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The Thucydides Trap Summary

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Mr. Allison first coined the phrase The Thucydides Trap, a trap where a rising power will inevitably challenge the ruling power that could most likely end in war. The Thucydides Trap is occurring in the 21st century between the US, the ruling power, and China, the rising power, who are getting increasingly more powerful on the international stage. War is most likely possible between the two powers, but past history shows that the US and China can get out of the trap through peaceful means.
The first evidence that the author uses to support his thesis is previous examples of the ruling power being challenged by the rising power. The first example that author uses is the rivalry between Athens and Sparta, which ended with the Peloponnesian war and with Sparta the victor. The war happened because Sparta and Athens had entangling alliances with other city states who went to war with each other and called the superpowers into the war. …show more content…

Even though previously they were on friendly terms, the UK felt threatened by Germany goal of having a powerful navy and sought allies in Europe to counteract Germany. The entangling alliances that UK and Germany made brought the whole world into WW1, which ended as the UK and its allies as the victors. Although 12 out of 16 examples of the Thucydides Trap ended in war, the chart in the article shows that it is possible to get out through peaceful means.
The second evidence to support his thesis is that the Chinese economy will overtake the US economy. The Chinese economy is rising significantly, its economy in 1980 was smaller than the Netherlands, while in 2014 the Chinese increment of growth of its GDP is equal to the entire Dutch economy. As shown in the GDP chart in the article, the Chinese GDP is growing significantly compared to the rest of the world and didn’t even stopped during the 2008 financial crisis and the Great

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