Johnathan Last : S What To Propect When No One's Expecting

In 1950, were approximately 3.5 million births with women having an average of 3.8 children (“Measuring childbearing patterns in the United States 2010”.) As of the 2010 women on average have 1.9 children. This

Population growth has been running rampant in developing countries for the past century due to a lack of education, medical care, and gender equality. According to Jonathon Porrit, a British environmentalist and writer, “The combined population of the four countries [Ethiopia, Uganda, Somalia and Kenya] was 40 million in 1960. Now it is nearly 170 million [in late 2011].” “Overall, the human population has quadrupled in the twentieth century”(Cromwell 167) alone due to technological and medical advancements of the industrial revolution Because of the Industrial revolution, there have been many advancements in medicine, leading to lower morality rates in developed and developing countries alike. Developing countries lack the education and family planning that they need in order to maintain a stable and healthy population. Family planning is the act of” anticipate and attain their desired number of children and the spacing and timing of their births. It is achieved through use of contraceptive methods and the

Once a person has a baby that doesn't guarantee that the baby will live. With better technology we have birth control methods and abortions for people who don't have babies. People who do want to have babies have the risk of the baby dying from disease. "Millions of babies have died, a fraction from AIDS, more from malaria, pneumonia, even measles. More millions have been aborted." So people are having less children at higher ages combined with the fact that the baby can die from disease. That can dramatically lower the birth rate and it has because instead of the predicted 12 billion by 2050 only 9 billion is expected by 2050. That's means in a few decades 3 billion

Accordingly, the only semblance of a thesis statement was found half way through the article and does not even cover what allot of the article is about. It reads: “Already, nearly half the world’s population lives in countries with birthrates below the replacement level.” Due to his scatter brained writing style it is hard ascertain what his greater point is. He first talks about the fertility drop in Iran, then randomly compares the rate to New England, then says fertility rates have dropped in Morocco, Syria and Saudi Arabia, then bounces back to Iran but instead talks about the economic implications, then swaps to Russia’s fertility drop, then to the effect of the fertility drop on Japan’s demographic profile, then India’s regional problems, and finally lands on how the US will be hurt by the fertility drop and simply stops there. He has no call to action and makes no effort to wrap his jumble up and tie it all together. His final statement is “In the 21st century, the U.S. could be the slowly aging leader of a rapidly aging world.” The sentence only has to do with less than ten percent of the article and leaves the reader utterly confused. In summation, the style of this article is highly ineffective because it is non-linear and

Today in developed countries, an average of 2.1 births per woman would maintain a steady population.

Additionally, the population of Caucasian Americans in Texas have the highest birth rates in the state and American Indians have the lowest birth rate. “Allan Johnson (2000) reports in addition to these birth rates, demographers use three hypothetical rates to get some idea of the future consequences of current patterns of reproductive behavior in a population. The gross reproduction rate (GRR) is the average number of daughters that would be born to a hypothetical cohort of women if current birth rates for women of various ages were to remain the same throughout their lifetime. In other words, it is the number of daughters they would have if they went through their twenties having babies at the current rate for women in their twenties, through

These progressions lead to the control of sicknesses, the creation of more nourishment, better employments, and enhanced restorative consideration and sanitation. As the passing rates diminish, the conception rates stay high on the grounds that individuals are still usual to creating more youngsters, and amid this stage they have more nourishment and assets to help bigger families. As an issue of the declining passing rates and high conception rates, the human populace will increment at a fast

In my opinion, this trend reflects a combination of medical advances, technology, and ideals and values of the new “Me generation”; in which, people are choosing career and self-fulfillment before family. Once we have done all we want to do and seen all we want to see; we can begin to consider whether or not we would like to have children.

ageing population is that an increasing number of families prefer to have less babies than before.

The first new certainty is “The Collapsing Birthrate in the Developed World”. Drucker discusses about how birthrates were no longer steadily increasing for populations, but were instead declining. In some parts of the developed world, the birth rate has fallen below the necessary level for population reproduction. Japan may be the most noticeable one in this declining birthrate. However, the decline in birthrate can be delayed or unnoticed due to immigration. Mexicans immigrants for example, have kept their birth rates around what they were in Mexico. Drucker then talks about how the declining birthrate would result in tremendous changes like government instability being the norm in developed countries, or the concept of retirement might dramatically

In 1792 a divorce law was created that was for both men and women, this law allowed for more or less divorce on demand for either party for any reason. This along with it becoming more common to use condoms and their more widespread availability were other key societal factors in keeping their birthrates much lower than the other countries. Along with this idea also is the fact that since French peasants believed in primogeniture meaning the oldest son inherited all the land and the younger sons lived mostly as just celibate permeant farm hands. Therefore, it was in the French peasants’ best interest to try and have as few kids as possible so as to not have this problem. (Urdank, Lecture 15)

In recent years it has become evident that the population of Europe is falling at a rate that could become problematic. This problem is contradictory to the idea of a population explosion promoted by the book “The Population Bomb by Paul Ehrlich which decries the rapid growth of the earth’s population as problematic for the environment and for quality of life. The decline of fertility points to a view of children that is particularly troubling. Europe simply does not want children despite its desperate need for a growing, productive workforce. Certain social factors have had a strong impact on this problem including migration, birth control, the role of motherhood and the economy. Population decline is indicative of the decline of the

“Human population growth challenges the efforts toward sustainability. People who are concerned about the environment, development, and sustainability are in a position to stress the importance of human population and to encourage people to choose small family size” (Grossman 1435-1436). Around seventy years ago the average American family had an estimated 6 children, but in today’s time it has diminished to half of that. Statistically each new birth will

As advances in technology and medicine lead to longer lifespans and lowered mortality from disease, some people worry about overpopulating the earth. These people also argue that aid work will fuel the population growth and demolish one of the only forms of population control. Melinda Gates explains that as people work to provide more education and contraceptives to women in third-world countries, the birth rate will naturally decrease, especially as they worry less about having a child survive into adulthood (Rosen). Currently there is enough to sustain the population and its growth in the years to come; presently the issue is not the number of people, but rather, the distribution and effective use of resources.

First off, we will look at how birth rates are trending over the globe. With the United States, the birth rates have been declining for the past few years. Looking at the past six years, starting in 2008, the birth rate was 14.18 per 1000 persons. Looking at 2014 the birth rate was 13.42 per 1000 persons. The average number of babies women from 15 to 44 have over their life dropped to a record low last year, to 1.86 babies, well below the 2.1 needed for a stable population. For every 1,000 women ages 15 to 44, there were 62.5 births in 2013, compared with 63 the previous year. As we see here, these numbers are not heading in the right direction, but are not all that bad.