To: Michael Campbell, General Manager, Phuket Beach Hotel
From: Albert, Andy, Becca, Chris, & Derek Consulting
Date: June 14, 2011
Re: Valuation of Potential Karaoke Pub Projects
Thank you for retaining AaBCD Consulting in the valuation of your future capital improvement project. There are two mutually exclusive capital improvement projects under consideration: lease under-utilized space to an unrelated third party, Planet Karaoke Pub, or invest greater capital to open and manage your own nightclub, Beach Karaoke Pub. Using the predominant valuation methods, we have analyzed the relevant quantitative and qualitative data over their useful lives. In our assessment, we discuss the strengths and weaknesses of each approach as well
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However, both metrics (PI and AvgROI), result in conclusions contrary to both the calculated Payback Period and Discounted Payback Period.
Net Present Value and Internal Rate of Return
Both NPV and IRR consider all cash flows, the time-value of money, risk, and unlike the previous metrics, whether the investment will add value to the firm. Yet, IRR is unreliable when there are non-conventional cash flows and mutually exclusive projects. NPV measures profitability in absolute terms, whereas IRR measures it in relative terms. Total dollars earned is what matters; therefore, NPV, not IRR, should be used for choosing among competing, mutually exclusive projects. Our calculations of NPV and IRR for Beach yield 2,641,320 baht and 52.5%, respectively, and for Planet yield 850,233 baht and 55.5%, respectively. Clearly, Beach has a much higher NPV than Planet, which contradicts both the IRR and AvgROI findings that suggest Planet is more profitable. Yet, all of the aforementioned valuation techniques fail to account for mutually exclusive projects that have different useful lives; hence, we must find an alternative that does take this into consideration.
NPV and EAV (3)
The standard Net Present Value (NPV) measure is not useful in evaluating these two projects because they have different useful lives: four years for Planet Karaoke and six years for Beach Karaoke. NPV
10. What is the net present value (NPV) of a long-term investment project? Describe how managers use NPVs when evaluating capital budget proposals.
NPV analysis uses future cash flows to estimate the value that a project could add to a firm’s shareholders. A company director or shareholders can be clearly provided the present value of a long-term project by this approach. By estimating a project’s NPV, we can see whether the project is profitable. Despite NPV analysis is only based on financial aspects and it ignore non-financial information such as brand loyalty, brand goodwill and other intangible assets, NPV analysis is still the most popular way evaluate a project by companies.
Finally, in order to complete a more accurate comparison between the two projects, we utilized the EANPV as the deciding factor. Under current accepted financial practice, NPV is generally considered the most accurate method of predicting the performance of a potential project. The duration of the projects is different, one lasts four years and one lasts six years. To account for the variation in time frames for the projects and to further refine our selection we calculated the EANPV to compare performance on a yearly basis.
The relatively well posed project with promises of great future pay offs must be examined closely nevertheless to determine its true profitability. As such, the Super Project’s NPV must be calculated, however before we proceed we must acknowledge the relevant cash flows. The project incurred an expense of testing the market. This expense, however, must not be included in our cash flow analysis because it can be considered a sunk cost. This expense is required for ‘taking a temperature’ of the market and will not be recovered. Other sources of cash flow include:
2. Net Present Value – Secondly, Peter needs to investigate the Net Present Value (NPV) of each project scenario, i.e. job type, gross margin, and # new diamonds drills purchased. The NPV will measure the variance of the present value of cash outflow (drilling equipment investment) versus the future value of cash inflows (future profits), at the benchmark hurdle rate of 20%. A positive NPV associated with the investment means that the investment should be undertaken as it exceeds the minimum rate of return. A higher NPV determines which project scenario will have the highest return on cash flow, hence determining the most profitable investment in terms of present money value.
Evaluating the risks, calculating the probability of success, and factoring in the projected profit from sales will provide a clearer NPV to be compared with other projects in the
Similarly, Karaoke Beach Pub ranked first in terms of IRR and NPV. Evaluation using IRR might have multiple values and assumes that interim cash flows can be reinvested at the IRR, which may not be as accurate as desired. Using NPV for project evaluations can show actual economic gain with respect to the time value of money. However, it is not appropriate for comparing projects with different lifetimes. Thus, the four criteria are still not sufficient to arrive at a conclusion.
As the November Meeting approaches, CFO Doug Scovanner is faced with the problem of choosing which of the five controversial projects available to accept. Our task is to assume this role and evaluate each of the projects based upon two major criteria. The first is determining the firm’s financial motives by quantifying the projected value added to the firm and the risk associated with each project. When determining to accept or reject projects based upon adding value, the most helpful instruments we have are Net Present Value (NPV) and the
Account for time. Time is money. We prefer to receive cash sooner rather than later. Use net present value as a technique to summarize the quantitative attractiveness of the project. Quite simply, NPV can be interpreted as the amount by which the market
Net Present Value (NPV) calculates the sum of discounted future cash flows and subtracting that amount with the initial investment of the project. If the NPV of a project results in a positive number, the project should be undertaken. It is the most widely used method of capital budgeting. While discount rate used in NPV is typically the organization’s WACC, higher risk projects would not be factored in into the calculation. In this case, higher discount rate should be used. An example of this is when the project to be undertaken happens to be an international project where the country risk is high. Therefore, NPV is usually used to determine if a project will add value to the company. Another disadvantage of NPV method is that it is fairly complex compared to the other methods discussed earlier.
In the case of Worldwide Paper Company we performed calculations to decide whether they should accept a new project or not. We calculated their net income and their cash flows for this project (See Table 1.6 and 1.5). We computed WPC’s weighted average cost of capital as 9.87%. We then used the cash flows to calculate the company’s NPV. We first calculated the NPV by using the 15% discount rate; by using that number we calculated a negative NPV of $2,162,760. We determined that the discount rate of 15% was out dated and insufficient. To calculate a more accurate NPV for the project, we decided to use the rate of 9.87% that we computed. Using this number we got the NPV of $577,069. With the NPV of $577,069 our conclusion is to accept this
The four measures were net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), the payback period and increases in earnings per share (EPS). Other strategic factors must be considered that are not reflected in the financial tests. James Fawn and his ICG analyst team must decide which project is the best value for the short-term and the long-term. Utilizing these financial hurdles and contemplating other strategic factors, Victoria Chemicals will choose the project that will give the firm the most value.
The use of an accounting rate of return also underscores a project 's true future profitability because returns are calculated from accounting statements that list items at book or historical values and are, thus, backward-looking. According to the ARR, cash flows are positive due to the way the return has been tabulated with regard to returns on funds employed. The Payback Period technique also reflects that the project is positive and that initial expenses will be retrieved in approximately 7 years. However, the Payback method treats all cash flows as if they are received in the same period, i.e. cash flows in period 2 are treated the same as cash flows received in period 8. Clearly, it ignores the time value of money and is not the best method employed. Conversely, the IRR and NPV methods reflect that The Super Project is unattractive. IRR calculated is less then the 10% cost of capital (tax tabulated was 48%). NPV calculations were also negative. We accept the NPV method as the optimal capital budgeting technique and use its outcome to provide the overall evidence for our final decision on The Super Project. In this case IRR provided the same rejection result; therefore, it too proved its usefulness. Despite that, IRR is not the most favorable method because it can provide false results in the case where multiple negative
There are several traditional methods that can be used in appraising investment decisions. For instance, the net present value method (NPV) which entails estimating the costs and revenues of a project and discounting these figures to get their present values. Projects with the biggest positive net present value are the ones chosen as they represent the best stream of benefits of investing in the project over and above recovering the cost of initiating the projects. The discount rate is another method which is similar to the net present value method but reflects more on the time preference. This approach may focus on the opportunity cost of
1. Introduction 2. Analysis of current position 3. Analysis of new project 3.1 Methodologies and processes of Valuation 3.2 processes of Valuation 4. Conclusion