Customer-based corporate valuation: Integrating the concepts of customer equity and shareholder value
The purpose of this model is to calculate Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) and Customer Equity (CE) and then integrate it with the traditional valuation method and come up with a holistic corporate valuation method. The shift toward value-based management has led to an increasing demand for corporate valuation methods. It is very difficult to value companies which have very low proportion of tangible assets. These are generally internet based firms and start-ups. These companies have negative earning during their initial period.
Generally, valuation is done by using cash flows and other financial factors. The value of intangible assets is
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Components of CLV
Valuation of CLV-approach has three main components: revenue, costs and retention rate. In general, to calculate CLV projected net cash flows that a firm expects to receive from the customers (or more practically from a particular segment of customers) are adjusted to probability of occurrence and then are discounted. In reality, however, estimating these three components can be a difficult task.
Retention rate. The retention rate is the probability that an individual customer will remain loyal to the vendor for the next period, provided that the customer has bought from that vendor on each previous purchase before that. It can be inferred by using determinants of loyalty, like customer satisfaction, switching barrier, variety-seeking behaviour and attractiveness of alternatives. It is assumed that a customer who stops dealing with the vendor is totally lost.
Revenue. The second constituent “revenue” can be classified into four sub-categories: autonomous revenue, up selling revenue, cross-selling revenue, and contribution margins resulting from referral activities of existing customers (reference value (RV)). The first three sources of revenue come from direct transactions with the customer. As these activities lead to monetary sales success they are denoted as direct-monetary transactional values.
The “autonomous” revenue is not directly influenced by the company or is only affected by standard marketing measures
For the purpose of calculating the net present value of the project, an appropriate cost of capital has to be calculated at which free cash flows of the project should be discounted. Since the project will be solely financed by selling new shares, cost of equity will be used as the discount rate. Beta for the company can be assumed to be equal to average of the betas of the competitors of the company. This average beta value comes out to be 1.2. Risk free rate is 0.17% while risk premium has been estimated to be 6%. Thus by putting these values in CAPM formula, we can find the cost of equity for the company which is 7.39%.
It is important to know the proper technique and method of valuing a company because different people may have different ways of assessing the value; it is also important in understanding the bank’s method of appraising and valuing a company or business
Retention is a reflection of a customer’s willingness to remain with a particular company’s service or products and is useful to measure customer loyalty. The relationship
Valuation is the estimation of an asset’s value, whether real or financial, based on variables perceived to be related to future investment returns, on comparison with similar assets, or, when relevant, on estimates of immediate liquidation proceeds (Pinto, Henry, Robinson, Stowe; 2010).
Solutions to Valuation Questions 1. Assume you expect a company’s net income to remain stable at $1,100 for all future years, and you expect all earnings to be distributed to stockholders at the end of each year, so that common equity also remains stable for all future years (assumes clean surplus). Also, assume the company’s β = 1.5, the market risk premium is 4% and the 20-30 year yield on risk free treasury bonds is 5%. Finally, assume the company has 1,000 shares of common stock outstanding. a. Use the CAPM to estimate the company’s equity cost of capital. • re = RF + β * (RM – RF) = 0.05 + 1.5 * 0.04 = 11% b. Compute the expected net distributions to stockholders for each future year. • D = NI – ΔCE = $1,100 – 0 = $1,100 c. Use the
The methods for valuing companies can be classified in six groups: MAIN VALUATION METHODS BALANCE INCOME MIXED CASH FLOW VALUE OPTIONS SHEET STATEMENT (GOODWILL) DISCOUNTING CREATION .Book value . Multiples Classic Equity cash flow EVA Black and .Adjusted .PER Union of Dividends Economic Scholes . Sales Free cash flow Investment value European profit .Liquidation .P/E EBITDA Accounting Capital cash flow Cash value option value .Other Experts APV added Expand .Substantial multiples Abbreviated CFROI the project value income Delay the others investment Alternative uses 2.1 Balance sheets – Based methods (shareholders’Equity) These methods seek to determine the company’s value by estimating the value of its assets. These are traditionally used methods that consider that a company’s value lies basically in its balance sheet. They determine the value from a static viewpoint, which, therefore, does not take into account the company’s possible future evolution or money’s temporary value. Neither do they take into account other factors that also affect the value such as: the industry’s current situation, human resources or organization problems, contracts, etc. that do not appear in the accounting statements. Some of these methods are the following: Book value, adjusted book value,
Chapter 7: Prospective Analysis: Valuation Theory and Concepts Palepu & Healy ROE, Equity Growth, Price-to-Book Ratio, and Price-Earnings Ratio Copyright (c) 2008 Thomson South-Western, a part of the Thomson Corporation. Thomson, the Star logo, and South-Western are trademarks used herein under license. Chapter 7: Prospective Analysis: Valuation Theory and Concepts Palepu & Healy Shortcut Forms of Earnings-Based Valuation • Assumptions may be made to simplify abnormal earnings and equity value-to-book methods.
Grant, N., (ND). Cash vs. Accrual Accounting Can Impact Business Valuation. Retrieved on May 27, 2014
The main objective of retention is to continue ongoing relationships with customers. Brand loyalty is considered difficult to measure. So, experts generally use customer engagement as an effective indicator of loyalty.
The valuation of a business is a critical element that depending on the accuracy of the valuation can be the difference between large positive returns or devastating losses for investors. The importance of valuation is why differing methods are always being debated and analyzed. The valuation of traditional companies with historical data and comparative industry examples can be a bit confusing for the average person but with practice they really are not overly complicated.
Adjusted Present Value (APV) approach is an income-based valuation method employed as a variant to DCF tool, but does not use any WACC calculation. By using APV method, one can ascertain enterprise value by separating out as well as accounting for tax attributes of debts/borrowing and inherent incremental bankruptcy risk associated with additional debt. During valuation, the APV approach measures a firm’s enterprise value (EV) as the value of a company devoid of debt (‘unlevered enterprise), plus prevent value of tax savings from company’s debt. Specifically, APV valuation estimates unleveraged cost of equity most often using CAPM approach, expected cash flow of an
Valuing organizations starts with the financial statements and moves through the current position of the firm into the future forecast of the firm’s position. The financial statements paint a picture of not only how the company is, but how they have performed over the last x-number of years. Factors to look at would be net income, cash and A/R, debt and A/P, current and past sales. These factors start by painting the picture of what has happened up to now within the organization and what they have on hand for future operations. Is net income (profitability) high or low? Is the firm laden with debt of a high accounts payable? Is the firm growing, retrenching, or remaining stable based on sales data. These are the first places that you as a valuator must look. Secondly, you must evaluate the future objectives of the firm. This will also be sourced from within the financial statements, more directly the Performa’s produced by the organization to detail projected revenues over the next number of x- periods. These Performa’s are going to be the crux of this valuation how to assessment.
DCF valuation can provide an estimate of intrinsic value of the business by capturing its underlying fundamentals including WACC, cost of equity and growth rate. The intrinsic value of the business provides an estimate of present value of cash flows that the company will pay its shareholders and therefore it should help investors to identify companies that are inexpensive compared to its peers.
As stated earlier in the paper, under the amended revenue recognition standard, companies will undertake five steps in recognizing revenue for the goods and services they provide. The steps are as follows: Identify the contract(s) with a customer, Identify the performance obligations in the contract, Determine the transaction price, Allocate the transaction price to the performance obligations in the contract, and Recognize revenue when (or as) the entity satisfies a performance obligation.
This report based on the study of “Customer Value Marketing” starts with introduction section. We have mentioned the contents of the study in objectives of the report section.