Decision Tree Case Study

This course is an introduction to decision making encountered in business and everyday life. The course covers selected tools in probability, statistics, economics, operations research, and operations management. We will apply these tools and principles to problems in financial management, marketing,

Strategic decisions require careful and purposeful skills of analysis, creativity, and informed problem solving. The best practice for decision making is identification, inventory, and intervention (Davenport, 2009). Identify the decision to be made for the organization, identify the factors that influence that decision (who, what, etc), and apply purposeful action to implement that decision. Decision-making tools can assist with the decision making process. Tools such as, Case-Based Decision Analysis, Information Aggregation Tools, cost-benefit analysis, gap analysis, or SWOT analysis. can help to evaluate the current state of the company and how to proceed with a decision for the future. Case-Based Decision Analysis tool focuses on data collection of past experiences, situations, and solutions. By tracking past results it can help to make more informed decisions in the future. Information Aggregation Tools uses external data that relates to a specific issue at hand, evaluates data that has served as solutions to such issues, selects supported alternatives, and, lastly, rates the compatibility of such proposed solutions to the issue at hand. A cost-benefit analysis is a type of strategic decision-making tool that assesses the cost and potential benefit associated with different courses of action and choosing

Almost every single company that is in business faces a serious problem called cost allocation. Every company no matter what they sell or what service they provide faces the problem of allocating costs to defined cost objects. The cost allocation process is a very hard process for most. Cost allocation is a very complex and difficult procedure that requires the application of appropriate accounting procedures. These accounting methods sometimes will not provide objective and fair cost allocation because they have irrational bases that are not always reliable or appropriate. This is why accounting theory and practice steadily try to advance upon methods that are already in place and help develop new ones that could provide objective and fair cost allocation (Perčević & Dražić, 2008).

with the economy. Since the shipping business could be customized by different requirement, such as market

Today at Learning Tree, it was brought to my attention that Amiah and another little girl named Isabella (Amiah told me her name and that she was also in the same class), I believe it is, have been exchanging minor verbal altercations that were witnessed and dealt with by the classroom staff. However, it became an issue today when Isabella told her parents Amiah had been bullying her. The staff member informed me of this and that on the contrary of what the child said; it was more mutual words being exchanged with the other child initiating the conversation. I just wanted to inform you on what was going on and that I have instructed Amiah and her Learning Tree teacher agreed for the afternoon program to move away from her at all times to cut

Answer all four requirements of the case study. In addition to these requirements you are recommended

A Decision Tree Model and Its Analysis • The following concepts are introduced through the use of a simple decision tree example (the Bill Sampras ' summer job decision): Decision tree Decision node Event node Mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive set of events Branches and final values Expected Monetary Value (EMV) Optimal decision strategy • Introduction of the folding back or backward induction procedure for solving a decision tree. • Discussion on sensitivity analysis in a decision tree. Summary of the General Method of Decision Analysis. Another Decision Tree Model and Its Analysis • Detailed formulation, discussion, and solution of the

The main goal of sensitivity analysis is to gain insight into which assumptions are critical, i.e., which assumptions affect choice. The process involves various ways of changing input values of the model to see the effect on the output value. In some decision situations you can use a single model to investigate several alternatives. In other cases, you may use a separate spreadsheet model for each alternative.

Definition: A systematic procedure based on thinking patterns used to make choices in the hopes that they are good ones. It involves considering the Elements of a good choice and weighing them against your MUSTS/WANTS and any risks before making a final decision: The book is full of mumbo jumbo on this, but it isn't rocket science. We do some decision analysis almost every time we take a course of action.

The current state of the economy has had a significant impact on health care across the country. Recipients of Medicaid services have especially been hit hard in the health care arena with budget cuts and reduced services. The Maricopa County Clinic is not different when it comes to budget cuts. The department providing outpatient services to Medicaid clients has received a 15% budget cut. The current budget constraint is now going to force decisions to be made regarding what clinical services should be eliminated or what changes could best address the health care needs of Medicaid population.

Sensitivity analysis is particularly concerned with factors and combinations of factors that may lead to

Now, we will analyzed, which one of the three options is the most cost effective and profitable, than the other two. To finally be able to make the proper recommendation. We need to find out, which one of the exact EMV, in which process (option), will become more cost-effective and

Thinking critically and making decisions are important parts of today’s business environment. It is important to understand how the decision making process works and the steps involved. The nine steps of the decision making process are: identifying the problem, defining criteria, setting goals and objectives, evaluating the effect of the problem, identifying the causes of the problem, framing alternatives, evaluating impacts of the alternatives, making the decision, implementing the decision, and measuring the impacts. (Decision, 2007.) By using various methods and tools to assist in making important business decisions an individual can ensure the decisions they make will be as successful as possible. In this paper it

Decision Trees are useful tools for helping you to choose between several courses of action.

One area in which the application of decision analysis appeared to be successful is in the oil industry. The decision environment within which an oil company has to operate is characterized by limited information and complexity. Also, these decisions require intensive capital expenditures thus they are related to substantial risk (Hosseini, 1986). The case of Tomco Oil Corporation is a good example for this type of decisions made under uncertainty.