What Does It Mean To Say Numbers Don T Lie People Do Essay

While the majority claim that taking a step to deport people is cruel and inconsistent with our legal value that undocumented immigrant strengthen our economy and country. Claim-makers use the polls because they offer feedback at the early stages in the process and to determine whether their claim is effective or not. Policymakers often base their decision on what the polls say. Public opinion overall there is little support to deport all those undocumented immigrants in the U.S. nonetheless survey in the past have found great support for building a barrier along the Mexican border and change the constitution. This form of public- opinion is often viewed as inaccurate because polls are formalized situation in which people know they are being solicited for analysis and this can affect what they are willing to

A vast amount of public opinion polling takes place during election cycles. These polls are studied by evaluating a sample of a population. Pollsters aim to study random sample of the population to gain a true understand of the public opinion. Unfortunately, pollsters often run into what is known as a sample bias. This is when a sample does not represent the public true opinion. Instead in sample bias only a fragment of the opinions is present. Though polls are subject to error, they do have the ability to echo the sentiments of the population. I believe this is both most effective and prevalent in exit polls. The important of exit polls as highlighted in the article “Exit polls and voter turnout” by Asger Lau Anderson and Thomas Jensen. In the article the authors suggest that exit polls drive voters to get involved. They state that “In relation to the debate on the implications of exit polls, the most important insight from our analysis is the following. It may well happen that the incentive to vote increases after the revelation of an exit poll.” By suggesting this, the authors relay the idea that exit polls are the way to truly gain an understanding of the public opinion.

Public opinion polls come in a wide-set of different subjects and are good examples of inductive arguments that are seen and used in our day to day lives to measure the public’s views regarding a particular topic or topics done so by taking a non-biased survey/questions. This is an excellent example of inductive arguments, because the person or party/entity conducting these surveys, is looking to validate their argument and assumptions, or to provide a guarantee of truth in the concluding result. However, it is not simply easy to rely on “experts” and believe that the data from these polls they collect, are completely accurate and are not skewed from their own biases. Since a survey is an inductive generalization, a sample is taken from the target population from which a conclusion is drawn regarding the entire population.Which makes these inductive arguments fall into two categories: either weak or strong.

Best starts out the chapter explaining how public opinion is measured, Best specifically uses public polling as a means to measure public opinion (166-167). Best mentions that a small amount of people in a specific population, known as a sample, have their opinions taken in a poll format. Those polls’ results are then used to generalize the whole population (167).

lies on cue. He lies for unfathomable reasons. He lies, and then he lies some more. Jay is a

_____ Referring to Question #10 above, which of the following best describes why you might be cautious in relying on these results? (A) The sample size is too small to make any reliable inference about the entire population. (B) Silly questions sometimes generate silly responses, not true opinions. (C) The respondents may not be a representative sample of any population of interest. (D) Newspapers tend to skew results to fit their own agenda.

To assume that something is correct because of popular opinion allows those with influence to manipulate our way of thinking if we do not do our own research. Over the past month, a huge argument between the President and the media has been about how many people were at the inauguration speech of President Obama in comparison to how many were at President Trump’s. It is as if both sides are trying to say who is right by saying who had more people. To think that one President is better because one had more support at the inauguration speech is ridiculous yet the argument received plenty of air time on both sides of the media and garnished a lot of attention from the White House. Apparently, this is a very important argument to be won though by the amount of attention it has received.

The Quinnipiac University poll was done during early September to test the waters before the first presidential debate between Clinton and Trump. The sample size was roughly 960, supposedly voters from across the nation with a margin of error of +- 3.2 which isn’t horrible. The numbers look fine and because it was a nationwide poll, the possibility of getting a fair and accurate cross section of views is fairly high, that being said there are a few issues with this poll that cause me to be concerned with the accuracy of this poll for many reasons.

Overall, The Marist Poll, has a respectable reputation. It was founded in 1978, and is considered the “first college based research center to include undergraduates in conducting survey research” (Marist 2017). Accordingly, Marist College places a strong emphasis on academic led-research. Several news networks such as CNN, FOX, and NBC have cited The Marist Poll in their articles. Additionally, FiveThirtyEight has given Marist College polling an “A” grade for its accuracy (Nate Silver 538). Marist does not have a history of partisan or ideological bias. However, as with any polling entity, their results should be analyzed assiduously.

Who was it that sat behind the computer screen and typed what would soon be published in your favorite newspaper? When you read anything in the newspaper you do not know much about the author of the article aside from his or her name. With such little knowledge, how can you discern whether you are being presented with an article that is in compliance to reality or rather a story that has been transformed because of an author’s biased attitudes? Take for example The Fourth Branch, a student run newspaper at Tennyson High School. Writers of the newspaper do not have any special certification or degree, rather they are journalist enthusiasts who write about a wide range of news articles.

Lies are something everyone tries to do, but no one can pull them off as well as Jay

The title of the article is a little misleading because the polls that are misleading are the ones that need to “stop the polling insanity.” Will they? No. So, the point of the article is that it is up to the individual reading the polls to assess

B) Following a good performance in Monday night’s debate, Hillary Clinton’s poll numbers have risen in a number of key states. First, in a poll taken in Florida after the debate by Mason-Dixon polling and research, Clinton held a 46 percent to 42 percent advantage over Donald Trump, which was significant given that a New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll had shown that the candidates were virtually even in the state prior to the debate. The article notes that Hillary’s lead is due largely to her strong support from women, Hispanics, and African Americans. Additionally, a recent WBUR poll shows Hillary holding a seven point lead over Donald in the state of New Hampshire, which is six points higher than a previous September poll done by NBC-Marist. In New Hampshire, the growing lead seems to be due to a large portion of voters believing that Hillary won the debate. Lastly, despite Donald Trump’s visits to the state, a recent survey conducted by The Detroit News shows that Clinton has a seven point lead over Trump in Michigan. Like New Hampshire, Hillary’s lead in Michigan is in part due to voters believing that she beat Trump in the debate. However, Trump also is hurt in Michigan by the majority of voters believing he is unqualified to serve as president and his meager support from African Americans.

The first difference between the two polls exists with regards to the question, “Do you think the U.S. government is doing enough or not doing enough to prevent a future terrorist attack on American soil?” (See Appendix A for graphic depiction). Overall, the respondents in my convenience poll were more diverse in their response choice, with the largest percentage being those who think the Unite States Government was doing enough at 46.43% and the lowest percent being those who are unsure at 25%. This is only a 21.43 point gap. Whereas the scientific poll showed a

This then leads into what is the sample size is too small and is not a great representation of the overall population. If the sample size is too small, it could lead to selection bias which is when the sample does a terrible job representing the actual ideologies of the population in that area. Push polling, which is asking questions in a way that gives the pollster the answer that is being sought out, is often another technique used to potentially skew the outcome. All of these are factors that could potentially be important when it comes to the outcome of the polls. Make sure to keep in mind that whenever a poll is taken there is always a way that someone/something can skew it to their