Ben Cooke
March 17, 2015
SOCY 410
Dr. Deanna Gore
Demographic Profile for France, 1985 and 2012
Fertility Section
Introduction
France’s low fertility is in line with its status as a developed country. Its citizens are well aware of the value of family planning and contraceptives. France’s fertility rates have remained relatively stable between 1985 and 2012 and have also stayed close to replacement levels. The most noticeable changes have been the extending of the peak fertility years from the 25-29 age range to the 25-35 age range. The main factors that affect fertility in France are the high availability of contraceptives and the social norms governing family planning.
Fertility Structure In 1985 there are relatively few births to women below the age of 15, with only 66 live births recorded. The age specific fertility rate for women below the age of 15 is .03 live births per 1000 women. For ages 15-19 the age specific fertility rate is much higher at 11.55 live births per 1000 women. The age specific fertility rate continues to rise in the 20-24 age range, with 97.18 live births per 1000 women. As shown in Figure 1, fertility peaks in the 25-29 age range with 142.51 live births per 1000 women. In the 30-34 age range we begin to see a rapid decline in fertility, with only 78.67 live births per 1000 women. It drops further with 29.75 live births per 1000 women aged 35-39 and 6.15 live births per 1000 women aged 40-44. For the age ranges 45-49 and 50-54 the combined age
In 1950, were approximately 3.5 million births with women having an average of 3.8 children (“Measuring childbearing patterns in the United States 2010”.) As of the 2010 women on average have 1.9 children. This
The talk shows today are flooded by episodes dealing with teen pregnancies. The teenage rate in the United States declined in 1993 and 1994. Unfortunately, the number of birth decreased only to older teens, ages 18 and 19. Babies born to teens younger than 17 actually increased,
In Chapter 15: Aging and the Elderly, the U.S. birth rate has been falling for more than a century. It happens because children are more likely to survive into adulthood, and so couple have fewer children. As more women work outside the home, they choose to have fewer children. Greater material wealth and advances in medicine have raised living standards so that people benefit from better housing and more nutrition. The oldest segment of the U.S. population, is increasing rapidly and is already forty times greater than in 1900.
People are living longer because of significant improvements to health care system that has occurred over a five-year period, a drop of individuals who smoke has resulted in a decline of people who suffer from smoking-induced conditions like lung and heart disease, the numbers of people who smoke have gone from 19 percent to 16 percent. Moreover, a fall in child and infant death rates by 20 percent from 2007 - 2012 has also added to increased life expectancy. Falling fertility rates (TFR) have also been declining which is also a cause of an ageing population. The fertility rate have been falling for an extended period, with TFR, being its highest in 1961 at 2.1 but since then it has gradually declined and in 1999 it was at its lowest of 1.75 and as 2014 was 1.80 and now in 2016 is
Additionally, the population of Caucasian Americans in Texas have the highest birth rates in the state and American Indians have the lowest birth rate. “Allan Johnson (2000) reports in addition to these birth rates, demographers use three hypothetical rates to get some idea of the future consequences of current patterns of reproductive behavior in a population. The gross reproduction rate (GRR) is the average number of daughters that would be born to a hypothetical cohort of women if current birth rates for women of various ages were to remain the same throughout their lifetime. In other words, it is the number of daughters they would have if they went through their twenties having babies at the current rate for women in their twenties, through
France had an early beginning to family plans and pro natalist policies. Already in 1939 the ‘Code de la Famille’ was introduced because of the declining fertility rate in France. It had banned the sale of contraceptives which was repealed in 1967, banned abortion which was also banned until 1975, offered cash incentives to mothers who stay at home to take care of their children.
For a few years, America has had quite a low fertility rate, but it is not something that we should be afraid of. “America’s fertility rate may be holding up, but America’s middle-class women are producing at rates far below the Golden Number” (Last, 6). For me, there is no “Golden
The fertility rate of a country measures the average number of children capable of being born per woman. The rate gives an idea of the future growing or declining population trend. For Liberia the number stands at 4.7 children born per woman. The number is an indication that the population is growing and increasingly becoming younger. As stated earlier, people under the age of 14 comprises over 40% of the total population, which coincides with the younger growing trend predicted by the fertility
One graph is showing US birth rates, by the mothers age during the years 1990-2009. This graph shows that the largest growing age of a mother is 40-44 years. In 1990 it was about 5.2 thousand and in 2009 it shows it has grown to approximately 10 thousand women. Women in the age ranges of 25-29 years, 20-24 years, and 30-34 years have remained consistent during the 10 year period.
Within a postmodern era, the fertility rates across the western countries have experienced a rapid decline. A transition from a relatively high to a relatively low fertility rate. Throughout the development in the society, there are many fundamental changes which cause the decrease in the fertility rate. This essay will discuss….
Mothers with one child (boy or girl) are more likely to have next birth compared to the mothers with a balanced number of children (one girl and one boy) over the study period. For the three surveys, mothers with one boy (girl) have 17\% (28\%) more likelihood of the next birth compared to the mothers with one girl and one boy. There is no significant difference in the likelihood of next birth between mothers with two boys, and that of with one girl and one boy. However, mothers with two girls are more likely to have shorter intervals compared with the mothers with a boy and a girl (HR: 1.089). Moreover, a significant interaction between family composition and survey year describes the change in the birth spacing behavior of mothers having different number of children relative to the balanced number of children over time. The interaction suggests that the mothers with one child (boy or girl) and two girl children still have shorter birth interval, though the likelihood is decreasing over the years.
A CDC report indicates that childless American women who bear children at age 40 – 44 have higher mean number of births at 2.1 compared to 1.3 for women age 15 to 44 years.
The population structure of France has remained stable over the past 27 years. Fertility has remained around replacement level. Mortality has remained relatively constant as far as crude death rates go, but there has been an extention in the overall lifespan of an individual during this time. Like most countries that have completed the demographic transition France is engaged in a balancing act between mortality and fertility, and is in danger of experiencing a population decline. If life expectancies continue to increase or fertility rates decrease France could have some hard economic decisions to make in the future.
This factors coupled in the last decades with a decline in the fertility rate, in maternal and infant morbidity and mortality.
According to the United Nation’s data, the total fertility rate of China was 5.7 births per woman in 1969, and it declined to 2.8 births per women by 1979. This remarkable