China’s economic development and macroeconomic policies in 2013-2014
Economics for Global Business – Written Assignment
Regent’s University of London
Written by: Fabian Leonardo Cabrera Martinez and Marko Bakovic
Date: March 22nd 2015
Module teacher: Karuna Gomane Contents page
Introduction 3
China’s economic development during 2013 4
China’s economic development during 2014 6
Conclusion 9
Reference list 10 Figures page
Figure 1 – Retail sales of consumer goods 4
Figure 2 - Trend of industrial added value output 5
Figure 3 - GDP Annual Growth Rate in China 7
Introduction
China is considered the second largest economy in the world. During the past two years, this country has faced a number of both positive and
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Some of the reasons were the increase in the reliability on investment and trade. The government and the Central Bank promoted a self-sustainable development continuing the macroeconomic policies implemented in 2013 in order to obtain a steady and healthy economy.
This document will examine how successful was the government and Central Bank of China during 2013 and 2014. The extent of this report only allows the analysis and explanation of some of the main macroeconomic policies implemented in those years in order for China to either continue or overcome its economic situation.
China’s economic development during 2013
China has overall well-developed economy and government system. China’s economy was worth around 9 trillion dollars and it grew by 7.7% in the year of 2013 and it exceeded the 7.5% expectation of Chinese government.
“The Chinese government defined the "upper and lower limits" of the reasonable range of economic performance in 2013. With a GDP growth rate of 7.5 percent, the "lower limit" is intended to ensure steady expansion and employment, and with the consumer price index at around 3.5 percent, the "upper limit" is meant to prevent inflation” (Peng, 2014). Statistics also show that in 2013 China offered around 10 million new jobs to its citizens and inflation came in at 2.6 percent.
One of the fasters growing sectors in 2013 was retail sales.
According to the Retail Sales of Consumer Goods statistics chart
Inflation in China accelerated in november, as economic growth picked up and food prices rose. Chinese consumers paid 2% more for good and services in november then they did a year ago, the government's national bureau statistics reported on a Sunday. While that up from a 1.7% annual increase in october, it nevertheless represents tame inflation for the world's second largest economy. A year ago the country was experiencing an annual inflation rate at 4%. the Chinese government prefers to keep its annual inflation rate below 4%- a level it seems as consistent with health economic growth and consumer demand. The inflation rate averaged 4.23 percent reaching an all time high of 27.70 percent in october of 1994 and a record low of -2.20 percent in march of 1999. in china the most important components of the CPI basket are food at 31.8 percent of total weight and residence at 17.2 percent. Recreation, education and culture articles account for 13.8 percent; transportation and communication for 10 percent, healthcare and personal articles at 9.6 percent, clothing at 8.5 percent; household facilities, articles and services for 5.6 percent; tobacco liquor and articles for the remaining 3.5 percent. The CPI basket is reviewed every five years on the basis of household surveys. Revisions reflect new spending patterns and economic development, according to the nation bureau of statistics.
High government intervention has also had positive effects on China’s economy. Since the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-08, China has become increasingly
Since the reform and opening up, the economy of China grows significantly, as an emerging economy, China's economy has made tremendous contributions to the global economy, and Renminbi has become one of the most important currency in the world. According to the survey conducted by China National Bureau of Statistics found that from 1979 to 2012, China has attained an annual average growth rate of 9.8% for its national economy, while the annual average growth of the world economy is only 2.8 % during the same period. In past 30 years, China's GDP surpassed Japan’s, China became the world 's second largest economy, in addition, the huge total volume of trade makes China become the world 's largest trading nation. The contribution of China’s
Muhammad Umer Arshad, Phd Fellow, Department of Economic, Inner Mongolia University, HoHHoT, China, International Building #D Room#109,Student.Pak@yahoo.com
Since the financial tsunami and the bankruptcy of Lehman’s Brother in September 2008, the world’s economy took a deep plunge and the Chinese economy is no exception. In the wake of the global financial crisis, The Economist (2008) reported that China’s real GDP growth slowed to 9 percent in the third quarter of 2008 and export growth slowed to 21.1%. It was, in fact, well below analyst expectations and recent
The rise in China from a poor, stagnant country to a major economic power within a time span of twenty-eight years is often described by analysts as one of the greatest success stories in these present times. With China receiving an increase in the amount of trade business from many countries around the world, they may soon be a major competitor to surpass the U.S. China became the second largest economy, last year, overtaking Japan which had held that position since 1968 (Gallup). China could become the world’s largest economy in decades.
Over the last few decades while China’s population growth rate has decreased, its GDP has increased. “China’s GDP per capita for the period 1952 to 2008 grew at an average annual rate of 5.58%.” (Yao) Furthermore, during the same time
Today’s China is the most populous country in the world and is so one of the most important political and economical forces in the world.
The economic growth slowed down in the past 3 years. The GDP growth decreased from 7.76% in 2013 to 6.9% in 2015. At the same time, as a big contributor to the total GDP, the proportion of the second industry decrease, while the tertiary industry replaced the first place and accounted for 50.5% (National Bureau of Statistics of China 2015), indicating that China is trying to change its economic structure. Besides, the CPI figure shows a steady decrease, while the disposal income gradually rises. In brief, the performance of the economic indicators shows that the economy of China is slowing down.
With China's deepening Opening Up and economic restructure adjustment and the continuous appreciation of RMB in recent years, the
Can China continue to grow? China has been heavy on government capital spending and exports. China’s capital spending is usually under infrastructure such as: roads and bridges, and they have been doing some testing to see where 3D printing can help continue to drive the economy. China has been testing the use of 3D printing for houses and other infrastructure as a possible avenue to continue having capital spending as a powerful driver in the Chinese economy. Exports are another vast driver in the Chinese’s economy where mass production is a part of total exports. Future 3d printing can be seen as a strength with products that are custom and more complex. China is trying to move towards an economy driven by consumer spending. Fine-tuning an economy is very difficult. As you can see from the chart, Chinese growth has slowed down very significantly. Still the levels are higher than many other countries, but the slowdown is clear and the transition to that slow down can be seen as problematic. The blue line is related to the value of the yen and that has weakened in the last two years as well (Mitchell, 2015 para. 13). This has happened because China has allowed its currency to appreciate. That can be related to Chinese competiveness dropping for the last 2 years. This could have bad results for the Chinese economy.
top 5 and 10% of earners in China accounted for 19.8% and 31.9% of the
A1. China began its 2008, fiscal year with a continuing growth rate in double digits until the Global Financial Crisis struck the world leaving the United States and the Europe economically wounded. Though during the phase it was assumed China would be immune to the GFC, however the banks collapsing in the Europe and the America dragged China into a financial mess itself. The recorded GDP growth for the fiscal years 2009-10 were 9.6% and 9.2% respectively. (Li, Willett & Zhang, 2012). However, for other countries it might be delighted to have such a potent growth rate, it was missed that the
Seemingly transformed overnight; China has become an economic power house. In truth, however, China has been growing now for more than 30 years. Since it’s initiation of economic reforms and trade liberalization in 1979. China is one of, if not the fastest growing economy world-wide, averaging nearly 10% growth GDP (Growth Domestic Product). (Morrison, 2015) This financial revolution began with a series of reforms. One was designed to revitalize the state sector and save socialism, others began as more grass root initiatives that led to free market capitalism. (Wang, 2013). China began to change their investments from producing capital goods to producing more consumer goods. They allocated more money to agriculture, and the government raised pricing for the agricultural products and increased grain import. After a series of painful events China began to privatize farming. This led to the de-collectivization of agriculture (Wang, 2013)
For the past decades, China has been in the limelight for inflationary episodes. Funke (2006) has compared this phenomenon as a “roller coaster ride”. But Girardin et.al. (2013) argues that there is a remarkable inflation performance over the past decade, in spite of the absence of explicit inflation targeting. This section shall focus on the inflations of the recent past of China. To contextualise this section, how inflation became a normal trend of China’s economy, the third, fourth and fifth phase of the economic reform of China shall be presented according to the study of Funke (2006). During the third (1988–1991) and fourth phase of economic reform (1992-1998), the reform process was characterized by lack of effective macroeconomic policy intruments. The effect was a substantial increase in inflation after price liberalisation. The fifth phase of economic reform (1998 to present) can be characterized by broad-based enterprise, financial and social reforms. Inspite the sound mix monetary policies of the People’s Bank of China, the fifth phase of economic reform apparently still have substantial inflation increase. Figure 1 shows inflation peaks for years 2004, 2007, 2008 and 2011 respectively.