Open Market Rate : The Fed's Target Rate

The interest rates are expected to reach 7.0% by June, the most severally effected by these constant raises are shareholders. Because of these immediate effects market economists are largely against the interest rate hikes. Their position is that the average inflation rate over the past three years has been at around 2% close to the markets expected inflation rate of 1.9%. The economy is on a sixteen year run, continually moving forward. The historical data is there however; the consumer price index was at 1.6% over the past twelve months and the March year over year rate was at 3.7%

Akram: The fed decreased the interest rate by increasing the buying of bonds. From 2008 to 2014 the fed increased spending from 900

The last time the Fed raised interest rates (to 5.25%) was in 2006. This move was soon reversed as the 8 trillion dollar housing market bust sparked the global financial crises. About 8.7 million jobs (about 6%) were lost, unemployment rose to about 10% nationally leaving many households with less to spend and higher debt.

Although business leaders may not have a crystal ball to help them plan for the future, they do have access to a wide range of Federal Reserve publications that can help identify recent and current trends and what these economists believe will take place in the coming months. Given the lingering effects of the Great Recession of 2008 on the American economy today, identifying the future economic outlook for America using this type of freely available information therefore represents a timely and valuable enterprise. To this end, this paper provides a review of relevant publications to identify the Federal Reserve's current assessment of economic activity and financial markets, its current view about inflation and various monetary tools that have been used to stabilize the economic and prices in recent years. Finally, an analysis of the economic outlook for the next 12- to 18-month period is followed by a summary of the research and important findings in the conclusion.

During the Federal Reserve meeting in April 2016, the range was left unchanged for federal funds at 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent (TRADING ECONOMICS, 2016). Labor markets experience growth confirmed by policy makers, yet economic activity was monitored as being slow (TRADING ECONOMICS, 2016). The risks associated with the financial developments of the country have ceased (TRADING ECONOMICS, 2016). The average percentage of interest rate in the U.S. averaged at 5.8. March of 1980 a record high was recorded at 20% (TRADING ECONOMICS, 2016). The lowest interest rates were recorded in the month of December 2008 at 0.25% (TRADING ECONOMICS, 2016).

Prices change because of the economy. Inflation is represented as a rise in the general price level. For example, prices of many goods and services such as housing, apparel, food, transportation, and fuel must be increasing in order for inflation to occur in the overall economy. If prices of just a few types of goods or services are growing, there isn’t necessarily inflation. Demand-Pull Inflation and Cost-Push In  cause an increase in the overall price level within an economy.  The Federal Reserve carried an informal inflation goal over a long period, only making its policy official in January of 2012, when it announced that it thought a policy which targets a 2% rate of inflation "is most consistent over the longer run with the Federal Reserve's statutory

The United States inflation rates are a problem, if the government were to control them then the United States would flourish from a “B+” economy to a “A” economy. In the United States (September, 2015) consumer prices went up 1.5%,

The discussion of whether the Federal Reserve should raise the federal funds rate is a highly contentious one. Members of the Federal Reserve (“Fed”) and academic economists disagree about what constitutes appropriate future macroeconomic policy for the Unites States. In the past, the Fed had been able to raise rates when the unemployment rate was under 5% and inflation was at a target of 2%. Enigmatically, since the Great Recession and despite a strengthening economy, year-over-year total inflation since 2008 has averaged only 1.4%—as measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (“PCE”). Today, PCE inflation is at 1-1.5% and has continuously undershot the Fed’s inflation target of 2% three years in a row. (Evan 2015) In the six years since the bottom of the Great Recession the U.S. economy has made great strides in lowering the published unemployment rate from about 10% back down to about 5.5%. In light of this data, certain individuals believe that the Federal Reserve should move to increase the federal funds rate in 2015 because unemployment is near 5% and inflation should bounce back on its own (Derby 2015). However, this recommendation is misguided.

The Federal Reserve System can also be referred to Federal Reserve or simply the FED. The Federal Reserve System is the central banking system of the United States. The Federal Reserve System was created over 100 years ago in December 23 of 1913. The Federal Reserve System was created in response to a series of financial panics particularly the panic of 1907. The panic of 1907 showed the need for central control of the monetary system if crises are to be avoided. Many events such as the Great Depression and the Great Recession led to the expansion of the role and responsibility of the Federal Reserve System. The U.S Congress established three key objectives for monetary policy in the Federal Reserve Act. The three key objectives for the monetary

There is a breakeven point, at which interest rates slow growth to the point of economic downturn. It is estimated that this breakeven point is around 2.75% (Reuters). If interest rates rose above this level, investment and borrowing would slow dramatically causing stagnation in the economy. However, rates must be raised enough to counter inflation and also enough to provide a mechanism for getting out of a recession. If rates are already low, then they cannot be lowered to help bring our economy out of a future recession. In essence, the rates must be raised high enough so that the fed can then lower them during a recession, but not so high that our economy comes to a

A good regulation should be able to be flexible. For instance, when the economy is safe and flourishing, the regulation should be more relaxed and have decreased barriers for banks in terms of the minimum requirement for capital reserves. And when the economy is floundering, a stricter approach should be used. For example, the minimum requirements for requirement for capital reserves should be increased.

The early to mid-eighties presented a challenge to the fed. A combination of falling oil prices and the Federal Reserve 's control of the money supply, helped to slow down an inflation that had been largely out of control in the previous decade. By the mid-eighties, the economy had bounced back and the United States was entering into one of the longest periods of consistent and sustainable economic growth since the second world war. Along with this growth, the annual inflation rate did not exceed 5%.

The Federal Reserve went into action in response to the 2008 recession by rapidly reducing interest rates with the hopes of encouraging economic growth. The federal funds target rate was decreased to between zero and .25 percent. The results of the rate changes caused what is called “zero bound”, this reduced the effectiveness of monetary policy with the near non-existence of interest rates.

The unemployment rate in the United States has improved dramatically over the last two years, from a high of 8.3% in July 2012, to a low of 6.6% in January 2014. In October of 2012, the civilian labor force increased from 578,000 to 155.6 million, labor force participation increased up to 63.8%, and total employment overall rose by 410,000! Since then, the unemployment rate has been falling at a stable rate due to a political push from Washington DC and new employment initiatives. The inflation rate over the last 2 years has been relatively stably, with a few major increases and decreases in 2012 and 2013. It reached a high of 2.3% in June of 2012, and reached a low of 1.0% at the end of 2013. The federal interest rate has remained at a constant .25% over the past few years.

Monetary policy effects the GDP inflation. “Between 1996 and 2000, real GDP in the United States expanded briskly and the price level rose only slowly. The economy experienced neither significant unemployment nor inflation. Some observes felt that the United States had entered a “new ear” in which business cycle was dead. But that wishful thinking came to an end in March 2001, when the economy entered its ninth recession since 1950. Since 1970, real GDP has declined in the United States in five periods: 1973-1975, 1980, 1981-1982, 1990-1991 and