 amid pressure from the United States the yuan has risen 23% in value against the dollar. Analysts believe that the yuan will depreciate as much as one percent this year not because of government manipulation, but because of slowed economic growth which has decreased China’s trade surpluses. (Law, 2012)

The China’s central bank began to roll out money policy as the People’s Bank of China sold three-month bills at a higher interest rate for the first time in 19 weeks, as reported by Bloomberg (2010). The central bank previously have loosen monetary policy as it kept its benchmark one-year lending rate at a five-year low of 5.31 percent after five reductions in the last four months of 2008 and in the first 11 months of 2009 allowed a record 9.21 trillion of new bank loans.

In the 11 years, the international economic situation has undergone great changes; pegging the RMB exchange rate formation mechanism type has become increasingly unsuited to China 's economic reform and development requirements. It is demonstrated by the defects are:

A little background of CNY and CNH. Both of them are the same currency called Renminbi as stated above. They are both the legal tender of China and their unit is ‘Yuan’ (like pounds). The differences are that CNY is only traded in mainland China, and one can only trade within a limited amount of CNY against other currencies. CNH, on the other hand, is traded outside of mainland China such as Hong Kong and London. There is no limited of how much CNH you can traded in a specific period and can fluctuate freely without any government control. As a result, the exchange rate

dollar. In dollarization, the country abolishes its own currency and uses a foreign currency, such as the U.S. dollar, for all domestic transactions. 6. Emerging market exchange rate regimes. High capital mobility is forcing emerging market nations to choose between free-floating regimes and currency board or dollarization regimes. What are the main outcomes of each of these regimes from the perspective of emerging market nations? There is no doubt that for many emerging markets a currency board, dollarization, and freely-floating exchange rate regimes are all extremes. In fact, many experts feel that the global financial marketplace will drive more and more emerging market nations towards one of these extremes. As illustrated by Exhibit 2.5, there is a distinct lack of “middle ground” left between rigidly fixed and freely floating. In anecdotal support of this argument, a poll of the general population in Mexico in 1999 indicated that 9 out of 10 people would prefer dollarization over a floating-rate peso. Clearly, there are many in the emerging markets of the world who have little faith in their leadership and institutions to implement an effective exchange rate policy.

In recent years, China’s balance of payments always keeps “double favorable balance”. In 2005, China’s national economy developed quickly and stably. The exchange rat of RMB became more flexible. The current account surplus increased obviously and the capital account surplus decreased. The foreign exchange reserve still increased quickly. In 2005, Chinese government did some fiscal policy and monetary policy. Such as decreased government expense, raise the tax rate, used managed floating system, improve the foreign exchange management, enlarged the foreign exchange market. We can conclude that china’s BOP will still keep “double favorable balance” and keep

With China's deepening Opening Up and economic restructure adjustment and the continuous appreciation of RMB in recent years, the

In 1994 the Chinese government made the decision to peg the RMB to the US dollar at a rate of US$1 to RMB8.7, a year later the Renminbi appreciated 5% and was revalued to RMB8.28. This rate would remain unchanged for the next 10 years, even though the Chinese faced heavy scrutiny and pressure to revalue their currency. The Chinese exercised many policies in maintaining their exchange rate. The PBoC controlled the amount of foreign currency by forcing all exporters to immediately sell their foreign currency to designated banks. The RMB could only be traded on the China Foreign Exchange Rate