Oil Prices and Economic Growth

Oil price increases are generally thought to increase inflation and reduce economic growth. In terms of inflation, oil prices directly affect the prices of goods made with petroleum products. As mentioned above, oil prices indirectly affect costs such as transportation, manufacturing, and heating. The increase in these costs can in turn affect the prices of a variety of goods and services, as producers may pass production costs on to consumers. The extent to which oil price increases lead to consumption price increases depends on how important oil is for the production of a given type of good or service.

For example, the Intercontinental Exchange while oil prices have not been decided on by oil producers such as Niami refinery fires, Nigerian Pirates and global oil markets. The laws of demand and supply are also predicted by the increase and decrease in the prices of oil. Oil prices are driven by the increase in demand for oil which has limited or completely destroyed the gains for suppliers and producers. While the U.S still consumes more oil than any other country, it is evident from the increase in oil demand that developing countries such as China, India and Japan are driving oil prices higher by their continous growth in oil demand (Anderson, 1).

This research paper provides an overview on why there is oil price falling in the United States. It will examine the reasons that are influencing fall of oil prices. Additionally, the paper will seek to explore the effects caused by the fall of oil prices in the American’s economy.

Graph 1 represents the major companies and nations which product crude oil. It also represents how the bent crude oil price has fluctuated from 2004 until 2014. From 2004-2008 it is evident that there is a steady rise in oil prices, from $35-$150 per barrel. Towards the end of 2008 it is evident that there is a significant drop in oil prices, from $150- $32 per barrel. This is due to the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) where the stock market collapsed on October 28, 1928, through this came the rapid decrease in oil prices. From 2009-2011 there is a steady increase in oil prices which was caused by the stock market repairing itself from impact of the GFC. In 2013 we are able to see declining oil

A group of researchers show that oil price fluctuation have significant impact on the economic activity. The significant are expected different from oil importing and exporting countries. (Soytas, Sari, Hammoudeh, & Hacihasanoglu, 2009). However, those countries exporting oil an increase in the oil price considered good news to them. When the price of oil increase the exporting, countries gain more money, but for importing countries when the oil price decreases, it’s going to have an impact on their real economy especial when the country relies on the oil as one of their main source of income. The monetary transmission mechanism which has the control on the interest rate which the oil price have has an impact on

After the industrial revolution, the demand for oil has been increasing globally. Over 100 million tonnes of oil are transported around the world on average a day. There are countries like the US which consume almost one quarter of global oil output, which must be supplied from oil reserves, usually from countries like Saudi Arabia (Guinness, 2011, p. 245). This shows that the topic of oil consumption is a global issue as all countries need oil to develop and provide for their populations. The issue with this large consumption of oil is the fact that oil is a non-renewable source of energy and therefore has a limit. Oil is formed

Oil and gasoline prices follow a trend that sparks mixed reactions from different industry stakeholders in the America’s economy. The trends on oil and gasoline and their stability have immense impact on the performance of the economy based on their primary as energy. The government’s ability to ensure stability in price movement is seen as a key step towards fostering steady economic growth. A variety of factors are at play in the determination of these trends exhibited by the oil prices in America. Some of these factors are attributable to the market forces and understanding them would be instrumental in resolving economic problems resulting

Over the longer-term, some of the major trends that affect the price of oil are consumption for business and personal use. For example, Anderson and Boul (2005) note that China's economic growth has resulted in that nation having steadily increasing demand for oil. Much of this comes from growth of the country's consumer class, with automobile sales, and from growth in industrial uses for oil. India, the US, and the world's modern economies are all big users of oil, so the drivers of demand in these nations can have an impact on world markets for oil.

Is it true what experts say, when the price of oil drops the economy gets better, and when the price of oil rises the economy suffers? Of course as consumers we love to pay less at the gas pumps, but as we play much less now for gas then we did last year many of us are suffering due to the dramatic drop in the price of oil. As I strongly agree that the low cost of oil is hurting the economy in general, as I was one who fell victim to the recession working for an oil company up until January 2015, but fell victim to lay off due to the big drop in prices.

Changes in supply and demand played a major role but the effect was not very harmful. However, it is suggested that supply factors give bigger impact than demand factors to the latest oil price collapse. If driven largely by supply factors, historical estimates suggest that the 45 percent of the oil price collapse would likely lift global GDP by up to 0.7 to 0.8 percent over the medium term and reduce global inflation by a full percentage point in the short term (Baffes, Kose, Ohnsorge,

The use of conventional oil for producing electricity has begun to decline in recent years, but there are still many countries that depend on oil for electricity. There are three main technologies that are used to convert oil into electricity. These include conventional steam, combustion turbine, and combined-cycle technology. Conventional steam uses oil to heat water into steam which generates electricity. Combustion turbine burns oil under pressure to produce exhaust gases that turn a turbine to produce electricity. Combined-cycle technology is a combination of the former methods wherein the combustion of oil produces gases that spin a turbine then are collected to heat water into steam to drive a second turbine. These methods of producing electricity used to be extremely efficient, as one barrel of oil could extract, process, refine, ship, and deliver over one hundred barrels of oil. However, in today’s day and age, one barrel of oil is only able to produce an average of twenty barrels of oil, sometimes much less. Not only is the production of oil becoming less efficient, but scientists have realized that the processes involving oil are detrimental to the environment. The burning of oil as well as the drilling, transporting, and

The report suggest that there a direct correlation between oil prices and the inflation rate that became extraordinarily clear after the 1973 OPEC oil embargo "when the cost of oil rose from a nominal price of $3 before the 1973 oil crisis to around $40 during the 1979 oil crisis." This extraordinary change caused long lines at gas pumps, gas rationing, massive inflation rates and changes in oil policies and auto manufacturing to favor production of smaller cars. The Consumer Price Index is the key yardstick that measures inflation, and it more than doubled in eight years from 41.20 to 86.30 during the time that oil prices were skyrocketing in the 1970s. It had previously taken 24 years for CPI prices to double. Other key economic benchmarks that rising oil prices affect include:

A statistical review of world energy made by BP illustrates how much oil and natural gas that has been produced in each country and worldwide from 1965-2010. Worldwide, the total development of oil has increased from 31,806,000 barrels daily in 1965, to 82,095,000 barrels daily in 2010. The development of oil has increased from 96,9 billion cubic feet daily in 1970, to 309 billion cubic feet daily in 2010. The main reason to the increase in production is off course the growing demand, but according to naturalgas it would have been impossible without the improvement in our technology. Consumption of oil increased from 30,783,000 daily in 1965 to 87,382,000 barrels daily in 2010 and consumption of gas increased from 63 billion cubic feet daily in 1965 to 306,6 billion cubic feet daily in 2010.

World oil demand is increasing as emerging economies need more energy to increase their living standards. Estimates, shown below, are that by 2030, China and India as emerging markets will import over 70% to 90% of their fossil fuel needs (1) . Coupled to a continued high and growing demand for oil, makes this a robust market for the next 30 years.

In his book, Black Gold: The story of Oil in our lives, Albert Marrin said, “By the fall of 1918, it was clear that a nation’s prosperity, even its very survival depended on securing a safe, abundant supply of cheap oil.” Crude oil is one of, if not the most important commodity in the world. And it has become something that is highly tied to the global economy as a result. The rise and fall of oil prices are used as indicators of what’s to come and how to prepare for it. The very prosperity of some nations is directly indeed directly tied to oil production or procurement. In this paper, I will be discussing the effects of oil surplus and shortage on the economy as well as the effect of oil prices as well. I will also be looking at the effect of recent development, new technology and oil substitutes on the industry and the economy by extension.