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Driver-Demographics: Predicting Future

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Summary
Driver- Demographics
Predicting future is always important as it identifies whether the changes are likely to benefit human kind or annihilate them. Demographics gives people a basic insight about how their past and future are inter twinned. One of the key drivers that has been assigned to me by my group is Demographics. Although there are many trends that may fully/partially have impact on personal transport. The key factors that I would like to focus on in this summary are
• Global Population/ worldwide populace
• Urbanization
• Migration

TREND 1 - GLOBAL POPULATION – Population is likely going to increase in 2070
In 2070 the human population will be at its extreme levels. During the past couple of years the world has dramatically changed in terms …show more content…

From the past 18th century to the present 21st century. The developments and improvisation in all primary and secondary sectors brought humans under one urban roof, where things are easy to access ranging from sanitation to electricity and internet. The world’s urban population has increased form 733 million in 1975 to 2,857 million in 2000 and is estimated to reach 4,945 million by 2030 (storage). This pattern over the past 50 years gives us an insight about the net gain in urban population. Urban dwellings has transformed current cities into mega cities with population emerging up to 10 million. This rapid urbanization growth brings us a question about transportation. According to the information provided by PRB the number of megacities increased from 4 in 1975 to 22 in 2015(PRB). This trend indicated that in future there will be more cities entering into megacity categories, where the need for development of public transport sectors. Every two people in United States now have a car. If this is going to continue there would be 5.3 billion cars on roads by

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