2016
Coming out of a lackluster 2015, GDP growth slowed to 1.5%. Confidence of investors and consumers was unable to make significant gains as a result of the Presidential election and global uncertainty. The outcome of the 2016 election had a great affect on the US economy and the fiscal and monetary policies that could be put in place. Uncertainty over taxes, regulations, and trade following the election have led to a slowdown of growth.
Consumption and government spending both increased from the previous year. The big weaknesses for Real GDP growth came from business investment and exports decreasing from the previous period.
Consumption’s gains were based on trends continuing from 2015 including consumer confidence growing
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This shows that businesses are not confident about the state of the economy and are not investing. This leads to stagnating wages, job creation, and production, which lowers overall Real GDP.
Exports have been affected by global events. Most importantly, “Brexit” added to fears that the European Union is unstable and other countries may follow the UK and leave the union. The EU is a major trade partner of the US and China, which could disrupt global trade. Brexit has caused major volatility in global markets as well. This could trigger consumers to stop spending and save more. Brexit also hiked up the US dollar 6.3% against the British pound. This continues the trend from last year of low exports and revenues in the manufacturing sector further impeding profits and limiting their willingness to invest.
2016 monetary policy continued the trend from the previous year by keeping rates low and only increasing rates once during the year. The Fed raised rates to a range of 0.50-0.75% in December. Confidence in the economy is up and is anticipated to continue into 2017 with more frequent rate hikes.
The stock market was greatly affected by the election of President Donald Trump. The S&P 500 and DJIA both fell around 4% immediately following the election, however, the market quickly rebounded and all major indexes have recorded all-time highs. Financial sector stocks
The UK had recently emerged from the recession 2007-2009, the economy is now recovering. During the recession, many businesses had struggled to survive. The strategies that businesses had taken during recession may affect their long-term profits. For example, as people spend less during the recession, businesses try to reduce their costs and reduce prices in order to encourage customers to buy their product e.g. Primark, M&S etc and many businesses have also closed down branches in order to maintain their
Since the reform and opening up, the economy of China grows significantly, as an emerging economy, China's economy has made tremendous contributions to the global economy, and Renminbi has become one of the most important currency in the world. According to the survey conducted by China National Bureau of Statistics found that from 1979 to 2012, China has attained an annual average growth rate of 9.8% for its national economy, while the annual average growth of the world economy is only 2.8 % during the same period. In past 30 years, China's GDP surpassed Japan’s, China became the world 's second largest economy, in addition, the huge total volume of trade makes China become the world 's largest trading nation. The contribution of China’s
The health of the current U.S. economy appears to be growing gradually. The second quarter real GDP growth was 3.7% and the unemployment rate declined to 5.3%. The U.S Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to raise interest rates in the near future when it sees clear signs of strong economic growth and improvements in the job market.
According to Staff review of the Economic Situation for January 28-29, the economic growth rate picked up in the second half of 2013. There was a gradual increase in the total payroll employment and a decline in unemployment rate. Consumer price inflation was still performing poorly than expected, while longer-term inflation expectations remained stable.
The increase largely showed a positive contribution from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), nonresidential fixed investment, residential fixed investment, private inventory investment, state and local government spending, and exports. Current-dollar GDP increased 3.4 percent, or $589.8 billion, in 2015 to a level of $17,937.8 billion, compared with an increase of 4.1 percent, or $684.9 billion, in 2014. Real disposable personal income rose 3.4 percent over the past four quarters, a rapid pace. At the same time, real consumer spending rose only 2.6 percent. This difference indicates that consumers have tended to save a rising fraction of their income gains over the past year.
Therefore, to keep the minimum liquidity, banks will reduce its lending services to its customers. Both consumption and investment in the economy will be affected. GDP is the summation of government expenditure, consumption, investment, and the difference between export and import. If both consumption and investment are reduced, the GDP growth of an economy will be negatively affected. In fact, a study in 2011 shows that the GDP growth would be decreased by 0.05% to 0.15% on a medium-term basis.
Presidential elections and the economy have a very close relationship and they go together hand and hand. Usually when the economy is good and opinion of the government is positive, the incumbent or the party of the last president wins the election. People tend the lean towards why change a good thing.
From this graph, the Canadian economy has clearly experienced significant real growth since 2012. Even still, the quarterly growth of real GDP from 2013 to the present seems to be decreasing, from 1% in the first quarter of 2013 to just 0.2% in the most recent quarter. This indicates that, while the Canadian economy is recovering, there are
In the time period shown in the BEA release highlights document (2015, bea.gov), it is clear that real GDP increased 2.0 percent in the third quarter of 2015, according to the third estimate by the BEA. The document also states that the main driver of the increasing GDP is the rise in consumer spending on
• The rise and fall of GDP over a specific period of time is, in many cases, the number one indicator for how the economy is doing. Being the output of final goods and services, GDP works well with consumer confidence and provides a good idea as to the general health of the economy. By looking at Figure 1, we can see that GDP rose steeply after the 20008-2009 recession and has continued to remain strong with relatively little movement since 2010. In the most recent quarters, 2014 and 2015, GDP has declined a little, but the decline is in no way too drastic nor did it have any significant impact on the economy. This slight decline is more like GDP
In, 2% GDP Growth—Get Comfortable With It, the author, Sean Hanlon, explains that the slow growing GDP is misleading as a measure for a strong economy. The US gross domestic product or GDP advancement has been moving at a rate of 2% which is low in the midst of an economic recovery. This doesn’t mean that the economy is weak though because it isn’t. Hanlon argues that “accelerating technological advancements” are pushing the GDP downward.
In all recent elections, the economy has been a major topic for the candidates and public. This opportunity to pick our nation’s leader requires individuals to understand where their candidate feels the economy is headed and how they intend to correct it. GDP is a useful tool to determine, over time, the amount of growth in our economy. As changes occur in the GDP, they are reflected in the business cycle. The business cycle will have ups and downs, although the trend of GDP is typically upward. Without a measurement tool like real GDP, it would be difficult to determine output growth amounts affecting our nation’s decisions. Government policies can be put into place to help stimulate the economy; therefore, voters should consider economic platforms when choosing a presidential candidate to support. It is an exciting time in our nation with the upcoming presidential election and voters should work to understand basic economic terms to ensure they vote for the presidential candidate they believe will positively impact our
Our economy has gone down hill since Barack Obama stepped into office in the year of 2008. Our newly elected president, Donald J. Trump, has shown through his economic plan that he will bring back jobs and cut taxes drastically for everyone. In all, these major changes towards our economy will make America great
Americans have been bombarded by new worries in recent days with the war in Libya, unrest in much of the Middle East, and the seemingly endless series of catastrophes in Japan as reported by a recent Gallup poll measuring economic confidence. Added to that, there is a weak job market, increasing fuel prices, and fierce budget battles in Congress, obviously, it is clear the U.S. economy still faces
Business, consumers and employees are more weak to downturns in the economies of trading partners. For example, recession in the USA leads to decrease in demand for UK’s exports, leading to falling in export incomes, lower GDP and incomes, decrease in domestic demand and rising in unemployment.