Role Of Economics On Political Change

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I also used interpolation to impute missing data for many of my independent variables. Interpolation can reduce the ability of an independent variable to explain a dependent variable by reducing the movement of the dependent variable (Allison 2001). Interpolation is comparable to replacing the actual data with a trend. You don’t expect the trend to explain short-term movements in the dependent variable as well as the actual data. Future Research The findings of this study produce puzzling conclusions. Moving forward, researchers should look at the role of economics on political change in the South at a more local level. A mixed methods approach is most appropriate for this future research because it would allow for interviews with local party leaders to guide the statistical analyses. Also, most people are citizens of a community and less so citizens of a state, so those people should be better able to notice the economic change on a community level instead of a state level. One particular problem with doing research at the county level is that often data is not available at the county level. Some of these issues are solved using multilevel modeling, but a statistical “fix” does not cure the absence of data. One of the interesting findings of this project concerned the role of turnout in affecting party strength. There are several ways forward. For example, it is possible that turnout drove changes outside of the South. This seems unlikely because the South had such anemic
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