Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture
Introduction
Climate change is one of the biggest and urgent issues of the present world and overwhelming scientific consensus is concerned with climate change. The earth’s climate is rapidly changing mainly as a result of increase in greenhouse gases caused by human activities. Over the last 100 years (1906-2005), global temperature has increased by 0.74°C and it is expected to increase by about 0.2°C per decade over the next two decade (IPCC 2007). For developing countries like Nepal, it is not just an environmental phenomenon but also an economic, social and political issue. Nepal is among the most vulnerable countries on earth with regard to climate change however, emission of green house gas
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Questions I seek to Answer with this study It is important to understand how farmers perceive global climate change and how they are changing their adaptive strategies. .In this context, this study intends to capture the extent of local peoples’ farming practice and perceptions of climate variability and change and the types of adjustments they have made in their farming practices in response to these change. To put in a nutshell, this study will seek to answer the following research questions:
• What are probable impacts of climatic uncertainty on farming system?
• What is the level of knowledge and farmers’ perception towards climatic variability?
• What are the strategies of the farmers to cope with climate change? Do the farmers have place-specific strategies? If so, what are they?
Aim of the Study
The main aim of this study will to understand the continuity and change in farming system under the climatic uncertainty in Far-Western Tarai of Nepal. The main questions to be addressed in this study are:
• What type of farming system exists in Far-Western Tarai of Nepal and how climate change is affecting existing farming system?
• How do farmers perceive climatic variability in regional level?
• What are the adaptive strategies under climatic uncertainty?
• What are the potential climate change impacts and who are the most vulnerable?
References
Bordoni, Paul. 2009.
The practice of Drought Tolerant Maize showed excellent consequences under reduced rainfall and warm climate. Moreover, climate information and early warning system were applied in sub-Saharan Africa. They aimed to provide evidences of risk of significant changes in climate ahead and to tack action that can decrease possible risks. In contrast, because of insufficient and incomplete understanding of the impact of climate change on the agriculture, Australia introduced climate change adaptations, which covers obtaining knowledge about how the communities confront the climate change in the
Agriculture is highly dependent upon weather and climate in order to produce the food necessary to sustain human life. North America is the world’s largest and most productive supplier of food and fiber (3). Canada is the second largest country in the world however it only contains five percent of land that is suitable for farming (7). This small farming area is divided in two different zones. The first zone is the great Prairies located in Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba and the mixed Wood Plains of the St. Lawrence River and the second zone is the Great Lakes regions (7). Approximately 80% of Canada’s major farming is done the Prairies (7). There have been several recent studies that indicate most regions of Canada to warm up during the next 60 years (3). The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 2007 projected that global average temperature to increase by 1.5 to 4.5 degrees Celsius (3). Ironically, this would be the largest increase in global mean temperature in the last 10, 000 years (3). According to the comprehensive Canada Country Study (CCS) all the Global Climate Model (GCM) indicates Canada will be impacted with the most warming (7). The impacts of this climate change will be greatly reflected on the
The ability of humanity to adapt to agriculture, new climates is evidence to many that climate change poses fundamental threat to agriculture that clever humans, as in centuries past, will simply adapt agriculture
Adams, R. M., B. Hurd, S. Lenhart, and N. Leary, 1998: Effects of global climate change on agriculture: An interpretative review. Climate Research, 11, 19-30. Web. 19 July 2015. The authors explain how climate is utterly important to the agriculture field. However, climate has been changing these past years, and it has obligated farmers to make drastic adjustments. Numerous amount of economic approaches and key biological issues involved with the consequences of climate change are elaborated throughout this article.
Evidence of Climate Change is being felt around the world. The most vulnerable areas are the least developed, which lack public instruments and infrastructure to adapt to the extreme effects of climate. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is vital to slow the progress of climate change, however, adapting to the consequences of this intensified climate crisis by the human being itself is key. Some countries understand it, others just cannot do too much about it. New evidence shows that Climate Change has affected many sectors in Asia. Crop yields in several countries have declined, due in part to increased temperature and external weather events. The retreat of glaciers and permafrost in Asia in recent years has no precedent and is a consequence
Farmers may be able to prepare for climate change by planting crops during different times of the year, or by planting crops that can survive better in hot and dry
India is in the monsoon zone. Monsoons drastically affected the way in which the agriculture system worked. The monsoon are created by the direction the wind is moving which would bring in heavy raining. The farmers learned how to crop at certain times of the year, trying to use the
Earth’s climate is on a downward spiral, and our agricultural industry is a main cause. Climate change is upon us, and it’s happening faster than scientists predicted over a decade ago (Pollan 872). Most People don’t care about climate change; things have gotten worse than what the models have predicted, despite being what the data predicts the outcome will be. Agriculture is a major part of climate change, and it’s already happening today such as droughts, flooding, erratic weather shifting, and longer growing seasons (Lappé 854). The massive demand on agriculture, and its growth directly contributes to climate change, and our insatiable appetite is to blame. The dilemma with climate change, is that the sum of every little every day choice that we make that affects our environment, because we are 70 percent of the economy that affects the climate (Pollan 872). The only probable solution to our dilemma is to start making better decisions, and to be conscious of our environment. A key decision we could make to
Along with the devastation that will follow the increase in natural disasters, global warming will soon prove to be a burden on our agricultural market as well. According to the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the “changing climate could cause soils to become drier and drier, and crop failures could become more widespread.” What burdens will this place on the global economy? It will affect the poorest countries first, mostly due to the fact that the majority of these “poor” countries have a high dependency on agriculture as a means of living and trade. Another affect on our agriculture will be the disruption in our food supply according to author and Boston Globe editor Ross Gelbspan, “global warming could result in insect
When global warming strikes, we will see threats toward the global food production and supply. As temperatures rise and drought starts, the production of things like livestock, wheat, fruit, corn, and fisheries decrease. Different parts of the planet that have adequate rainfall for crop production now, will need irrigation systems to support their yields. Irrigation
In terms of conservative thinking, climate change adaptation refers to approaches which develop the measures to accommodate with the adverse changes. {IPCC., 2008 #293@@author-year} has indicated that “Climate change adaptation is the adjustment in natural or human systems in response to actual or expected climatic stimuli or their effects, which moderates harm or exploits beneficial opportunities”. People believe that we can minimize the impacts and vulnerability if we develop the good scenarios of climate change conditions and climate change is one of causality determinism {Adger, 2009 #299}. This viewpoint tries to protect the status quo of bio-physical conditions and to avoid the chaos in socio-economic
Climate change means the fluctuation changes of the climate in a period of time, this period of time could means several decades or centenaries, the fluctuation could be regional or global. At present, what we talked most is the effect of the environment policy on the climate, in another words is the effect of human factor on the climate, especially the questions about the global warming, and climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing the world, it’s extremely urgent, people wonder that if the power of an individual can slow down the global warming, if we join with scientists, business enterprise and the government, start from small details, we can do a big contribution for the reduce of greenhouse gas emission.
Climate change is one of the major issues surfacing earth over the past century. The earth’s temperature has increased over the years leading to detrimental effects on the economic and life sources of people, especially that of agricultural production and livestock. The Merriam-Webster online dictionary (2014), defined climate change as a change in global climate patterns apparent from the mid late 20th century. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC, (2007) predicts that by 2100 the increase in global average surface temperature may be between 1.8° C and 4.0° C. With increases of 1.5° C to 2.5° C, approximately 20 to 30 percent of plant and animal species are expected to be at risk of extinction. Moreover, the IPCC (2007)
These weather events highlight one of the greatest threats to food security in Timor-Leste: climate change. With more than 80% of the Timorese population working as subsistence farmers (Williams et al., 2013), many families are at-risk as a result of their reliance on agricultural outputs. Predictions are that by 2050, Timor-Leste’s climate will become approximately 1.5°C hotter and 10% wetter and that the population is set to triple (Molyneux et al., 2012). This unprecedented increase in population size will place an even greater burden on an already strained food system. The sudden shift in weather patterns will also have an unpredictable impact on climate sensitive and socially essential resources such as soil and water (Barnett et al., 2007), as well as shocking coastal communities that are reliant on aquatic ecosystems (Valmonte-Santos et al., 2016).
Climate change and the diminishing of the natural resource base caused by human activity to provide their needs and satisfy their insatiable appetite for more things as well as the pressure on the nature caused by population increase has necessitated the need for such behaviors and activities as will assist man to cope in this situation. These behaviors and activities to cope are called resilience and Walker and Salt (2006) defined resilience as the ability of a system to absorb disturbance and still retain its basic function and structure. To reach to this resilience level, there is need for redesigning of the use of the natural resource base in a manner that will ensure its sustainability. One of the systems that depend on the use of natural resource base for its total thriving is the agricultural system. The extent to which an agricultural system is resilient depends solely upon the practices used to extract benefits from the system, that is, to improve productivity. It is therefore imperative to ensure that farmers employ sustainable practices, stakeholders put in measures that promote these sustainable practices and policies be developed that support the sustainable practices. Nevertheless, there are other various drivers and disturbances that impact on agricultural system apart from the unsustainable practices and these drivers also determine the level at which the agricultural system will be resilient. In this paper, I will discuss the agricultural system and its