| Goodweek Tires, Inc. | A Case Study | | | | | Table of Contents: * Case Overview * Project Information * Capital Budgeting Analytical Measures * Forecasted Sales Numbers * Depreciation Schedule * Investment Cash Flows * Recommendation & Conclusion GOODWEEK TIRES INC. Case Overview Goodweek Tires, Inc. recently developed a new tire, SuperTread. This tire was meant to be ideal for drivers who do a lot of wet weather, off-roading, and normal freeway driving. The company must decide whether or not to make an investment to produce the product and market it. As a financial analyst at Goodweek Tires, I was asked to evaluate the SuperTread project by CFO, Adam Smith. I was asked to review the …show more content…
The IRR provides a single number that summarizes the merits of a project. If the IRR is greater than the discount rate the project will be accepted and rejected if it is lower. The pros of the IRR are that it summarizes the information about a project in a single rate of return and gives people a simple way of discussing projects. Yet, the IRR ignores issues of scale. Another variant to the NPV that I used was the modified IRR method. It is a function of the discount rate. The MIRR handles the multiple IRR problems by combining cash flows until only one change in sign remains. The last technique used to evaluate this project was the profitability index. The PI is the ratio of the present value of the future expected cash flows after the initial investment divided by the amount of the initial investment. Although, the PI also has a scale problem, it can be corrected using incremental analysis. The profitability index does not work if funds are limited further than the initial time period. While the PI is good at handling capital rationing, it cannot handle capital rationing over many time periods. Forecasted Sales Numbers In order to find the initial outlay for Goodweek Tires, we had to analyze the cost of the asset and determine if there were any shipping or installation fees. After determining that the cost of the asset would be $140,000,000 and there were no other fees, we added the cost of net working capital of $9,000,000 to that number to come up
NPV analysis uses future cash flows to estimate the value that a project could add to a firm’s shareholders. A company director or shareholders can be clearly provided the present value of a long-term project by this approach. By estimating a project’s NPV, we can see whether the project is profitable. Despite NPV analysis is only based on financial aspects and it ignore non-financial information such as brand loyalty, brand goodwill and other intangible assets, NPV analysis is still the most popular way evaluate a project by companies.
Finally, in order to complete a more accurate comparison between the two projects, we utilized the EANPV as the deciding factor. Under current accepted financial practice, NPV is generally considered the most accurate method of predicting the performance of a potential project. The duration of the projects is different, one lasts four years and one lasts six years. To account for the variation in time frames for the projects and to further refine our selection we calculated the EANPV to compare performance on a yearly basis.
By computing the highest discount rate at which a project will have a positive NPV, the IRR method is supposed to assure that the actual rate of return on an accepted project is higher than the required rate of return.
Evaluating the risks, calculating the probability of success, and factoring in the projected profit from sales will provide a clearer NPV to be compared with other projects in the
6. Suppose a potential customer wants to know the project’s profitability index (PI). What is the
Tire City, Inc. is a rapidly growing retail distributor of automotive tires. Although they have 10 shops located throughout the Northeast region, the bulk of TCI’s inventory is managed at a central warehouse. During the last three years, sales have been growing at a compound annual rate in excess of 20%. With such a great reflection of their excellent service and customer satisfaction in their net income, TCI’s central warehouse is “bulging at the seams”. TCI has decided to expand its warehouse facilities to accommodate future growth, and has requested a five year loan. We, MidBank, previously financed a project for TCI in 1991, which is currently being repaid in equal annual installments. TCI plans to
A project may have more than one IRR, especially when returns of an investment yield negative cash flows following positive cash flows.
The present value of the net incremental cash flows, totaling $5,740K, is added to the present value of the Capital Cost Allowance (CCA) tax shield, provided by the Plant and Equipment of $599K, to arrive at the project’s NPV of $6,339K. (Please refer to Exhibit 4 and 5 for assumptions and detailed NPV calculations.) This high positive NPV means that the project will add a significant amount of value to FMI. In addition, using the incremental cash flows (excluding CCA) generated by the NPV calculation, we calculated the project’s IRR to be 28%. This means that the project will generate a higher rate of return than the company’s cost of capital of 10.05%. This is also a positive indication that the company should undertake the project.
The use of an accounting rate of return also underscores a project 's true future profitability because returns are calculated from accounting statements that list items at book or historical values and are, thus, backward-looking. According to the ARR, cash flows are positive due to the way the return has been tabulated with regard to returns on funds employed. The Payback Period technique also reflects that the project is positive and that initial expenses will be retrieved in approximately 7 years. However, the Payback method treats all cash flows as if they are received in the same period, i.e. cash flows in period 2 are treated the same as cash flows received in period 8. Clearly, it ignores the time value of money and is not the best method employed. Conversely, the IRR and NPV methods reflect that The Super Project is unattractive. IRR calculated is less then the 10% cost of capital (tax tabulated was 48%). NPV calculations were also negative. We accept the NPV method as the optimal capital budgeting technique and use its outcome to provide the overall evidence for our final decision on The Super Project. In this case IRR provided the same rejection result; therefore, it too proved its usefulness. Despite that, IRR is not the most favorable method because it can provide false results in the case where multiple negative
In fully investigating all of our calculations we are fully invested in using the Net Present Value figures we calculated as a means of ranking the eight projects. In doing so we found reasons in which why the Net Present Value was our benchmark for ranking the projects and why we did not use the Payback Method. The Payback Method ignores the time value of money, requires and arbitrary cutoff point, ignores cash flows beyond the cutoff date, and is biased against long-term projects, such as research and development and new projects. When comparing the Average Accounting Return Method to the Net Present Value method we found that the Average Accounting Return Method is a worse option than using the Payback Method. The Average Accounting Return Method is not a true rate of return and the time value of money is ignored, it uses an arbitrary benchmark cutoff rate, and is based on accounting net income and book values, not cash flows and market values. Plain and simply put, the Net Present Value method is the best criterion to use when ranking these eight
There are several traditional methods that can be used in appraising investment decisions. For instance, the net present value method (NPV) which entails estimating the costs and revenues of a project and discounting these figures to get their present values. Projects with the biggest positive net present value are the ones chosen as they represent the best stream of benefits of investing in the project over and above recovering the cost of initiating the projects. The discount rate is another method which is similar to the net present value method but reflects more on the time preference. This approach may focus on the opportunity cost of
NPV and IRR: When examining the NPV and the IRR of the Merseyside project, the numbers were very attractive. It had a positive net present value and an IRR above 10 percent. By these numbers, along with others,
Back in 1898, Frank Seiberling created, The Goodyear Tire and Rubber Company. It is based in Akron, Ohio.
Internal rate of return (IRR) is the discount rate that makes NPV equal to zero. It is also called the time-adjusted rate of return.
The following paper analyzes a project from financial perspectives using the capital budgeting techniques like Net Present Value (NPV) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR).