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“Are Public Equity Markets in Poland in decline?”
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Executive Summary
This work analyze the development of the stock market in Poland, between 2000 to the current period. As an explanatory variable, it is used the annually number of IPOs. In fact, there is a positive relationship between the stock market index returns and the number of IPOs. This has been proved by many authors (Loughran et al., 1994; Ljungqvist, 1995; Rydqvist and Högholm, 1995; Rees, 1997). The IPO is a very complex process, and its success depends on a number of factors, some of which are beyond the company’s control. Even a very attractive offering
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However the recent trends are concerning, the number of IPOs is lower than at corresponding points in previous cycles suggesting that the overall trend in IPOs is downwards. This may be a particularly severe cyclical effect in response to the recession; on the other hand it may reflect a structural change. In the next section, possible explanations are outlined.
As there are various advantages of IPO such as access to capital and higher public profile, IPO decline is likely to negatively impact the economy as well as companies and investors. Even though causality is disputable, relationship between public equity markets and economic growth is positive according to many researches. Since IPO is a good means of employment creation, IPO decline is likely to negatively affect employment creation.
Considering the causes of IPO decline in Poland, the pension fund system needs to be reformed to be favourable to the public equity market to change the current state. Also in order to encourage market players to actively participate in the market, a stable and predictable policy needs to be established. Public opinions should be reflected and enough notice should be guaranteed in advance for the unavoidable reform.
Current state of the Polish and other CEE public equity markets
The statistic initial public offering (IPO) volumes in Poland and other the Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) during 2000 to 2012 can be provided by the table and
The equity market, although heavily depressed since 2007, provided a much needed safety valve to shift financing away from debt to equity, especially considering the underdeveloped
(1) According to the case, global IPO activity during the first quarter of 2012 fell to $14.3 billion, which was dramatically down from $46.6 billion during the first quarter of 2011. In addition, we can see in Exhibit 5 that IPO activity in US have dropped sharply since the second quarter of 2011. Number of deals dropped from 383 in the second quarter of 2011 to 157 in the first quarter of 2012.
As our point of view, though IPO will lead to short-term ups and downs of stock price, it will eventually reflect the real values of the company in the long run, consisting the stock price with its long-term performance.
Our data includes public companies that have passed the IPO stage because KLD MSCI data is only available for public companies. In order to control for a potential bias in our analyses due to the choice of receiving venture backing among IPO companies, we gather a comprehensive data on an initial sample of 12,010 IPOs from the period 1991-2015 from the Securities Data Company (SDC) database. Following previous researchers, we eliminate offerings (i) identified as unit offerings (ii) not involving common stock, (iii) of very small issues with offer size below 5 million dollars in order to eliminate penny stocks from our sample (Bradley, Cooney, Dolvin, and Jordan, 2005), and (v) for which SDC did not provide information required for our tests.
Initial public offering refers to the sell of new shares in the primary market for the first time to the general public. This research paper tries to explain the IPO, IPO methods and IPO pricing phenomena. This study has collected all those IPOs which are listed at National Stock Exchange during the study period January 2014 to November 2015. This study focuses on the IPOs price performance whether it is overpriced or underpriced. The IPOs price performance has been calculated by the IPOs post listing data. This study evaluates the IPOs risk and return performance by using three different measures as Sharpe’s, Treynor’s and Jensen’s Alpha measure. And also try to keep an eye on market index performance during the study period. In this study, the IPOs return has concluded that the IPOs are underpriced and three models have also showed the superior return performance of IPOs than the market index performance. The investors are earned profits from their rational IPO investing decision. Due to the overperformance of IPOs and risk return analysis, it is concluded that the IPOs investment is less risky than the benchmark performance in the study period.
I compile, through various mediums, information regarding initial public offerings, or IPO’s. The report includes areas such as defining an IPO, the performance of IPO’s, the current market for IPO’s, and the process of buying an IPO. Therefore, the feasibility report is directed at the retail or non-professional investor who may be engaged in purchasing IPO’s. I look to determine if the underlying facts create certainty that these instruments are profitable currently and in the long run. It appears through study that investors have increased their consumption of initial public offerings since the 2007-2008 financial crisis. Many investors believe purchasing IPO’s can create quick realized gains. However, it appears that the performance of these issues has lagged the broader market, which in my opinion should steal zeal from these risky investments. The figures throughout this report should indicate and reaffirm that not all IPOs, whether popular or unpopular, will benefit the professional or non-professional investor. It must be noted that not everything is the same in financial markets and results may vary significantly from this report in a single incident or sample study.
It seems as if making money in these issues is easier than buying stock in the secondary market. Unfortunately many "hot issues" of IPOs produce a big chunk of their gains on the first day of trading. And most individual investors are not fortunate enough to get in on the floor of a promising IPO. The most attractive IPO’s are offered to certain clients first, mainly institutions, such as other corporations and pension plans, and big individual investors. Therefore it might be a good idea to buy an IPO once they begin trading on the secondary market. It is possible that the IPO after it begins trading could potentially produce a return similar to that of the average performance recorded by some small-cap stocks. When a
In the beginning, there was no real stock market. However stock exchanges did take place in smaller groups and corporations. This all took place during the 1700's where stocks were already around for a long time before that but it wasn't really popular in the United States. Stocks originally started as auctions where traders called out names of companies and the shares available. There was a auction that took place and the shares went to the highest bidders.