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The Pros And Cons Of The Intelligence Cycle

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Now that the five steps of the Intelligence Cycle have been explored, the new Intelligence Division must be staffed with personnel. The following eight positions will be created with some having more than one person assigned: (1) Supervisor of the Intelligence Division, (2) Lead Analyst, (3) Analyst, (4) Researcher, (5) Geospatial, (6) Link Chart, (7) Liaison, and (8) Social Media Analyst. The supervisor is responsible for the overall division and reports directly to the Director of Emergency Management. Staffing the division with appropriate personality types posses a key aspect of this job. For example, a mixture of competitive “Reds,” caring “Yellows,” team-oriented “Blues,” and organized “Greens” must be included within the organization …show more content…

The advantages resulting from this incorporation are immeasurable. For example, during a major hurricane the Social Media Analyst can monitor information involving trapped survivors, areas needing water, damaged traffic lights, and damaged roads. Moreover, in major flooding situations, the geospatial personnel can provide real-time pictures of flood levels throughout the city. Thus, not only will this incorporation save lives, but it will also reduce the amount of property damage that otherwise would occur. The disadvantages of this incorporation are that existing personnel may feel threatened by the change, that others will argue that it is too expensive and not worth the monetary expenditure, and that some may feel it simply will not work better than the existing procedures. Another potential drawback is failure to avoid biases and mind traps. One example is the confirmation bias or primacy effect. This occurs when all evidence is examined in the context of confirming an existing belief. Unfortunately, this occurred in the Iraq WMD scenario whereby everyone thought the weapons already existed and ignored intelligence to the contrary. Another bias is group think. In this situation everyone feels that the majority is right, and no one wants to offer a

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