Probability in Everyday Life and in The Game Industry

Reality Bytes: Eight Myths About Video Games Debunked by Henry Jenkins is stating that the public’s perceptions of video games are not close to the reality of what the research is actually showing. There are many misconceptions about video games that range from video games being a boys only club to blaming youth violence on the types of games children are allowed to play. Jenkins tries to show that eight of these myths are actually that, myths.

In the article, Elaine Young talks about the concept of probability. This concept correlates to CCSS.Math.Content.7.SP.C.5 “Understand that the probability of a chance event is a number between 0 and 1 that expresses the likelihood of the event occurring. Larger numbers indicate greater likelihood. A probability near 0 indicates an unlikely event, a probability around 1/2 indicates an event that is neither unlikely nor likely, and a probability near 1 indicates a likely event.” In the article, a third grade teacher, Mrs. Alvarado, enforce this concept through literature arts. She read the book, Dear Mr. Blue, out loud then have a class discussion over the probability of a whale living in one of the character’s backyard pond. Afterwards, the teacher introduces the probability terms such as impossible, unlikely, equally, likely, unlikely, or certain. Another activity that enforces this standard is when the third grade teacher have students post appropriate vocabulary words on a line chart. CCSS.Math.Content.7.SP.C.6 “Approximate the probability of a chance event by collecting data on the chance process that produces it and observing its long-run relative frequency, and predict the approximate relative frequency given the

When a state of probability remains undetermined, we often feel compelled to define it. We desire certainty, so we obtain it through whichever way we see fit, even when it is unattainable or harmful to do so. When we imagine

The Game of Lottery As mentioned before, the most popular form of lottery is the methed of random number selection. In the American lottery, a player first picks five different whole numbers between 1 and 59. Upon calculation, there are 5,006,386 combinations that could be made from the availability of these numeral combinations. After the player has chosen their five numbers, they pick another, final number that is between 1 and 35 - the powerball. A list of the combinations would look like (1, 2, 3, 4, 5), (1, 2, 3, 4, 6) and so on all the way up to (55, 56, 57, 58, 59). Thus, in calculating a player's chance

Knaus (2013, pp. 3-80) advise that educators need to use open ended questions to trigger children’s thinking and reasoning whilst introducing language around mathematics for children to discern and make the connection between mathematical concepts and the world around. Macmillan (2009, p. 156) also suggest that educators questioning should be challenging but not threatening and does not inhibit children’s curiosity. In the EYMCT question relating to probability “Which mathematical statement is true?” I understood the mathematical probability of events occurring from the words likely and possible. As an educator in my early year’s classroom to encourage my students in using the correct vocabulary, I would have a daily weather chart where children can place visual picture representing the weather of the day underneath the words “today is” and depending on the weather forecast I would use questions such as “Is it likely to rain today?” or “Will it be impossible to see the sun today?” and children can place a visual picture of sun, cloud, rain or umbrella in the column with their deduction possible, impossible or likely and unlikely. Reys, Lindquist, Lambdin, Smith, Rogers, Falle, Frid and Bennett (2012, p. 450) inform that probability is best learnt informally by using an array of example and activities that describe the concept and educator will use the language appropriate to probability which will help children understand the concept of probability and this will enrich their vocabulary of probability. In all mathematical areas the use of appropriate language is needed, not having this ability and knowing the mathematical concept of probability, I would not be able to formulate the appropriate questions which will also prevent the integration of other leading maths strand and other learning areas of the

When we notice random coincidences, we may forget that they are random and instead see them as correlated. We can easily deceive ourselves by seeing what is not there.

Ans: the random variable is being used in statistics and probability most of the time. This is also called stochastic or aleatory variable as his has an ability of making its values vary according to the subject or according to the chance that occur. A random variable has the ability of taking a set of different kind of values that also have the different value with the value associated with it.

Cook County was having more patients than it could handle complaining about chest pain. Also, determining if the pain could be a heart attack was a very inefficient and a long process with too much information. So they streamlined the process, mainly considering 4 things which were the EGG, fluid in lungs, systolic pressure, and unstable angina. The results were more accurate and saved time. This showed that, sometimes with too much information, there is too much of the complicaticated information and an answer can’t be reached and with less information a correct answer can be reached quickly.

Problem Set 1 is to be completed by 11:59 p.m. (ET) on Monday of Module/Week 2.

Chance is a very interesting concept. The belief things happen unknowingly and by mere luck. In the play chance is over shadowed by fate, a pre-determined destiny. A prime example of

When I think of the lottery, I think of a game basically where they choose one number and something or something gets chosen.

center with the pool tables and a line of arcades in front of me. At least nine to twelve players are gathered around 2 gaming arcade machines in front of me. The two main popular ones that are of interest would be the Street Fighter 3rd Strike and the Marvel vs Capcom 2 machines. The gamers are heavily immerse in watching the players and cheering them on. I am observing four players playing on two separate machines. The two players who are on MVC2 are wearing both hooded jackets and baggy jeans with tennis shoes. It seems they were here for quite a while. Backpacks are off to the side of the machines or lying around randomly near them on the ground and some

The Gambler's fallacy, also known as the Monte Carlo fallacy (because its most famous example happened in a Monte Carlo Casino in 1913)[1] . Also referred to as the fallacy of the maturity of chances, which is the belief that if deviations from expected behaviour are observed in repeated independent trials of some random process, future deviations in the opposite direction are then more likely. For example, if a fair coin is tossed repeatedly and tails comes up a larger number of times than is expected, a gambler may incorrectly believe that this means that heads is more likely in future tosses.[2] . Such an expectation could be mistakenly referred to as being due, and it probably arises from

When discussing probability, a text of my previous reading came to mind. Within the lecture Physics II, much of Aristotle’s work is concerned with providing a definition for various events and subjects, and as such, identifying the types of causes for each event is an important step in accomplishing this goal. Aristotle specifically investigates the role of luck and chance as causes of change. Although we commonly speak of luck or chance as being a cause, Aristotle purposefully refrains from including them in his explanation of causes. When giving an account of our observable world, I agree with Aristotle in that there is no place for luck and chance as causes of events, yet I believe they do have a role, namely in predicting future events.

Objective probability refers to the long-run relative frequency of an event based on the assumption of an infinite number of observations and no change in the underlying conditions. Subjective probability is the individual’s personal estimate of the chance of loss.