Essay on RMB Revaluation

For the last twenty eight years, China has been quickly growing into one of the largest economies in the world. China has accomplished this feat, in part, by radically changing their policies on trade and free market interactions with other countries. During this process, China has bought approximately one hundred trillion dollars of United States debt in the form of Treasury bills, notes, bonds, and Inflation Protected Securities (Amadeo). This debt has given China leverage against the United States which has enabled China to keep the value of the United States dollar high, while keeping the value of the Chinese yuan low. As the inflation of the dollar continues to negatively affect the

In conclusion, I think that China should change its policy because it is damaging not only the U.S. economy but the economy globally. Countries such as the United States are still recovering from the economic recession we are still leaving in. It is obvious that if China let the Yuan appreciate their exports will decrease and imports will increase making their trade surplus to decrease. If this happens international countries will be grateful because by this happening means that their export will increase and employment will increase. Countries should avoid doing currency manipulation or artificially devaluing their currency because it just hurts the global economy and it promotes other countries to do the same – it hurts everyone.

Which goes back on how the dollar is back up. Another deal that countries see is that they can also exchange the Yuan which they have, to the federal banks of China into gold since their money is control in a gold standard economy.

The change in the exchange rate policy to move to a more flexible floating exchange rate system will inevitably compromise China’s current advantageous position in trading especially the export which takes a heavy weight in China’s GDP. The appreciation of RMB will deprive the Chinese enterprises of the advantage to leverage the cheap materials and labor to compete in the international market. This might be a positive indication for China’s importers who has a focus on the domestic markets rather than the international market, where the importers’ purchasing power gets enhanced if the domestic currency appreciate. However, China is still heavily relying on export to grow their GDP at this point and a revaluation of RMB would be very dangerous for the country. Thousands of factories counting on exports might be closed and millions of workers would lose their jobs. As pointed out by Morgan Stanley Economist Andy Xie in the case, “China’s priority is stability and currency flexibility should not be allowed to conflict with this goal”. On the flip side though, a revaluation of the RMB would not necessarily change the current situation of US and EU who had a large trade deficit with China. The reduced imports from China are unlikely to stimulate the growth of the domestic productions of those

Australia has experienced an impressive economic boom in recent years on the back of selling natural resources, including coal and iron ore, to its Asian neighbours, and China accounts for more than a quarter of its exports. So weakness in the Chinese economy is bad news for Australia. Research by consultancy Oxford Economics last week, which modelled the impact of a 10% Chinese devaluation, accompanied by a sharp slowdown, suggested other hard-hit countries could include Brazil, Russia, Chile and Korea. If Beijing allows the yuan to decline further in coming months, it could increase trade tensions, or even a “currency war”, in which the world’s big trading blocs face off in a beggar-thy-neighbour battle to seize the largest possible share

The U.S. trade deficit has risen more or less steadily since 1992. In the second quarter of 2004, the trade deficit relative to GDP surpassed the 5 percent mark for the first time. Many economists already considered trade deficits above 4 percent of GDP dangerously high. The fear is that continued growth in this external imbalance of the U.S. economy will ultimately spook overseas investors. http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2004/09/b193700.html

China, the largest growing market in the world, currently has a policy regarding monetary regulation that allows the Yuan to “float”. This has seen the Yuan appreciate by approximately 24% over the past few years. Today, the exchange rate between the Chinese Yuan and the American Dollar is approximately 6.3 Yuan to 1 Dollar. Some argue that China should revalue the Yuan again the dollar, establishing a more fixed exchange rate. Others believe that current should allow

China has pegged its currency against the U.S. dollar. If demand for dollars decreases (THERE IS PRESSURE FOR THE U.S. DOLLAR TO DEPRECIATE. IN THIS SETTING, CHINA HAS TO PURCHASE

As well as this, China is now a massive exporter of cheap consumer goods keeping global consumer goods prices down. (Razeem.S.2007) Which in theory is a great thing for a country so bound on trade with other nations. Through this China has In consequence effectively become an ally of U.S. and Southeast Asian promotion of freer trade and investment (WILLIAM H. OVERHOLT (2005)

In fact since 2005 amid pressure from the United States the yuan has risen 23% in value against the dollar. Analysts believe that the yuan will depreciate as much as one percent this year not because of government manipulation, but because of slowed economic growth which has decreased China’s trade surpluses. (Law, 2012)

It is important to understand the Chinese Yuan 's prediction and impacts since this second world leading economy can influence global economic issues through changes in its currency’s value. In order to forecast the future of Renminbi, it is essential to understand the past and current issues that affect its value. Throughout the essay, the definition of Chinese exchange rate will meant by the value of the Renminbi against the US dollar.There are many factors that could affect the value of the Chinese Yuan, but mostly through the power of the regulatory system. This essay will explain the Chinese monetary and fiscal policies that China has recently used with the description of how these regulations could determine its exchange rate within the short-term. Furthermore, this essay will wrap up with a discussion of ideas and thoughts about the prediction of the Renminbi in the long-run after the exciting news of being included in the reserve currency basket in late 2015.

The appreciation of the RMB issue has attracted attention of various circles at home and abroad. By analyzing the current RMB exchange rate appreciation on China’s economic impact at all levels, I will mainly from the industrial structure, export structure, and enterprises to change their operational mechanism, to ease trade tensions and the effectiveness of monetary policy five-pronged approach to analysis; and my final conclusion: RMB exchange-rate appreciation generated by the final result is more positive than negative, impact is positive. In the current context of the appreciation has become a fact, china should actively take the appropriate follow-up measures to stabilize and optimize the economic environment, to minimize possible

In recent years, China’s balance of payments always keeps “double favorable balance”. In 2005, China’s national economy developed quickly and stably. The exchange rat of RMB became more flexible. The current account surplus increased obviously and the capital account surplus decreased. The foreign exchange reserve still increased quickly. In 2005, Chinese government did some fiscal policy and monetary policy. Such as decreased government expense, raise the tax rate, used managed floating system, improve the foreign exchange management, enlarged the foreign exchange market. We can conclude that china’s BOP will still keep “double favorable balance” and keep

With China's deepening Opening Up and economic restructure adjustment and the continuous appreciation of RMB in recent years, the

The US and Europe felt that the RMB was undervalued for several reasons. One reason is that China’s exports had dramatically increased, growing 30% from 2004 to 2005, making China the third largest exporter in the world and accounting for