What Are The Economic Implications For The Australian Economy

Australia’s economic status can be assessed using a range of economic indicators such as unemployment rates, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), inflation rates and interest rates. The economy can affect Australian business’s greatly causing them to flow through the business cycle. The business cycle purpose is to describe the overall trends of the economy and can show growths of high or negative. The four stages in a business cycle are: expansion, this is when the economy has high demands; peak, this is the turning point of the expansions before the economy falls down. A contraction is when the demand for goods and services are low; and trough, is the opposite of a peak. To evaluate Australia’s current economic status factors such as unemployment

This report will show an overview of the current state of the Australian economy and its management by the Federal government through examining economic indicators such as economic growth (GDP), unemployment, inflation and trade.

External stability – stable exchange rate, a sustainable level of foreign debt and the current account deficit (CAD) 

The figure obviously had not return to pre-crisis level. Moreover, recent commodity prices had fallen significantly which will affect Australia’s short and long term economy.

By 2016, Australia assess that mining had raised genuine per capital household extra income by 13%, raised genuine wages by 6% and brought down the unemployment rate by around 1¼ rate focuses. There have additionally been cost. The mining has prompted a huge valuation for the Australian dollar that has weighed on different enterprises presented to exchange, for example, assembling and farming.

Australia’s net foreign debt to GDP ratio has grown dramatically during the period of globalisation. After rapid growth in the 1980s’ foreign debt stabilised at roughly 35% of GDP, this was party due to a higher level in asset sales being used to fund the CAD instead of increased debt. Debt began to increase again the late 1990’s, this was due to a decrease in the value of the Australian dollar, because most of our debt had been borrowed in foreign currency’s, the depreciation increased the Australian dollar value of our foreign debt. The slower rate of growth in debt and overall liabilities in the past few years reflect the lower level of current account deficits. The growth in net foreign debt has eased slightly since the global financial crisis of 2008-09 but is now around 50% of GDP.

Australia has also experienced a rising terms of trade to 130.0 in late 2011 due to the commodities boom as a result of the industrialization of the BRICs, whereby Australia has experienced high export and national income, but has resulted in less competitiveness in other sectors due to the high AUD, causing the ‘Dutch disease’ whereby non-commodity sectors lose competitiveness. Similarly is can be seen in its narrow export base whereby in 2012-13 one third of export revenue came from coal and iron ore ($96 billion from 300 billion), furthermore 57% of Australian export revenue is made up of mineral and energy exports, whereby Australian growth has been largely fuelled by commodity exports and mining boom.

This has been the result of inflationary pressures due to excessive consumer demand, and a world increase in oil prices, the RBA’s primary objective is to contain inflation at 2-3% whilst also achieving sustainable growth. The current increases in interest rates will result in lower aggregate demand as consumers have less disposable income. This results in reductions in inflationary expectations, and a decrease in the demand for imports. Furthermore higher rates of interest will encourage overseas investment into Australia, thus resulting in an increase in the demand for the Australian dollar. An increase in the demand for the AU$, and a decrease in its supply due to less import expenditure will result in an appreciation of the AU$ in forex markets. Overall this results in depressed economic activity and lower levels of growth. However the RBA has been able to increase interest rates in order to contain inflation while maintaining economic growth. This is because the global economy has continued to grow at record pace, with strong growth in the US and China, and the recovery of Japan and Europe. Consequently demand for Australian exports has remained high, thus creating opportunities for increased production and subsequent economic

But even if we understand the changes, how can we compare the before and the after? What are the best parameters in doing so? What phenomenon is followed globally? This just summarizes one aspect of the essay which is followed by policy recommendations by the author in the later half. Though with the limited knowledge of the subject and experience the author has suggested a policy recommendation which aims at resolving existing or possible budding economic issues for Australia.

First we must look and account for the causes for the recent trends in balance of payments. This is very important as it reflects key features of the structure of the economy and highlights the imbalances in the relationship between Australia and the economy. In particular, we must inspect the current account deficit (CAD), which is when the debits are greater than the credits recorded as a percentage of GDP and is an accurate indicator of the economy’s current position.

Firstly the Australian economy is deemed one of the largest democratic economies as well as being stable in condition (Dfact 2012). Australia’s GDP is $1.57 trillion USD and with a total wealth of $6.4 trillion USD, making it the 12th nation ranked in the world in terms of GDP (nomial). (Wikipedia 2014) Currently the Gross Domestic

Australia with the concern of pollution is differ to China's where air pollution, water quality, flying dust and car emission is at a low rate. Australia's main environmental concerns is land pollution and improving air quality. Therefore, Australia's environmental policy is to maintain reduce its waste and maintain its rate of pollution and in differ to China's environmental concern and policy is to change the whole country's

Australia’s main trading partners are China, Japan, the United States, Republic of Korea and Singapore. Nearly half of Australia’s trade activity in terms of imports and exports are with these 5 countries alone. Particularly with the recent growth of the Chinese economy, Australia’s chief trading partner, the country has seen growth in its exports. However very recently the growth of the Chinese economy has been slowing which is a risk to Australian exports.

It is often suggested that the large current account deficit poses a serious financing problem for the United States. Each year, the lament goes, the United States must attract net inflows of capital sufficient to "cover" the huge current shortfall. But this proposition gets the logic backward: the U.S. deficit is "financed" by net capital inflows only in an ex post accounting sense. In economic terms it is more nearly correct to say that net capital inflows cause the current account deficit. (p. 218)

Deficit in current account depends on many factors and it can be cure. There are measures which can correct the problem of CAD.