SINGAPORE MITA No. 013/06/2008 Company Report 12 March 2009 Olam International Ltd Gravity-defying growth Resilient to recession. Olam International Ltd (Olam) has been delivering consistent revenue and earnings growth since its listing in 2005, and growth momentum is expected to sustain despite the global recession. Management has guided for 16% to 20% topline CAGR and 25% to 30% earnings CAGR over the next three years. These goals are achievable, given that demand for food is relatively inelastic and earnings are therefore less vulnerable to the global economic downturn. Olam has already proven its resilience by delivering a 32.9% growth in 1H09 core earnings despite the recent collapse of commodity prices, demonstrating its ability …show more content…
Olam's key investment merit lies in its resilient earnings growth profile against a climate of earnings contraction. We initiate coverage on the stock with a BUY rating and S$1.37 fair value estimate based on 10x FY10 PER. Key risks include high gearing, counter-party risk, and dilution risk from its convertible bonds. Page 5 12 March 2009 Olam International Ltd Section B: SWOT Analysis Exhibit 5: Swot Analysis Strengths Strong track record Well diversified High barriers to entry Dividend policy - 25% of NPAT Resilient to commodity cycles Weaknesses High gearing Imperfect inventory hedges Illiquid nature of certain products Unable to participate in economic recovery (via metals and energy) Opportunities Adjacent products and markets Mergers and acquisitions Threats Geopolitical risk Refinancing risk in light of credit crunch Counter-party risk Slowing demand Supply-side risk Source: OIR Strengths Sound business model. Olam's focus on agricultural commodities allows it to be a specialised niche player with keen market intelligence in this space, while its portfolio spread of 20 different products, its presence in 60 countries, and its reach to 6500 customers and over 200,000 suppliers ensures that the group's operations are well-diversified. In addition, Olam's integration of supply chain activities from sourcing (upstream) and processing
Strengths: Minimal delay in production. Avoid lead-level requirements. Safter products for customers, thereby increasing customer satisfaction. Avoid legal issues from foreign and domestic governments. Contract abrogation with supplier if process failure due to supplier. Socially responsible
Is that make loans or buy bonds with long maturities are relatively more exposed to credit risk. Foreign exchange risk, is the risk that exchange rate changes can affect the value of an FI’s assets and liabilities denominated in foreign currencies. FIs can reduce risk through domestic-foreign activity. Liquidity risk, is the risk that a sudden and unexpected increase in liability withdrawals may require an FI to liquidate assets in a very short period of time and at low prices. Can be day-to-day withdrawals by liability holders are generally predictable. And are usually large withdrawals by liability holders can create liquidity
Examining the data for profitability shows a company is in a position to continue to do well in the future. Being a manufacturer of goods for other manufacturers is a good position to be in during economic lulls. By offering product to multiple manufacturers, we are not locked in to one product in one market that could be a potential liability due to market fluctuations. Comparing out debt to our assets shows that we are a financially flexible company that lenders will look favorably upon should we need to borrow money in the future. In conclusion, it would appear that Riordan Manufacturing is a dependable company with good financial strength and flexibility. This is a company that appears attractive to both lenders and investors, current or future.
The U.S. economy is currently experiencing its worst crisis since the Great Depression. The crisis started in the home mortgage market, especially the market for so-called “subprime” mortgages, and is now spreading beyond subprime to prime mortgages, commercial real estate, corporate junk bonds, and other forms of debt. Total losses of U.S. banks could reach as high as one-third of the total bank capital. The crisis has led to a sharp reduction in bank lending, which in turn is causing a severe recession in the U.S. economy.
The Group aspires to provide improved customer solutions, delivering sustainable shareholders returns and providing a ‘must have experience’ for its people. Financially, it is expected a further $75m will be invested into the Optimisation program throughout 2018 after the establishment stage, whilst the sustainable return on equity will increase by 10% and the ordinary dividend payout ratio will increase to 80% of cash earnings. Through succinct structure such goals can be reached, yet the external conditions of the insurance industry much be assessed for an accurate prediction of future financial earnings. Similarly affecting all competitors, the current low yet steady capital intensity (approximately 0.1 units per labour unit) and industry assistance offers an industry threat, whilst both technology/systems and revenue volatility is holding at a medium level, further affecting the 2016 financial year. Additionally, in the industry of insurance, a higher level of revenue volatility implies greater industry risk, thus holding the ability to affect long-term strategic decisions if high fluctuation was to take
A “SWOT analysis is a historically popular technique through which managers create a quick overview of a company’s strategic situation” (Pearce & Robinson, 2009, p3). SWOT is an acronym for Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats. This concept was incorporated as a diagnostic tool for many entrepreneurs to work on their business. It is important as a business owner to be able to analyze forces and trends that can affect a business. The owner of Sivalry Clothing Company will discuss several capacities of the business operations and forces and trends that the business will have to encounter. Such topics include: economic as well as legal and regulatory forces and trends, how well the organization adapts to change, and the supply chain operations of the organization. Also, identification of issues and opportunities that the company faces will be discussed.
"They have an excellent management team, an excellent strategy. They communicate well with shareholders. They hold themselves to a high degree of transparency. There are other company-specific things that they do well. They have very strong margins, returns and they seem very disciplined at maintaining those margins and returns. Generally speaking that should make for a good investment."
They also have the highest earnings per share at $4.97 and this help stimulate the company’s growth because more people will want to invest in the company. They have the highest debt to equity ratio at 325% and this means they are the riskiest investment out of the three because they borrow
4. Stay prepared for bad times with strong balance sheet, lots of cash and a stout fuel hedge.
"They have a well-respected management team. And they have a very simple story, which is important. They make it easy for everybody to understand what the drivers of the stock are. And how they expect their plan to work in terms of the forward view, where they see the company going, what the different inputs are, those are all well thought out and easily understood by investors."
Even though the company face lots of litigation and product diversification risk, the overall business risk is still low based on the price elasticity, inelastic consumer demand of the product. Also, the UST has introduced products in the price value market and sale their products in high price, which raise the value and demand in the market. Since the company has a steady demand and dominant market position and brand name with regard to their core business, the UST has a low business risk.
The outlook for growth is risky considering this company is very volatile, but if corrections are made to better the industry (i.e. expand
The purpose of the review is to inform the reader about the possible dangers geopolitical risks might have on the financial industry when the industry does not look after them. I was intrigued by this dark side of modern communication and the effect it has on the safety of the banking sector.
In terms of strengths, the company has the advantage of being the market leader, although
The long-term liquidity risk ratio such as LT debt/Equity, D/E, and Total Liabilities to Total Assets all show a decline from year 2005 due to the repayment of debts. The interest coverage ratio also shows a healthy number of 29.45 in comparison to the industrial average of 15.04 indicating a high ability to pay out its interest expense. Such a low relative risk is not surprising due to the nature of its business depending heavily in R&D development and large intangible assets.