Demographic Transition

Once a person has a baby that doesn't guarantee that the baby will live. With better technology we have birth control methods and abortions for people who don't have babies. People who do want to have babies have the risk of the baby dying from disease. "Millions of babies have died, a fraction from AIDS, more from malaria, pneumonia, even measles. More millions have been aborted." So people are having less children at higher ages combined with the fact that the baby can die from disease. That can dramatically lower the birth rate and it has because instead of the predicted 12 billion by 2050 only 9 billion is expected by 2050. That's means in a few decades 3 billion

The demographic transition model describes how the population of a country changes over time. It gives changes in birth rates and death rates, and shows that countries pass through five different stages of population change (Stage one – High fluctuation, Stage two – Early expanding, Stage three – Late expanding, Stage four – Low fluctuating and Stage five – Decline)

The demographic transition model is valid when applied to Djibouti, which is a lower developed stage 2 country, because of the economic, social, and health factors found on the human development index.

There are four stages of the demographic transition,the first stage has low growth and has a very high crude birth and death rate and a very low natural increase rate. In addition,”Stage 1 of the Demographic Transition Model is considered the pre-industrial stage, or pre-transition”. In other words, countries that were in stage one have not reached medical or industrial revolutions to increase their life expectancy. In stage two countries have a high growth and maintain a high crude birth rate,rapidly decreasing crude death rate, and the natural increase rate is very high. Therefore, the countries experience an array of social and economical issues in stage two.

Maggie Nguyen Mr. Trivette Free Response Question #2 08 September 2015 a.) The five stages in the Demographic Transitional Model are the Low Growth Stage, Increasing Growth Stage, Moderate Growth Stage, Stationary Stage, and Population Decline Stage. b.) The Low Growth Stage is when an area has a high birth rate and a high death rate, which ultimately does not have a long-term effect on a population.

The demographic transition model is a picture of population change over a period. In 1929 American demographer, Warren Thompson, observes the changes or shifts in birth and death rates in industrialized societies over a 200 year period. There are four stages of the Demographic Transition Model; Stage One (Pre-Modern) or High Flunctuating, up through the 18th Century and mostly agricultural, Crude Birth Rates (CBR) and Crude Birth Rates (CDR) are both high (30-50 per thousand). The population growth is slow and fluctuating. Infectious diseases and poor hygienic behaviors and not having clean drinking water mean few children nor adults can survive if there is little or no access to medicine. In Stage Two, Early Expanding, there is a rising population rate (CBR) increase and a (CDR) decline. High birth rates and low death rates mean life longer expectancy of a population resulting in population growth. It also means better sanitation conditions, better food quality and having the necessary medicine to combat illnesses. Transitioning to Stage Three, Late Expanding there is a decline in CDR and CBR. The population rises and birth rate fall. Living standards and income levels change for the better. Women have fewer children, become players in the workforce and seek higher educational levels along with their male counterparts. In Stage Four or Low Fluctuating , the human population stabilizes due to little CDR but more

Amidst the twentieth century, demographic move hypothesis turned into the predominant hypothesis of populace development. In view of watched patterns in Western European social orders, it contends that populaces experience three phases in their move to a present day design. Stage One (pretransition) is portrayed by low or no development, and high fruitfulness is offset high mortality. In Stage Two (the phase of move), death rates start to decrease, and the populace develops at a fast pace. Before the end of this stage, ripeness has started to decrease too.

Demographic transition is focused on overall mortality while epidemiological transition is focused on determinants of mortality. Demographic transition is interested more in if people are dying and the numbers of people dying (with special attention paid to fertility and mortality overall), while epidemiological transition

First of all, the demography is the study of human’s inhabitants. The population change over time because childbirths, deaths, and migration. Also, the population size can be reflecting by fertility, mortality, and migration. The fertility is the ability of women to product healthy offspring in abundance. On other word, it is the ability of a women to get pregnant. However, fertility depends into feelings, way of life, food habits, and take alcohol and other drugs. In demography, there are measures for fertility which is the crude birth rate and it is every twelve months’ quantity of live births for each thousand people in a population. The second thing that affect population size is mortality which means the quantity of death in inhabitants

Fertility refers to the number of births in the population to its relative size. Since 1976, the fertility

The hesitation that couples have and the higher use of contraceptives has also impacted this demographic transition. According to, Population Education “The rate of decline is dependent on economic and social factors at play- the quicker gains are made in areas such as education and gender equality, the faster birth rates decline” (Grover, 2014). It is easily noticeable that as couples choose to allow money to dictate the decisions they make, in particularly having a kid, the less births will

This form of free choice is altered by numerous social changes in the practices of childbearing. In a postmodern era, individuals are free to voluntarily have multiple choices in becoming a parent or not. Whereas, in the past, if an individual voluntarily chooses to be childless, they are automatically labeled negatively. There are several factors which alter the individual's choice towards childbearing. This includes the development of technologies, such as the inventions of birth control and technological innovations. The economic outcomes, such as unstable financial issue. The evolution of partnership trends, such as the decline in marriage, the increase in divorce rates, and the rise in cohabitation. All these factors allow individuals to control or delay their fertility

Having a high birth rate implies a perpetually developing populace, which will expand the necessities of more "accommodation, education, and health care" (Macleod, M.). When you neglect to control high birth rates, the expansion of the populace is inescapable. Expanding requirements of the extending populace can't be given effectively. Hence, it will bring about lack of healthy sustenance, wellbeing issues and disappointment among individuals. Furthermore, with a high birth rate in a quickly developing populace, social issues will prompt social emergencies and chaos. Consequently, high birth rate in a populace is a serious issue that should be tended to promptly to dodge emergencies.

Demography is the study of the components of population variation and change. Death rate and birth rate are two determinants of population change. Theory of Demographic Transition is comparatively recent theory that has been accepted by several scholars throughout the world. This theory embraces the observation that all countries in the world go through different stages in the growth of population. A nation's economy and level of development is directly related to that nation's birth and death rates. Population history can be divided into different stages. Some of the scholars have divided it into three and some scholars have divided it into five stages. These stages or classifications demonstrate a

Human population over the past decades, have doubled, tripled and grown rapidly, thereby affecting every aspect of man’s existence. The paper examines the Demographic Transition Theory which is used to explain the population movement or process of transition from high birth rates[->0] and high death rates[->1] to low