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Shifting Constellations Model

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It is clear from my understanding of Douglas Foyle’s “Public Opinion and Foreign Policy” article that two foreign policy terms that are of vital knowledge are Foyle’s Beliefs and Orientations and the Shifting Constellations model. Foyle’s Beliefs can be defined as the four belief systems politicians may align to in regards to the relationship between public support and the consideration for public input. Namely, these four systems are the Delegate, the Executor, the Pragmatist, and the Guardian. The Delegate considers both public input and overall support as necessary when conducting foreign policy. The Pragmatist agrees that support is important, though they may not consider input. The Executor takes input into account, but doesn’t value overall …show more content…

Finally, the Guardian doesn’t concern himself with either support or input from the public. The Shifting Constellations model, on the other hand, describes how public groups-such as think tanks and the media- apply pressure to the White House, Congress, and FPB as these three groups collaborate on decision making. As can be noted by the title of Foyle’s article, the Shifting Constellations model applies primarily to public opinion and the bureaucratic sector.

The article is a case study on President Eisenhower and Secretary of State John Dulles, and their pragmatic approach to foreign policy during the Formosan Offshore Islands Crisis. Both believed that it was necessary to “sell” policies to the public to garner support. Eisenhower referred to this as “advertising” in that the policies were “a good product to sell,” and that the administration needed to inform “the public of the excellence of that product.” Similar to the Almond-Lippmann consensus, Eisenhower felt that the “complex nature of foreign affairs and the information necessary to make a proper judgement rendered public opinion a poor guide for policy choice.” Dulles felt similarly, though he was more open to public input on long term goals, but not in day-to-day decisions. When the U.S government received word that Communist China had begun shelling on …show more content…

While the White House, Congress, and Foreign Policy Bureau are the main actors, public groups such as the media, think tanks, and interest groups are also important. This was apparent when Former Assistant Secretary of State for Public Affairs said that Dulles received analyses of “newspaper editorials, the columns of something like thirty columnists… letters by outstanding people to the editors, resolutions passed by national organizations, and the like.” This led him to believe that the “public would be divided if the U.S took aggressive action.” Eisenhower was afraid that the public would not respond well to yet another military campaign, considering the backlash from the Korean War. Eisenhower’s fear of a divided public over the Offshore Islands Crisis situation was only confirmed by a poll administered by the Gallup organization. It proved that the public was split on whether or not the U.S should provide aid in the first place, and was even more divided by the extent of which that aid would be applied. The president also received letters from those who wanted to voice their personal opinions on the issue. Eisenhower noted that the Quemoy “is not our ship,” a contribution which may have come from letters that asked, “what do we care what happens to those yellow people [sic] out there?” Once the U.N option was publicized, polls revealed that an “overwhelming majority”

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