Presidents seemingly visit a plethora of states. However, Brendan Doherty attempts to make sense of how travel shows the idea of the permanent campaign in American politics. Doherty first notes that in the last year of his presidency Bill Clinton visited Nebraska. Why had it taken so long for Clinton to visit Nebraska? The answer is for two reasons; Nebraska was (is) a solid red state, and Nebraska is a small state of little electoral significance (five electoral votes). Thus, Clinton’s lack of attention to Nebraska is used for Doherty’s larger springboard of what states candidates visit and when. Doherty discovers that candidates visit states most frequently with the most population. These states present fundraising advantages. However, Doherty …show more content…
However, I would like to extend his observations to primary campaigns using my own analysis. Recently, John Kasich came in second in the New Hampshire. Despite not winning John Kasich outperformed other establishment candidates like Chris Christie, Marco Rubio, and Jeb Bush. However, Kasich seemingly focused solely on New Hampshire conducting over 100 town halls in the state. Further, Kasich has attempted to present himself nationally as the most moderate of the Republicans. In my opinion, Kasich has done this strategically to win votes in the more moderate New Hampshire. The question remains though can Kasich carry this strategy farther. In my opinion, Kasich has to focus on Nevada and hope for a decent result. Further, Kasich has to strategically travel to the “Rust Belt” and the northeast to remain competitive. Thus, if Kasich’s strategic design of being more moderate to appeal he will have to continue to travel strategically in state’s that are more moderate. Likewise, I wonder if Hillary Clinton will adopt a similar strategy. I believe Hillary Clinton must be more moderate to route Bernie Sanders in the South by appealing to traditional Blue Dog Democrats. Further, Clinton has to begin to strategically travel to these Southern states immediately. If Sanders was to win South Carolina his message will become much more appealing in the South. Thus, it is imperative Clinton travels to South Carolina and halt Sanders’s
Although Burr was never able to reach 50% in the polls, he exceeded that threshold on Election Day and defeated Ross by almost 6%. In order to analyze the political climate further, I will be comparing the exit polls for both Trump vs. Clinton and Burr vs Ross. This will help explain why Ross was entering the Senate race with a disadvantage despite media pundits arguing that higher turnout in presidential election years should benefit Ross. Although Five Thirty Eight gave Clinton the slight edge to defeat Trump in North Carolina, Trump’s was able to carry the state with a modest performance. Although Real Clear Politics had Burr winning by an average of 2%, that was certainly below the 5.7% final result. In a three way race between Trump, Clinton, and Johnson, Trump was predicted to win North Carolina by about 1%. The actual results, however, showed Trump winning by about 4%. Although this paper is focusing on the Senate race, it’s certainly important to note the impact that a presidential candidate can have on the electoral map, particularly
America’s history of Presidents has been a long and grand one. With many close races, campaigns have been a crucial part of gaining votes. However the campaigns today are completely different compared to those before those before the nineteenth century. The ideals behind each voter differed greatly and the way each party gathered votes may have been considered strange today. Compared to the days where direct appeals were looked down upon, the American society has adapted itself with the advancement media and technology has made such appeals a common thing. Political parties have had to adapt to these
The authors dissected and explained every portion of the Iowa Caucuses exceptionally well, to the point where Why Iowa? could be used as a textbook for a middle school class learning about the presidential nominating process. Not to undermine the text, it’s just written very simply and is fact based, citing countless studies and including many graphs with
In the following documentary, “Last Man Standing: Politics Texas Style” this film is taken place from a behind-the-scenes point of view that shows a very closely fought race in the Texas, There was an ongoing race for the House District 45. Not only did you see the ongoing race but also got to witness the governor’s race, which is Tony Sanchez against Governor Rick Perry. Also another witness Ron Kirk running for senate in Texas against John Cornyn. Overall numerous comments are proclaimed by local and nation figures in the documentary about discussion’s on politics, which really had a very intuitive background to an in depth side from running campaigns to strategies that some candidates used to attract voter to vote for them. In the documentary it primarily focused on two specific candidates running for The House District 45. First, you had Rick Green, a thirty-one year old incumbent Republican Legislator and a conservative leader that is running for reelection as House District 45. He had served two terms during the republican holder generation. Most people notice right from the beginning that he is well more experience candidate for the election, thus making people more openly trust him that he can manage the position of in which he is running for. This not only makes him more experienced through the people’s perspective but also through his campaign style and debate appearances. Another appealing interest that people see is that he is a Christian which people pick up
In other words, presidential candidates campaign much less in these states because it is simply viewed as a waste of money. A critic might say that candidates refrain from visiting smaller states because there is just not enough time to fully campaign in all 50 states. That may be true, however, with the focus of getting the most amount votes in the least amount of time causes candidates to focus on the states with a high number of electoral votes first and those with the least
Kasich acknowledged that he won't win in Trump's home territory, but hopes to pick up some delegates to add on his long-shot bid. "Here in New York we are running in second now," Kasich said. "In Maryland we are now running in second and in Pennsylvania, I haven't seen anything lately, but the last thing I saw had us in a virtual tie for first place."
“The Candidate” is a prime example to the inside of a campaign and the inside of an election. Elections do not only include the candidate themselves but the campaign manager, the supporters, the nominee’s family and the media crew. During “The Candidate” democratic nominee John McKay uses many strategies in order to “not” win his election for senator of California. Going into this campaign McKay was in hopes that he would not win the election, as time passed his view of the election changed as did his strategies.
While gaining support from the general public can be stimulated by countless political figures, the greatest influencer in politics continues to be money. Campaign spending is a strong determinant in voting outcomes, further denoting its overwhelming importance. Funding and spending gain importance relative to the size of the campaign; gaining support for this bill would likely cost a significant amount, as support is needed across the state. Campaigning at this capacity requires advertisements, commercials, appearances, and possibly travel, all of which demand significant funding. However, the nature of this campaign lends itself well to considerable funding, as “organizational contributors tend to support issues in the area of... tax and revenue policy” (Braunstein, 2004, 124). This unwavering support from countless contributors will provide the state legislators an opportunity to broadcast their campaign and positively market Senate Bill 325.
Last Wednesday, Cruz tried to get the media 's attention away from Trump 's foreign policy address by announcing his Vice Presidential pick, his former rival Carly Fiorina. The move was seen as "a sign of desperate" according to many media pundit who questioned why would Cruz who was mathematically eliminated from becoming the nominee pick a running mate just three months before the convention. Cruz hoped the move of picking Fiorina, who became his strongest surrogate after endorsing the Senator before the Florida primary in mid-March would help with the moderate Republicans and woman voters. After announcing Cruz-Fiorina 2016, Fiorina campaigned alongside the Cruz, a mistake the Cruz 's campaign employed. Previous approaches in Iowa and Wisconsin used by the Cruz 's campaign would deploy their top surrogates in key suburbs as a divide and conquer approach. It wasn 't until Monday that Cruz 's campaign changed their approach but it was already to late when he failed to use
Long Island, N.Y. — Looking ahead to the New York presidential primary, Ohio Governor John Kasich is wasting no time campaigning in the state that will play a pivotal role in deciding who will get the nomination come July.
Fundraising success correlates strongly with electoral success. In 2002, 95 percent of House winners raised more than their opponents. In 2004, more than 95 percent of House winners outspent their opponents. (4 “Money Is the Victor in 2002 Midterm Elections,” Center for Responsive Politics, Nov. 6, 2002. 5 “2004 Election Outcome: Money Wins,” Center for Responsive Politics, Nov. 3,
Every four years, on February 6th, the Iowa Caucus, a meeting to select presidential candidates, begins. Some individuals would assume Iowa holds no significance. However, Iowa helps predict the top presidential candidates for the upcoming presidential election. Over the years, “Iowa has become a king maker;” whereas before, the event was widely neglected by candidates during the 1800s (Iowa Pathways.) In other words, the Iowa Caucus is a series of meetings which helps predict the future candidates in the Republican and Democratic parties, and recognizes the top candidates which have the potential to win the election.
On decision day, when voters in every state go to the surveys, every one throws a tally for the slate of presidential voters who are promised to bolster the hopeful the voter lean towards. These slates host been chosen by political gatherings, through traditions, boards of trustees or primaries. At the point when an applicant
When the words “swing state” are mentioned, Florida is perhaps one of the first states a person may think of. In this year’s election cycle, the story is no different. Florida has a single senate seat up for election, and Marco Rubio (R), and Patrick Murphy (D) are hoping to claim it on November 8th. Marco Rubio has held that seat since the last senate election in 2010, giving him an edge as the incumbent. Patrick Murphy is the challenger and has been a member of the House of Representatives since 2012. A glance at any polling numbers shows Rubio ahead, and most have shown him ahead since the beginning of the race. The polls do not show a commanding lead, as one may expect from an incumbent. While polling margins are slimmer than many average incumbents, money has not stopped flowing to Rubio. His finances are typical of an incumbent particularly that of a closely contested race. It may be impossible to tell which has the greater effect of Rubio’s fundraising. In states that are typically swing states and have close political races, simple analyses such as incumbency advantage may not fully explain the results and polls in the race.
Political campaigns are very significant in American politics and elections. It is the period before the electorate makes political decisions in the form of elections. The attention of the citizens towards politics intensifies as the date of the elections draws near. The salience of voters improves as the election date draws near and could manifest in the form of increased media attention. Political discussions, campaign interest, strength of the intention to vote, and knowledge about the candidates are other manifestations of increased salience of voters. Another indication of improved intensity is the effort put by the candidates and their political parties in the campaigns. Parties increase their efforts in the