How Crime-Forecasting Software and the Principles of Psychology Work Together

500 WordsApr 23, 20192 Pages
How Crime-Forecasting Software and the Principles of Psychology Work Together Researchers have come up with an innovative way of predicting crime by the use of Crime Forecasting Software. The software is meant to enable the security agencies to maximize their effectiveness in dealing with crime within their specific area of responsibility using limited resources. It goes beyond the convectional hot spot analysis and evaluates both spatial and temporal attributes in incident data. With the result, it creates a forecast map of areas where and when crime is likely to occur. It comes with an integrated map viewer to help visualize crime hotspots every moment of the day. It creates forecast models from latest crime data from Records management…show more content…
Thus, the probability of one engaged in crime can be traced to the childhood. The principle of analysis and theory of psychodynamic perspective come into play in analysing the likelihood of one engaging in crime in future. 2. Multivariate methods. These methods take into account several variables that come into play. It involves simultaneous observation and analysis of more than one outcome of a variable. In crime forecasting, valuables used could be fixed elements on a particular area that has high rate of crime, (nature of residents and land issues). These factors do not change easily. Spatial interactions in the data are also analysed. (For example, using time –lags to show displacement of crime from a hot spot to neighbouring areas due to police crackdown on offenders.)Finally, lead factors in the forecast are defined. (example; steady rise in small crimes will lead to hard ones in the future.) The study further seeks to show the relationship between the variables and the problem being studied. Cognitive theory in psychology explains that people develop reasoning in an ordinary and logical fashion. The analysis of your behaviour may be dependent on several factors affecting your reasoning. To make decisions, you undergo a series of complex processes in the mind. However, you are likely to be affected by issues such as poor judgement, beliefs and personal aspirations. In forecasting, each of the independent

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