Trading Strategy

The first strategy attempted by the group involved timing trades based on daily market performance and expectations. Based on our predictions, shares were bought during the early hours of trading and by mid-day, the group had a good idea what would be kept until the next day of trading and what would be sold by close. This strategy made use of daily market news and reports to help predict short term changes; little attention was paid to long term potential as the group felt the timeframe the simulation take place in was too short. This strategy, while mildly successful, was not earning large enough gains for the group's portfolio. Many of our gains would be negated by the commission the simulator charged per trade. This strategy later evolved to include larger equity purchases on Fridays before the market closed for the weekend. These

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QE3 began in September of 2012 with a gross domestic product increasing by 4.5%, which is an impressive gain over the previous years of very little growth, GDP currently, has had a relatively steady increase over each quarter amounting to 3.9% for the most recent data. However, while GDP is of serious concern, inflation and unemployment rates have not been so easily persuaded. According the Bureau of Labor Statistics (1), in September 2013 unemployment was in a downswing but still resided at 7.2%, much higher than the Feds target rate of 5%. Currently unemployment is at 5.8% which is within the realm of the Fed’s goal. Inflation has

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Stock-Track Report Eugene Myslinsky - 208083420 For the past three months we have been participating in a Stock-Trak Simulation exercise to experience what it takes to trade in the stock market. In this report, we will explain which strategies I chose to follow, which investments were the most and least successful to my portfolio and lastly, what advice we would give those who are looking to trade with real money. Investment Strategy and Selection The strategy I employed for our Stock-Trak simulation was to diversify our portfolio among different sectors, various stocks with relatively low risk, and stocks which were positively/negatively

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As interest rates bottomed out quickly after the onset of the recession, the Federal Reserve could no longer stimulate the economy with traditional and time-tested techniques. The controversial and unconventional method chosen by the Federal Reserve, and other central banks around the world, is known as “quantitative easing” (QE). QE functions by injecting large amounts of reserve capital into commercial banks with the hope that those banks will then be willing to lend the money at affordable interest rates. Ideally, the addition to economic activity affected by the influx of capital to banks should keep the value of the dollar relatively low, avoiding deflation and encouraging foreign investment by those wishing to take advantage of an affordable dollar. The cheaper dollar should also make American exports look more attractive to potential consumers in other countries. If interest rates stay low, and banks begin lending again, consumer and investor confidence should hopefully rise, leading to more spending and thus, economic growth.

Further, our strategy involved paying attention to current events and attempting to use them to generate a return. For example, Horizon Pharmaceuticals’ stock price took a nosedive after an October 19th New York Times article suggested that Horizon was attempting to thwart Express Scripts’ attempts to lower the price of prescription drugs. The decision was made to buy 100 shares of stock in Horizon when its price spiraled down to a measly $14.62 per share, as we expected Horizon would do something to stop the bleeding, and historically has been a pretty volatile stock. Horizon came back with a scorching rebuttal in an open letter later that day, spiking its stock price more than 30% on October 23rd, and by October 28th, this move landed us our greatest return of any stock that we purchased and held until the end of the period: 18% (see appendix).

This report will be divided into six parts beginning with an introduction and ending with a conclusion.