Essay On Big Data

The author, V. O. Key, states the results of a survey that shows that voters tend to vote for people who vote for candidates that will help them financially. He also states that people tend to vote for a certain party’s candidate because of their ties to the party. Key then declares that one can predict a person’s vote based on their personality and attributes. Key also shows that although these behaviors show strangeness, the voters have great importance to politics. Key says that the voters’ behavior has importance as it helps candidates discover the nature of the voters’ interests to try gain an advantage. Finally, Key states that voters behave as well as possible, considering the possibilities of other

The most important factor to evaluate if voter turnout has decreased is calculating and constructing the turnout rate, “when it equals the total number of votes cast divided by the eligible electorate” (McDonald and Popkin 2001, 963). This means that researchers rely upon the Bureau of Census statistics of the voting-age population (VAP) for the denominator. According to the Bureau of the Census, the VAP includes people ineligible to vote. This group of people consists of noncitizens, felons, and the mentally incompetent. The voting-age population also fails to include the citizens who are living overseas whose votes can count. The inclusion of ineligible populations in the VAP creates a negative skew to the data used to calculate voter participation. This, in turn, would make voter participation appear to be declining more than it actually is since, according to McDonald and Popkin, the population of those ineligible to vote, like noncitizens and felons, has been

Campaigns in politics are important in determining outcomes and inform the voters who remain undecided. Also, campaigns matter because although the candidates or media officials may know what the outcome will be, the voters themselves do not (107). Aside from campaigns, conventions are also important, if not more important. Party nominating conventions affect the apathetic, uninterested electorates who think conventions are interesting and exciting, often known as the Olympic games of politics (121). This experience for voters can carry influence, and is a time of “intense political learning” (129). Therefore, aggregately, conventions make public opinion meaningful because the citizens who watch make an informed decision about a candidate, and have facts about why they will vote for that candidate. The chief reason why individual public opinion is meaningless during presidential elections is the “nonattitudes.” Nonattitudes are survey responses made up on the spot during an interview by a respondent who has no attitude on politics (113). Therefore, these individuals diminish the value of public opinion because we hate inconsistency and this creates an abundance of views on issues. However, during election night, exit polls support why aggregate opinion is also important. Exit polls are meaningful because one hundred percent of those leaving the polls have voted (102). Therefore, we can get real results from the electorates and this makes collective public opinion

| e. the federal voting project to enhance political participation by voters on election day known as "Got Voters?"

The voter barrier explanation for the decline in voter turnout in US national elections was researched and analyzed by, Fair Vote- The Center for Voting and Democracy, organization. They classify these barriers as being registration and the scheduling of elections during the workweek that intensify the disparity in turnout between low and high income voters (Fair Vote, 2012). Given that Fair Vote does recognize and acknowledge that this is not the only problem that has affected voter turnout to decline, they do believe that it plays a substantial role in it. However, not only do they state that these

To determine the relationship between the ability to recall the names and how much the voters cared about election result, data from a survey research was drawn to make a comparison between the candidates. Separately comparing the ability to recall the name of the incumbent and the challenger with how much the respondents cared about the election results. After testing the suppositions, each chi-square test illustrated an asymptotic significance number of less than .05 (Burns, et al. 2003). This means that the independent and dependent variables have a significant relationship instead of being a spurious association. The tested data illustrates that from the people who cared about the election results very much, 26 percent were able to recall the incumbent’s name

In the scholarly article “The Republicans Should Pray for Rain: Weather, Turnout, and Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections,” Brad T. Gomez, Thomas G. Hansford and George A. Krause tackle on an idea that many believed to be a true statement for many decades. However, there was no real evidence supporting the claim, this being that rain helps the Republican Party during election seasons. There were many studies previously done that generated the curiosity of this question posed, like DeNardo and his partners claim in their “conventional turnout effect model,” for example. In this study, political scientists present a question of if bad weather, including rain or snow to be exact, affects the overall voting outcome in a negative way in Presidential

Since 1789, citizens have consistently participated in presidential elections to determine who can skillfully lead, effectively protect, and adequately represent the United States of America. As the upcoming election of 2016 gradually makes an appearance, the people have to question who can sufficiently accomplish these objectives. The candidates’ Ideas, views, and opinions flood every political form of media to give the voters a fair opportunity in selecting the best choice according to their personal views. Before making a permanent decision, one must inspect and investigate the different candidates, including Trump, Carson, Christie, and Bush, in heavy issues such as education, immigration, and tax reform to decide who is the best

For example from the table, it shows that if republican party contacted the respondents about the 2012 presidential campaign, almost half of the respondents voted for republican, and the same happen with democrats. In the same condition, those who do not vote for party who contacted them, voted for ‘other’ party more than the democrats/republican that did not contacted them. In this case, it shows that contact does matter and it is beneficial for party to use campaign to contact supports to turn them out. It shows that the party will get better votes if they contacted the voters; it means that by contacting voters, the party can persuade the voters to vote for their party especially for those who were still

In recent history, there has been a reported decrease in voter turnout for both minor and major elections such as mid-term and presidential elections. Some of the causes for this decrease are inequality, social capital and election day conditions; all of which minorities are subject to. Most of whom we consider to be regular voters,or those that are sure to vote, are wealthy, older, educated, white, and church attending people. They are usually more involved in

Overall, when we analyze the three different elections, voting actions are consistent. It is common for groups to stay true to a particular political party. Though, when the final results of the votes are revealed, sometimes it is shocking. There are many factors that play into people’s opinions and reasoning for their voting process. This includes factors such as religious affiliation, race, gender, and

These characteristics have the power to move voters in an electoral process and ignite action (Borchers, 2005; Burrell, 2008; Conger, Kanungo & Menon 2000; Choi, 2006; Goethals, 2005; Levine & Boaks, 2014; Rejai & Phillips, 2004). During the 2008 Democratic primaries, a strong strategic initiative from the Obama campaign, in conjunction with negative media framing, did the only

For the two leading parties SVP and FDP almost all sources of information proved to be valuable. Consequently, respondents who specified these sources, expect the two parties to win. In the case of FDP only posters and stands in the street as well as social media were not significant for prediction of electoral expectations. For SVP among all the sources only Smartvote was not significant. The reason for this might be that SVP is a populist party, which use a strategy of attracting the most general population. This means that people, who perceive SVP as a winner and (possibly) vote for this party, do not rely on Smartvote’s recommendations, which suitable for people, who are unsure about their vote

The promise of data-driven decision-making is now being recognized broadly, and there is growing enthusiasm for the notion of ``Big Data.’’ While the promise of Big Data is real -- for example, it is estimated that Google alone contributed 54 billion dollars to the US economy in 2009 -- there is currently a wide gap between its potential and its realization.

In one's democratic society, voting is, perhaps, the most major form of communication in telling how they feel about particular issues and viewpoints. Because of a ballot's potential power to change the course of public policy, it is important to make informed choices to make the best outcome in ultimate decisions, lest a care-free choice could yield unintended consequences. With candidates in mind, perhaps one of the best sources to examine their goals is their campaign website, as they tend to list initiatives that they wish to achieve and a plan on how to do so. Since a candidate's website is unlikely going to have biased opinions (other than what the candidate believes), voters can get a clear understanding of their overall ideals. A second choice is from an accredited media source. The media can give perspective and shine light upon lesser known facts of a candidate, with some of this information being something a candidate doesn't wish for the public to know. Of course, news sources such as Fox News and MSNBC tend to have more notable idealogical leanings than others, but nevertheless try to expose information of opposing candidates, allowing the public to formulate an overall opinion. In more broader terms, radio and television have also allowed for better access of debates; the public, in turn, getting to string information together.