QUESTION 1
Net present value (NPV), also called net present worth (NPW), is an approach to evaluating investments that assesses the difference between all the revenue the investment can be expected to achieve over its whole life and all the costs involved, taking inflation into consideration inflation and discounting both future costs and revenue at an appropriate rate. It can be challenging to calculate NPV because it is not always clear what discount rates should be used.
The theoretical justifications for the use of NPV decision rules in investment are as follows
1. Cash flow is what's relevant
Using the formula for calculating the NPV you need to estimate the relevant cash flow. But what is cash flow? Cash flow can be described
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In terms of mathematical notation, this would be shown as -, +, +, +, +, +, denoting an initial outflow at time period 0, and inflows over the next five periods. The term is particularly used in discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. A conventional cash flow would have only one internal rate of return (IRR), making it a relatively easy task to choose among several projects or investments with such cash flows. A mortgage is a good example of a typical conventional cash flow. For example, a financial institution lends $300,000 to a homeowner or real estate investor at a fixed interest rate of 5% for 30 years. The lender then receives approximately $1,610 per month (or $19,325 annually) from the borrower towards mortgage principal repayment and interest. If annual cash flows are denoted by mathematical signs from the lender's point of view, this would appear as an initial -, followed by + signs for the next 30 periods.
While this has the advantage of ease of computation and interpretation, it is weak because it takes no account of interest rate or the precise profile of the positive cash flow. It is suitable as a quick rule of thumb for simple investment decisions but is not suitable for complex projects particularly during periods of high interest rates. It may also be used as a method of verifying answers obtained using a more sophisticated method in case a decimal point has been mislaid! In the
The NPV of an investment proposal is found by adding the present values of all of its estimated
NPV analysis uses future cash flows to estimate the value that a project could add to a firm’s shareholders. A company director or shareholders can be clearly provided the present value of a long-term project by this approach. By estimating a project’s NPV, we can see whether the project is profitable. Despite NPV analysis is only based on financial aspects and it ignore non-financial information such as brand loyalty, brand goodwill and other intangible assets, NPV analysis is still the most popular way evaluate a project by companies.
Cash inflows and outflows can occur at any time during the project. The NPV of the project is the sum of the present values of the net cash flows for each time period t, where t takes on the values 0 (the beginning of the project) through N (the end of the project).
Therefore, AE is the most intuitionistic evaluation method to value and compare mutually exclusive investments. It indicates the investment’s NPV in an annualised presentation, which takes into account timing, magnitude and discount rate.
Account for time. Time is money. We prefer to receive cash sooner rather than later. Use net present value as a technique to summarize the quantitative attractiveness of the project. Quite simply, NPV can be interpreted as the amount by which the market
They view NPV as a function of their personal expectations. This view is distorted by the nature. NPV does not depend on forecast-ed cash flow but rather on cash flows that are expected to happen in a probabilistic sense. For every investment, it has an intrinsic value based on future cash flows not relevant to whatever one estimates or believes. And that intrinsic value constitutes the blue line.
The NPV intelligibly shows the time value of money, which means a cash flow at current time is more valuable than the identical cash flow in future. This decrease in the value of money is represented by discount
A net present value calculation is based on the principle that future cash flows are not worth as much as present day cash flows, because inflation devalues those future flows (Investopedia, 2012). This implies that there are a number of factors that influence the NPV analysis. For a given project say a hypothetical new factory many different factors will need to be taken into consideration.
A more accurate measure for considering whether or not to accept a project is its net present value. It is not without flaw, as any deviation from forecasted amounts will alter the NPV. NPV assumes that cash flows generated from the project are reinvested at the company's required rate of return, rather than the IRR. This provides a more realistic measure of how a project will affect the firm while providing a dollar amount, rather than an unreliable percentage. In comparing the evaluation methods, we feel NPV is the most appropriate for this case.
The firm may evaluate projects based upon the net present value (NPV) of expected cash flows for that project. In a strategic sense, the financial planning deals with the
Net present value uses managements minimum desired rate-of-return to calculate the value of all net cash inflow (Larson & Grey, 2011). A positive value is desired, and is the indication of the project eligible for consideration. The greater the values the higher the rank in consideration. A negative value would indicate the project is not financially viable.
Quick Example of use of NPV: “Suppose our example project has an initial cost of $8,000 and an NPV of $2,000, making up its present value of $10,000.
Net Present Value (NPV) calculates the present value of the cash flow which is based on the opportunity cost of capital and comes up with a value that is added to the wealth of the shareholders if that project is accepted.
The theory of capital budgeting suggests that firms employ discounted cash flow (DCF) techniques in order to select investment projects (Correia, 2012). A theoretically sound and accepted DCF method is net present value (NPV). Money earned today is worth more than money earned in the future, and the NPV method takes in to account the time value of
(d) Determine the NPV for each of these projects? Should they be accepted? Explain why? 1. Net Present Value (NPV) for project A @ 12%; Years 1 2 3 4 Net Cash flow (NCF) £000 20 30 40 50 Cost of Capital @ 12% 0.893 0.797 0.712 0.636 Present Value £000 17.86 23.91 28.48 31.8 2