What Is The Likelihood Of A French Withdrawal From The EU?

“The blonde, blunt, predecessor of her father’s right-wing campaign,” Marine LePen, is challenged with the possibility of winning what might be considered Frances’s most heated presidential election yet. Voters should have two questions to ask: What is the probability that Marine LePen will be the next president of France, and should they vote for her?

It’s inevitable that one or more countries will eventually vote to leave the European Union. However, who will be the ones to do it is something that is harder to predict. It could be anyone from northern countries like Denmark and the Netherlands to strongly eurosceptic countries like France and Spain. Former leader of the U.K. independence party Nigel Farage is a strong believer in the domino effect and has said “other northern European countries will leave, starting with Denmark” (Stone 17). Obviously this isn’t just an overnight decision and many factors come into play when making this

There are very rare cases in with society can see eye-to-eye on every situation, thus arguments arise and two to three viewpoints are created. France is no exception, in Brain Jenkins’ schema Order versus Movement, Reaction versus Progress, Catholicism versus Anti-clericalism, Right versus Left he sheds light on how France may be homogeneous and fragmented. Two oppose groups are thus created, the Girondins and the Jacobins. There are many differences between the Girondins and the Jacobins as each group’s viewpoint clash. Both of their conflicting viewpoints are striving for for the same end goal: to secure and foster their nation. This notion has a correlation to present day United States of America with the Democratic and Republican parties;

In his book France in Crisis, Timothy B. Smith makes a compelling argument that the French state and society exacerbate the inequalities faced by women, immigrants and youth. The book is a thoughtful and in-depth analysis of the factors that lead to these phenomena. Smith draws upon elements of many disciplines to makes his case, including demography, sociology, economics and political science. This simply adds depth to the work.

Since this time, Marine Le Pen has embarked on a mission to revolutionize the party her father characterized as being hate filled and racist. In order to do this, she sacked most of her father’s closest allies as well as all members who held xenophobic or anti-Semitic views. It was important to her that she regain the support of the Jewish community in France because they are powerful and aid the legitimacy of the FN. Le Pen coined this her “de-demonization” strategy which she hoped would ease tensions between the FN and the French. Marine Le Pen launched a campaign to change the platform of the FN and redefine them as more than an anti-immigration party. In order to do this, she wrote a platform that presented the FN as a populist party. Aspects of this new platform include economic protectionism, a break from the EU, and a halt to immigration. In doing so, she has transitioned the image of the FN from a hateful party to one that is meant to preserve the national identity of France and end the decline in the quality of life for the citizens of France. This echoes many other far right parties as well as the rhetoric of president-elect Donald Trump. While the FN had been successful on a local scale, Marine Le Pen wanted the FN to be a serious contender for national political office. This shift in the FN’s image was necessary in order for Le Pen to change the FN from a party that was on the decline to one which has a serious chance of advancing into the second round of the upcoming presidential

The political infrastructure and status of European states has inspired discussion and sparked debate among political scientists for many years. However, no other state has inspired comparative research and analysis more than France’s political culture and the numerous attempts of French leaders to implement a stable and effective democracy. Although there had been a long tradition of republican politics in the country, Charles De Gaulle, the first elected president by means of popular vote, was successful in democratizing France. It is important to study the economic, societal, and political factors that led to the collapse

The National Front has chosen to remain highly eurosceptic and distrustful of European institutions, reinforcing the conclusion that any outside power undermines the notion of sovereignty (Marks and Steenbergen, 113). The pervasive nature of the European Union infringes on the nationalistic culture the National Front has persistently promoted. The “distinguishing qualities of what it means to be French would be lost in the process of integration” (Williams, 98). Despite the National Fronts staunch opposition towards political assimilation through European institutions, the party can (and does) promote policy through the European Parliament. The success of the party platforms stems from the National Front’s ability to take discernible social issues and form a clear solution through anti-immigration and eurosceptic

The people of France have endured many hardships as the result of several conflicting ideas being proposed about the National Assembly, our governing body, and its effectiveness in ruling our great nation. The people of France want structure, they want a sound government who will do right by them and will save them from starving with food and order.

The future of the United Kingdom has never been so uncertain. The British Prime Minister, David Cameron, is keeping the promise he made in 2015, to hold a referendum on whether or not the United Kingdom should remain a member of the European Union. The referendum will take hold on Thursday, 23rd of June of this year. But the results of the last opinion poll held on April 12th to 14th, show, that the British public is fairly evenly split, as 40% want to remain in the European Union and 39% want to leave. The members of the United Kingdom Independence party and other British keen to leave the Union, argue that the UK and its policy makers are being held back and manipulated by the EU, who make too many rules for business, immigration laws and charges billions of pounds a year in membership fees for little in return and undermining the British interests. However, the UK’s investment in the membership and acceptance of rules of the EU, gives the UK far more benefits by allowing it to grow academically, economically and ensures safety for all its citizens and is therefore better off staying a member of this peacemaking Union.

Britain’s vote to exit from the European Union, termed as “Brexit”, took the world by surprise as polls during the campaigns have shown that 80% of voters will vote to remain in the EU (Erlanger 2016). The Brexit was led by Justice Minister Michael Gove and former Mayor of London Borris Johnson. The main issues were in regards to the nation’s sovereignty and immigration. Proponents believed that the EU had changed its bureaucracy in the past few decades which diminished British sovereignty and influence. Brexit was also favorable to other nation’s parties who were anti Europe , for instance, the French National Front leader, Marine Le Pen (Erlanger, 2016). Opponents of Brexit argued to stay within the EU as it would allow countries of similar minds to have a stronger influence in the world and warned that it would be economically devastating if voters decided

The British voters have spoken on the June 23 referendum that they want their country out of the European Union. The leave side has prevailed with 52 percent voters supporting Brexit, or Britain 's exit, while the remain side getting 48 percent. Some of the political and economic impacts have been already felt in the United Kingdom and registered in Europe and across the world. The others will come as political and economic uncertainties continue.

Firstly, it must be established exactly why withdrawing from the EU would be a poor decision for the UK to make. This will be accomplished by critically assessing the main arguments for withdrawal in order to remove the gild that the public’s misinformed perception has coated these arguments in, which has led to recent polls finding that a “Vote today would see Britain exiting [the] EU” (Orb International, 2014, cited in Shipman, 2014).

France has a high level of economic development. The CIA World Factbook (2012) characterizes the French economy as "transitioning from an economy that featured extensive government ownership and intervention to one that relies more on market mechanisms" but cautions that the effects of the Eurozone crisis are dampening progress of the French economy. France has a GDP of $2.2 trillion, making it the 9th-largest economy in the world. The GDP per capita is around $35,000, which ranks 35th in the world, comparable with Japan and the United Kingdom, but trailing several other major industrialized nations including the US. France has a strong industrial sector but today is largely a 21st-century service economy.

Along with this, France has other concerns. This country has invested significant economic investments in Britain, and more than 160,000 French citizens now live on British territory. About 400 thousand British citizens live in France and may face the fact that they will lose their rights in the EU. Politically, France will not have a choice, and together with Germany and the other founding members of the EU, it will have to take the lead in the future functioning of the European Union after Brexit. The leader of the French "National Front", Marin Le Pen, said at the meeting of the right-wing politicians in Germany that patriotism is the policy of the future. Le Pen is convinced that the decision of the British to leave the European Union last year will provoke a domino effect throughout the European Union. She also criticized the migration policy of German Chancellor Angela Merkel, as a result of which millions of refugees found themselves in Europe. The leader of the French National Front, Marin Le Pen, admitted that she is ready to vote for secession from the European Union, because France has "a thousand times more reasons to leave the European community than the

Europe is walking on the steps of more progress, leading to the rise of living costs and the growth of its domestic markets and the emergence of a single currency rivaling the Dollar. Europe has become one of the strongest opinion opposing unions in the world.