The Pros And Cons Of The Iran Deal

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It will likely be decades before the Iranian Deal can be properly evaluated. It will be judged on whether it succeeded in its aim of preventing a nuclear Iran, whether preventing that was worth possible losses to American interests in the Middle East anyhow, and whether a better solution to the threat of a nuclear Iran should have been pursued instead. Just as the Iraq War’s consequences are still unfolding and being evaluated, so it will be sometime before one can intelligently claim the Iran Deal was definitely good or not. But given the information we have, the Iran Deal should be passed, despite very legitimate criticisms of it. The New York Times quoted Nicholas Burns, who was undersecretary of state for George W. Bush, as saying “Of Course there are risks, and they have to be acknowledged” and that “the most convincing argument is that there is no better alternative out there.” [David E. Sanger and Michael R. Gordon, Future Risks of an Iran Deal] First there are arguments that JCPOA will not succeed in preventing a nuclear Iran. The same article…show more content…
The vast majority of muslims, including almost all in the militarily powerful and relatively politically stable (by Mid East standards) nations of Saudi Arabia and Turkey, are Sunni. To their east are Sunni Afghanistan and Pakistan. Though Iran will have more money and after 5 years more weapons to attempt at increased regional control through proxies such as Hezbollah and the Houthis, there is a definite limit to how much they can accomplish with this, as the other players in the field will push back. And the successes they do have are not necessarily going to cause greater chaos, or destabilization, than what the Middle East has been through for decades. ISIS is ravaging parts of Syria and Iraq, and the JCPOA may allow Iran to continue the turmoil much longer than it otherwise would be
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