Grid Costs-One Additional Cost Element for Simple LCOE Model and Critiques on DECC’s 2013 Electricity Generation Costs Report
1. Introduction
As defined by DECC of UK, the Levelised Costs of Electricity Generation (LCOE) is ‘the discounted lifetime cost of ownership and use of a generation asset, converted into an equivalent unit of cost of generation in £/MWh’ (DECC, 2013). In this essay, the author is intended to introduce one more cost element in the given model, populate the model with data used in DECC’s 2013 Electricity Generation Costs Report and critique the uncertainty analysis of DECC’s estimates.
2. One More Cost Element
LCOE model is a benchmarking tool which estimates and compares costs of different electricity generation
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Ueckerdt et al. (2013) define grid costs to be twofold. First is the transmission costs generated because of the distance between power plants and load centres. Second, the fact that diversified energy sources can prosper electricity supply is also a contributor to the increased re-dispatch costs as the result of congested grid.
In terms of transmission costs, such costs can vary to a great extent. Some power plants can be far away from the load centres, which drives transmission costs relatively high. Conventional power plants such as coal and gas can be less constrained to geographic location. However, for those renewable energy (RE) plants such as off-shore wind and PV ones which are highly geographic-oriented, it is a considerable proportion of the total cost that cannot be neglected.
When speaking of re-dispatch costs, it is often concerned with congestion management. On the one hand, the development of RE relieves the pressure of electricity supply due to constrained amount of conventional energy and escalating consumptions. On the other hand, because of the nature of randomness (or unpredictability) of RE, the electricity generation of RE especially PV and wind are dominated by natural force which is hardly human-manipulated. The electricity dispatch, nevertheless, is the complicated systematic work based on historical consumptions and future predictions. In this case, the RE generation can rarely correspond to
Since the start of South Africa’s mass electricity supply programme in 1994, the country has continued to rely on coal as its primary energy resource. Today, with the export demand for our coal, it has put a pressure on energy supply, thus resulting in high price cost of electricity. Despite Eskom’s efforts to rectify the situation by building new coal plants, the projects have been on overload with construction and engineering problems as well as transgression, with the power utility receiving integration from government as well as a suspect of $3-billion loan from the World Bank for its Medupi plant. Consumers now bear the brunt of the crisis with an increase in tariffs to compensate for Eskom’s bills and cost problems which are much higher than the original predictions.
Currently, the energy (electricity generation) sector in Canada is facing a major crisis, which is the fear of running out of world’s natural resources to produce electricity. Even though the Canadian government is promoting renewable resources, it will take a long time to establish a network that is completely dependent on renewable resources. In the meantime, the population of Canada is growing drastically and cities such as Toronto is struggling to meet the rising demand for electricity due to urbanization.
Capital cost for solar PVs is high owing to high values of PV cells. However, offshore wind energy has a higher start up price due to the expenses involved in constructing its systems along with the protections needed. Capital cost of onshore wind farms is lower as they are more dynamic and economical to construct. Gas technologies have lower start up amount than coal on account of their low requirement for land space [6]. In addition, expenditures involved in the manufacture of coal fired units are high
The return on investment, however, makes power supplied by a generator less expensive over the life of the product based on how much output it
Over all in Australia, there exists an extensive difference in the price of electrical energy, as the data shows that over 80% is output of black and brown coal which add pressure of the supply, once they experience such cost of producing these energy, market distortions come across other renewable alternatives in the future energy development ( Dopita &Williamson 2010, pp.11-13).
Considering the growth of the individual end-user sectors the projection of demand for energy should ideally be made. The demand forecast is based on the excellent historical correlation of electricity demand with GDP and three forecasts of GDP growth through 2025. The Base case uses GDP figures whose compound average annual growth rate is 5.2%. The low case GDP figures average annual rate is 4.5%. The high case is based on a GOB forecast with an annual average rate of 8.0%. These GDP growth rates produce net energy demand growth rates to 2025 of 7.9% for the base case, 6.7% for the low case and 12.0% for the high case. In these three scenarios, it is also assumed that transmission and distribution losses continue to fall. For transmission, they drop to 3.0% by 2018. Distribution losses drop to 10% by 2019.
Also, some savings are achieved by using more efficient cooling technology to reduce grid purchases. The retrofit therefore reduces the total energy purchased from the grid, but it also modifies the hourly electrical demand profile. Both pieces of information are required to compute the savings, because it is assumed that the grid pricing is demand-sensitive, such that the price per kWh each month is a function of the load factor for that month. Load factor is defined on a monthly basis as the ratio of the average power consumption for the month divided by the peak hourly power consumption. The load factor measures the consistency of the demand over time, with high load factors indicating a more consistent demand that is less costly for the utility to provide. The monthly per kWh grid price is therefore inversely related to load factor.
In the last year in U.K. there have being a fierce pressure to apply a wide-ranging price cap on energy bills, which will be analysed
According to the case study written by Jurek, Bras, Guldberg, D’Arcy, Oh, and Biller, energy costs were steadily rising and were predicted to continue this trend going into the future. At the same time, utility companies were beginning to implement Smart Grid technologies to increase the efficiency of energy distribution. One resulting program to emerge from
Moreover, DER may have negative impacts for traditional utilities that are unable to adapt to these new energy systems, which may even develop over time into a utility “death spiral” concern. The confluence of technological developments in renewable energy production and distributed computing power has caused a shift in the industry from more one-way, command & control systems to more reliable, customer driven, and energy-efficient systems.
The initial cost of the products of I Power could sound expensive for some consumers since it is much as compared to the electricity or fossil fuels.
Increased electric use could organically increase to a level that would justify the expense of expanding distributed power to these regions. However, the likelihood of this growth occurring at a rate that justifies the capital expenditure necessary for distributed power is minimal. Instead, PPL could stage this expansion in a way to correspond with the global markets’ continued desire to find ever-cheaper labor in rural markets. When a manufacturing facility is constructed in a rural market, PPL could mandate, as a condition of it supplying power to the facility, that the manufacturer also provide for construction of distributed power facilities in the surrounding villages.
The results from the calculation indicated 100% of the grid purchases amounted to 4063kilowatt hour per year for per household in a residential area. The total net present cost (NPC) amounted to R 63 725.00; the cash operating expense (COE) amounted to R2.00; and the operating cost was R 8
As noted in the table above, the initial Capital Costs appeared quite appealing for the initial base design option but when coupled with the long term (10-year period) operational costs at the assumed 6% discount rate, Option 1 slightly edged out over Option 2. This standing increased furthermore when a sensitivity analysis was completed as noted in section 6.1.1, which noted an even greater advantage if the cost of energy was assumed at $0.15 per kWh or if discount rate was increased to 11%.
While green house gases arise from electrical generation and improvements in area will lead to decreases in their emission another major issue is electrical transmission. There is energy loss due to inefficiencies in the electrical transmission process and these loses require increases in overall generation. Additionally, inefficient coupling between supply and demand lead to suboptimal power generation. Meeting the 2030’s proposal expectations will require the use of multiple means of renewable energy production. Due to geographic positions some countries have excellent potential for specific energy generation, such as solar in the Mediterranean, hydro in the Nordic areas and wind along the Atlantic coast. However, matching the potential local supply of electrical power to local demand is difficult, in some areas heavily surpassing it. Additionally, power supply issues may arise from over reliance of one particularly power supply in an area. To address these issues networks are in place to transmit electrical power into and out of a local area, allowing connected areas to supplement one another and make more efficient use of power.