For many Americans, President Trump’s election has become a glorified blame-game. This upset in a widely considered “already won” election, left many pointing fingers at groups who they believed were responsible for electing our current Commander-in-Chief. As with Brexit earlier in 2016, Trump’s unsuspected victory has been largely attributed to the working- and middle-class’s fear of being “left behind” by globalization (Frankel 2016). Trump’s campaign actively addressed this concern by focusing on “putting America first,” cutting ties that made us less autonomous (i.e. the Trans-Pacific Partnership) and raising the working-class by returning manufacturing jobs that had been outsourced or “taken” by immigrants (Kohn 2016). In this study, …show more content…
While globalization profits the manufacturing industry at large by providing cheaper labor, many—including Trump—argue that it takes jobs away from Americans. In Trump’s “7 Point Plan to Rebuild the American Economy by Fighting for Free Trade,” he stated that he would withdraw from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP)—which he has now done—because it would “undermine our independence” (Trump). I rationalized that Trump’s stance of the TPP—and globalization in general—could lead individuals working in manufacturing to prefer Trump over Clinton, whose position on the TPP fluctuated throughout the campaign. However, this causal logic for explaining vote distribution depends on the assumption that for individuals in the manufacturing industry, Trump’s position on this topic was their primary concern. By looking at the data, it is clear that my initial hypothesis was incorrect. Despite Trump’s stance on globalization, there is no significant correlation between the percentage of a county that works in the manufacturing industry and Trump’s share of the two-party vote in that county. Although there was a weak positive slope of 0.22 between percentage of a county’s population in the manufacturing industry and Trump’s share of the two party-vote in that county, the results were inconclusive as the correlation between these two variables was a mere 0.098. However, one noticeable trend in the graph is that while the vote-share in counties
‘Is your job next?’ headline blared, followed by the disturbing preview of the article inside: “A new round of globalization is sending upscale jobs offshore. They include chip design engineering, basic research— even financial analysis. Can America lose these jobs and still prosper (R. Hira, 2008, p-1)?” The reaction of this news was swift and divided. Definitely large corporations that will be outsourcing will make huge profits in the long run but “what about the American citizens?”
The “disturbances of collective order” (Durkheim 1915, 246) or norms with spikes in unemployment and increased competition in labor market could have resulted in what Durkheim referred to as anomic suicide. People’s lives have been greatly impacted and they are uncertain of the future in America. Trump argues that immigrants pose a competition in labor market and he promised to bring jobs back for American workers or the White working class. It’s harder for them to live with the decline of jobs because in the old economic order, White workers have greater opportunities for growth. When their expectation of themselves in the society is threatened, Trump’s promise
The author believes this idea of a fortress is wrong and detrimental to the economic stability of America. There are millions of jobs in America and not enough Americans to cover the jobs. The immigrants help fill the jobs and keep America in a stable economic bubble. The author determines that Trump’s speech was great if he wants the economy to fail.
Donald Trump’s campaign is serious. He built a complete voter base, does not mind being insulted by the media, and, to appeal to more voters, wrote a book titled Crippled America: How to Make America Great Again. The book successfully details his outline for how he will fix America using certain nuts and bolts. The idea of writing a book for conservative, politically active American voters makes sense, as it allows them to study the candidate’s political ideologies in depth without bias on how to interpret them from mass media. Each chapter’s introduction talks about a separate political problem, with the rest of the chapter left to describe how or why the introduction makes sense. Although his explanations may not make sense to the majority of liberals, he still manages to develop logos, in terms of the book, throughout the chapters.
After research-filled, highly targeted, and negative campaigns, the results of the 2016 Presidential Election stunned the world. But were these results really all that surprising? America was prepared for a change in policy and election projections were incorrect due to the fact that there existed many “under cover Trumpers”, whom voted their conscience but were not willing to openly admit their political beliefs for fear of condemnation. The 2016 Presidential Election results open many areas for research into the legitimacy of the Electoral College, civic engagement, and campaign strategies as well as raises concerns over the fear American people possessed in defending their political values.
The article entitled “The Tide That Sinks All Boats” by Chris Matthews discusses how feelings of protectionism and nationalism are making it difficult for President Obama to pass the Trans-pacific partnership (TPP) through Congress. The implication in this article is that the campaigns of Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump during this presidential election stirred these feelings amongst Americans. Thus, members of Congress fear that passing the free trade agreement will make them a “traitor to the American Worker”. The article also mentions how free trade agreements often take the brunt of people’s fears regarding global trade and its impact on domestic job security referencing NAFTA (Matthews, 2016).
What factors are most accurate in predicting the outcome of a presidential election? In the book The Gamble, by John Sides and Lynn Vavreck, the factors of choice and chance answer this question through analysis of the 2012 presidential election. The term choice refers to the factors that the candidate has no control over, such as what the media chooses to cover and what the campaign chooses to make stances on. Adversely, chance is what the candidate has no control over, such as the state of the economy and partisanship. Sides and Vavreck refer to chance factors as fundamentals. I will argue that the economy plays the greatest role in deciding presidential elections. Campaigns and media are secondary to the economy and underlying voter partisanship, due to their inconsequential effect on voters. I will argue that chance is more important than choice from the evidence provided in the The Gamble, by John Sides and Lynn Vavreck, and Partisan Biases in Economic Accountability, by Larry Bartels. Political scientists evaluate and debate the role of choice versus the role of chance in predicting presidential elections. The economy and partisanship are superior at predicting presidential elections because the fleeting effects of media, the tug-of-war campaigns, strong voter partisanship, and myopic voters.
In The Gamble, Sides and Varveck argue that there are three fundamental factors, which play into Presidential elections. These fundamentals are the economy, approval rating, and length of time that the party has held office. According to Sides and Varveck, the bed was made for President Obama’s 2012 reelection. While all three fundamentals played a significant role in 2012, it can be argued that the economy set the groundwork for the other two to follow. (Sides & Varveck, 5)
If you were born into a wealthy family, your whole family worked and maintained a slim, unstable income. Because of this, you, as a child, would not enjoy the luxury of playing with many toys, receiving a good education, and eating full meals that your mother prepared after staying home most of the day. Instead, you suffered the dangers of “playing” with machines, never receiving an education, and barely eating anything because your mother was also working all day. You and your family were not living the American dream. Your father wakes up in the morning, complaining about his job, and sore from the excruciating labor in his workplace.
Recent political developments that have penetrated Western European and American politics seem to have manifested themselves in permutations inspired by everything from flagrant fascist ideology to altered forms of leftist liberalism. Donald Trump’s win provides a pertinent example of such worrisome political developments. Yet, although his win involved other factors besides his campaign’s concentration on the white middle class, the ubiquity of more extreme politics in the West could signal impending political tail risk. Trump’s win could have been a relatively benign cyclical political event or an inflection point in world politics. The middle-class appeared to be the critical point of electorate influence in multiple elections during 2017
Donald J. Trump outlines his plans to make USA great again through better leadership and action. Too much empty talk, not enough action. We the People are tired of these politicians who talk their way into office and then fail to live up to what they promised. Trump will restore America to its former greatness, a greatness we have not seen since the Reagan years. This book is also a call for the return of genuine patriotism and taking pride in our country. We the People know that USA is the greatest country in the world and we need to put someone in the Oval Office who will actually Lead and put that greatness on display by taking Action.
The traits of the ideal United States citizen, crafted with time and shaped by the difficulties of the frontier, is no longer crucial today. Donald Trump, businessman, and the USA's president-elect is the perfect example of both the negatives and positives of the American Stereotype, being both wildly successful and overwhelmingly inconsiderate. America has drifted away from its motherland, Europe, causing cultural and political rifts. Ultimately, while the USA, the land of the free and the home of the brave, is nowhere near perfect, it has one foot firmly planted in the soil, clinging to its own heritage, and the other preparing - but not quite ready - to take a step forward into a brave new
The blue-collar worker’s paycheck is dependent much on the factories and mines jobs, but those jobs are slowly going away because of the new types of businesses that have opened up today. The new businesses now require at least a college degree and some years of experience. Out of desperation the white men and women without a college degree made up a third of 2016 electorate (Tankersley). Three-quarters of the uneducated population said that the economy was pretty bad and had seen little to zero improvements on their financial situation. Two-thirds said that they preferred Trump to manage their economy rather than Hillary Clinton (Tankersley). This analysis was because of Trump’s idea to deport the immigrants that are taking their jobs away. That ideology was the spark that leads him to gain many voters on his side. Trump promised the working class whites that he would restore the old industrial economy. He said that he would accomplish that by renegotiating trade deals and tariffs on imports by deporting immigrants, that would help reduce competition from the native-born workers. He also promised economic growth from tax cuts, deregulation and more drilling (Tankrsley). However, Trump’s ideas on tariffs will technically not bring back jobs because he relies on unreliable sources and is always inconsistent with his
I had fled to the West to start anew with my family. We were promised a better life, but we were soon “[suffering] from a contracting currency, heavy taxation, and gouging by railroads and other monopolies” (Burns 181). The ideals that “our” America was founded upon–“the Jeffersonian tradition of individual freedom in a decentralized agrarian republic...the Jacksonian tradition of equality of opportunity in a land free of usurious banks and grasping monopolies”–seemed to be a distant dream (Burns 181). It was clear “that something was terribly wrong” (Burns
This election, many people see a solution to this problem through Donald Trump’s political campaign on a platform of “Make America Great Again”. Trump is running, creating new jobs and improving the economy, which appeals to many people who are in the lower and middle classes who have been left behind by economic inequality. Trump’s largest base of support comes from white Americans who do not have a high school degree. This group usually has a very small income, if any at all, because they are less educated. In contrast, those with a college degree have a much easier experience finding work out of college. This means that those without a high school diploma are looking for economic change in order to gain an advantage and proceed with their economic pursuit of life, liberty, and happiness. Other groups with large support for Trump are people with mobile homes and “old economy jobs” which are, similarly, groups with lower incomes. Trump appeals to these groups such as the “old economy jobs” because they are losing their jobs as new technology emerges. As “old economy jobs” decline, the demand for new jobs increase; the creation of which Donald Trump endorses. Donald Trump is definitely not a traditional conservative, but he has the ability to attract these groups with his platform through his populist appeal. Thus, a person who is lower in the economic gap would lean towards a candidate such as