Role Of The Business Cycle Dating Committee Of The National Bureau Of Economic Research

19. When the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) says that a recession is over, what are they saying? B

Another important factor to consider when starting a business is the “business cycle.” The business cycle is the fluctuations in economic activity that an economy will experience over a period of time. We have experience may business cycles in the United States. We refer to them as expansions and recessions. In an expansions, the economic outlook is good and growth happens, without inflation. Recessions are when the economy is shrinking and the determination factors for a recession include unemployment, low industry production, decrease sales and lower incomes. Since 1854, The United States has experienced 33

The world has encountered two major economic slumps since World War I. The Great Depression was the longest financial crisis witnessed by the modern world. It started at around October 29th, 1929 and lasted up to the beginning of the Second World War in 1939 (Temin 301). The great depression was by far the worst and longest economic crisis ever recorded in modern history, until towards the end of 2007. The next economic crisis that would be comparable to the Great Depression occurred in the late 2000s, precisely between December 2007 and June 2009 (Roberts 1). It would be popularly referred to as the Great Recession. The Great Depression and the Great Recession were undoubtedly similar in multiple ways. This paper aims at comparing these two great economic crises by highlighting their similarities. This paper answers the question ‘How similar were the failures of the financial markets during the great depression

The Depression was a gruesome time where people had worked relentlessly to survive. Unemployment today is as severe as it was in the 1930s, the unemployment rate of today is nowhere near the unemployment of the Great Depression. A pair of economists with the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas created report called “A Historical Look at the Labor Market During Recessions”. The report is a graph of the WWII Recession, showing that the unemployment rate of a few years ago has past the unemployment rate of the WWII Recession. In 2008 the authors wrote the Unemployment Rate, it’s a report that describes the recessions of the past to the years of 2006 to 2011. The most of the recessions are above or near the average, but the highest recession is the Great Depression.

In this report, the Great Recession and the current economic down turn in the United States will be discussed. This report will cover the definition of both a recession and depression, and how these two differ from one another. The report will then detail two significant factors that were involved in the formation of the Great Recession. Finally, the report will discuss the differences and similarities between the Great Recession and other recessions that have taken place in recent U.S. history.

Ever since September 11, 2001, the vitality of America’s economy has never been the same. Aside from America already going through a recession since, the attacks by Islamic terrorists on American soil had escalated the situation in one of the worst ways possible. The purpose of this paper will highlight the issues regarding America’s recession and its overall impact on the economy.

An economic recession occurs when the economy is suffering, and unemployment is on a rise. A drop in the stock market and a decrease in the housing market will also affect the economy due to a recession. Higher interest rates affect the economy constrain liquidly or the cash available to invest in stocks and businesses. Inflation alludes to the rise in prices of goods and services which also puts a strain on the economy further adding to a recession. Businesses were lost and consumer spending dwindled the only category that remained safe was healthcare. The economic meaning of a recession is a decline in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) consisting of two consecutive quarters on a decline. If the economy is bad consumers are less likely to spend money on goods and service. The effects of a declining economy forced the government to create monetary

(Source: Read Up on the History of US Recessions." About.com News & Issues. N.p., n.d. Web)

Thus, America’s unnoticeable reliance on multiple factors of the economy, such as the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) revealed these two national and global economic events: The Great Depression and Great Recession. According to our readings, The Great Depression

The Great Recession, December 2007 through June2009 marks an unstable 18 months for the United States’ economy, that countless amounts of people won’t forget. The housing and bank markets during the recession were not recouping much money off loans and low interest rates, which cause both markets to nearly crash. This caused many Americans to lose their jobs and the unemployment rates to reach the highest numbers since the Great Depression. But ever since 2009, the economy has been an on slow but steady track up to being what it once was.

People are retiring later, adolescents are finding it difficult to get employed, and poverty rates are through the roof. Surely, these are not signs of a booming economy, but rather the opposite. Top notch economists have debated whether or not the American economy has improved over the years, but when one dives deep into research, he can see that the cornerstone of the United States’ economy is about to fail. Not only should the government take a step back from further disrupting the economy, but they should rather help find ways to grow it through producing goods in America and by supporting new businesses to decrease the unemployment rate. A team working for Goldman Sachs states that America is the best working economy in the world, but they didn’t do enough research. If the stock market is a success, it only shows big companies are doing well, not the new and smaller businesses. Furthermore, America should pay more attention to manufacturing goods in its own country in order to decrease the unemployment rate and help lower the amount of debt the United States owes.

The business cycle is a series of quantified ups and downs in economies across the world, similar to the manner in which humans breathe. A positive breath inward to bring oxygen to the lungs, a negative breath outward to push carbon dioxide out of the lungs, designed to keep the respiratory system at equilibrium. Without the outward breath, the inward breath would not occur. The business cycle works in the same manner ¬¬– expansions or “boom” periods acting as the breath inward, and contractions or “recessions” acting as the breath outward. Both are necessary for an economy to function, and one would not be able to exist without the other. This is the crux of the issue of recessions: they are a necessary occurrence, not an evil, in the context

The economic meaning of a recession is that the gross Domestic Product (GDP) has declined for two or more consecutive quarters. Unemployment rises, housing falls, stocks fall and the economy is in trouble. Whenever the government sees that the economy is entering a recession it is important for it to act. The U.S acted in two ways during the Great recession of 2008 through fiscal and monetary policies. Renaud Fillieule identifies that “ Monetary and credit expansions have been the main tools used by the U.S. government and central bank to try and recover economically from the Great Recession of 2008” (Fillieule r, Pg. 99 2016). These Keynesian policies are debatable among economist, none the less they were implemented and put the U.S on the road to recovery.

Recession cycles are thought to be a normal part of living in a world of inexact balances between supply and demand. What turns a usually mild and short recession or "ordinary" business cycle into an actual depression is a subject of debate and concern. Scholars have not agreed on the exact causes and their relative importance. The search for causes is closely connected to the question of how to avoid a future depression, and so the political and policy viewpoints of scholars are mixed into the analysis of historic events eight decades ago. The even larger question is whether it was largely a failure on the part of free markets or largely a failure on the part of government efforts to regulate interest rates, curtail widespread bank failures, and control the money supply. Those who believe in a large role for the state in the economy believe it was mostly a failure of the free markets and those who believe in free markets believe it was mostly a failure of government that compounded the problem.

Timing of the business cycle is not predictable, but its phases seem to be. Many economists site four phases—prosperity, liquidation, depression, and recovery. During a period of prosperity, a rise in production leads to increases in employment, wages, and profits. Obstacles then begin to obstruct further expansion. Production costs can increase, helping create a rise in prices, and