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Contagion And The Subprime Crisis

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Outline essay: - Subprime crisis: causes and historical perspective - Contagion and the subprime crisis - The case of Lehman Brothers Contagion and the subprime crisis: The literature identifies multiple mechanisms of contagion which were possible explanations for the global spread of the subprime crisis. Longstaff (2008) elaborates on three of these mechanisms and finds empirical support for two of these mechanism’s roles in the subprime crisis. First of all, the information correlation view argues that contagion occurs as economic news representing negative shocks in one market, affect values of securities in another less liquid market or market with lower price-discovery. The second mechanism is liquidity induced contagion that occurs through a liquidity shock affecting all markets. As investors suffering losses in one market have difficulty acquiring funding, this results in a downward spiral of overall liquidity. Thirdly, the risk premium view of contagion argues that severe negative shocks in one market may lead to an …show more content…

It is argued that in the case of the subprime crisis, transmission occurred through direct linkages (Reinhart and Rogoff 240). These direct linkages were first of all, the “nontrivial” exposure of non-US financial institutions to the US subprime mortgage market. Secondly, there were common characteristics in various countries at the start of the crisis. Two important ones being real estate bubbles in many European countries, and large current account deficits in numerous countries as varied as Bulgaria, Iceland, Ireland, Latvia, New Zealand, Spain and the United Kingdom (Reinhart and Rogoff 244). Thirdly, various countries were not only exposed to the US subprime market, but also had common lenders with US financial institutions (Reinhart and Rogoff

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