When conducting the research for my survey, I will be studying the political preference of people in correlation to the political preference of the town they grew up in. For example, a person is more likely to be a Republican if they originate from a Republican-dominated town. The independent variable, the variable whose variation does not depend on the other, that will be studied is political preference of the participant: Republican, Democratic or Independent. A person’s political preference can have many conceptual definitions. It can mean the person lives a certain lifestyle, or they have views on policy and how the government should run. It can also determine stereotypical characters as about the person themselves. Moreover, the …show more content…
For example, “Please choose how strongly you agree with the statement: My parents imposed Republican values on me throughout my childhood. 1 = Extremely Disagree, 2 = Disagree, 3 = Neutral, 4 = Agree, 5 = Agree.”
The hypothesis of this study is people are more likely to be a specific political party depending on the majority of the political preference of the participant’s hometown. There is a positive relationship between the two variables of the person’s political preference and their hometown’s political preference. This type of research and survey has drawn a lot of attention from the media with the current 2016 Presidential Election between now-President Donald J. Trump and Senator Hillary Clinton. This election had a much stronger impact on the population of the United States both mentally and emotionally. Through general knowledge and evidence, the media made an abundant amount of traction on how numerous statisticians and pollers predicted Clinton to win the election by a landslide. In the end, they were wrong as Trump won the presidency. It is important to understanding how to determine if someone is a Republican or Democratic and their voting patterns to correctly predict future outcomes of elections. Similarly, I have predicted this proposed hypothesis based on the assumption that children gain traits like their parents. If parents impose political beliefs, it could affect the child and what they grow up to believe. Certain traits and
Family is the first and most important agent of political socialization. Mothers and fathers, or legal guardians, siblings and grandparents, as well as members of an extended family, all teach a child what he or she needs to know in order to function successfully within society including the political process. The family is a powerful influence because the structure of the family and the child wanting to please his or her parents encourage conformity not only to the parents ' basic life views and beliefs but also to their political values. In particular, children will often identify with the parents ' political party while those who don’t register usually support some of the views of the party which their parents favored or have no interest in politics typically because their parents didn’t show interest in politics. I
The author, V. O. Key, states the results of a survey that shows that voters tend to vote for people who vote for candidates that will help them financially. He also states that people tend to vote for a certain party’s candidate because of their ties to the party. Key then declares that one can predict a person’s vote based on their personality and attributes. Key also shows that although these behaviors show strangeness, the voters have great importance to politics. Key says that the voters’ behavior has importance as it helps candidates discover the nature of the voters’ interests to try gain an advantage. Finally, Key states that voters behave as well as possible, considering the possibilities of other
As society rapidly changes with an influx of new ideas and issues, studying the college educated and those who are not will help evaluate behaviors and attitudes towards the government, ultimately, clearing the way to adaption into a modern society that perhaps offer remedies of educational and voting discrepancies or even close the gaps between political ideology or identification. Hence, this paper proposes the research question: How does education level influence political party identification.
One interesting find is the theory that we are more susceptible to simple statements at a younger age. These are statements such as broad generalizations and talking points that we hear from people around us. Some examples of these could be “liberals only want to tax people” or “conservatives are very selfish”. Many college students admit that they learn a lot about politics from their families and the media. This has a lot to do where family members and media are located in the United States most of the time. Location is also another
From 1972 to 2004, Abramowitz points out that the correlation between ideology and party identification rose from .32 to .63 showing an increase over time from a more moderate stance to a more polarized one in the engaged electorate. In the 1984 to 2004 ANES, the least interested and least informed Americans were shown to be in the middle of the liberal-conservative spectrum, while the more informed and active constituents were more likely to be more polarized. From the 2006 Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES) data, Abramowitz states that even Independents leaned more liberal or conservative than weak Democrats or weak Republicans respectively. Again, nonvoters made up forty-one percent of the center of the distribution affirming that only the nonvoters are non-ideological and non-polarized. In regards to social groups, Abramowitz concluded that religious commitment mattered more than social status, but overall, voter’s ideological beliefs made a greater impact on party loyalty than being part of any social
Hypothesis: When surveyed on their political views, Wahlert high school students will side with a presidential candidate that has completely different views than them.
24. In the United States political ideology- B, is not a consistent predictor of voting
Political socialization often times begins during childhood; most parents do not consciously indoctrinate their children into partisanship, but they are nevertheless the main teachers of political attitudes. This early identification, according to Hershey, takes hold before children have much information as to what the parties
In this study, I’m focusing on the correlation of voters’ behaviors about the Liberal party of Canada in the 2015 election. The relationship between Justin Trudeau and the party and what effects to gain more votes, pros and cons, the strengths and the weaknesses among different group of the voters. I did comparisons between the main three Canadian parties (Liberal, Conservative, NDP) and did a research report to help to understand the correlates of their support. This research provides an overview of my study’s finding. I did a statistical analysis about the mean, median, standard deviation, the lower and upper mean, how males and females behave about the party, the income correlations, linear, nonlinear, monotonic and non-monotonic relationship, null and alternative hypothesis and many more.
In this survey I was looking at how people felt about concealed weapons. I wanted to take a look at some of their thoughts on who should be allowed to carry. How age affected there choices on this matter. Would sex and race have an effect on this? How housing could affect the answer. Whether or not income had a large effect on the results in the survey.
The 2016 election, viewed from the lens of partisanship, should not have elicit any surprises from individuals that is familiar with current American political science research. The results of the election only seemed surprising due to the multitude of polls that predicted that Hillary Clinton would win, based on thousands of simulations ran by pundits and pollsters. However, the underlying attitudes, namely partisanship, that drove voters to select Donald Trump as the 45th President of the United States, has been consistent throughout the two most recent election that did not feature an incumbent president. Although partisanship, defined by the unwillingness of voters to vote for the opposing candidate, has been highest in this recent election, it is not driven by extreme support for the partisan candidate, but rather extreme disdain and fear for the opposing candidate. Despite numerous events,
If we are correct with our hypotheses, then more the education, income and higher status of occupation a person has, the more likely they will be republican. Party identification tends to stay relatively stable over time, but our data set deals with a time period where the party realignment occurred. This led us to hypothesis that the party alignment would have a different affect on our previously proposed hypotheses. In order to understand the effects our variables on each other, we need to understand why the individual belongs to that party in the first place. These factors include the variables occupation, income and education. As mentioned above, they are important in an individual’s life situations.¬
148). In essence, every voter has some political beliefs and values that often influence the way he or she views political parties, candidates, and ideals. Some conservative people tend to vote to Republican, while some people tend to vote Democratic. Voters have their own political attitudes, and these attitudes determine how society goes, whom they are voting for, and what kind of political parties they are supporting. Many elements have the ability to contribute the political attitudes, such as family, gender, education, income, religion, age, race, and etc. According to Ginsberg et al., the first place where people start forming their beliefs on politics is their families and society (148). This idea explains the reason some areas in the U.S. have more Democratic representatives while others have the majority of their residents being Republicans. The fact that most people possess these ideals means that in the event that the candidates in a ballot do not have the qualities that a particular group of voters is looking for, these voters will not partake in voting. When the impact of race in political socialization is factored in, it becomes increasingly evident that some people of one race are unlikely to spend their time voting for a candidate who does not represent their beliefs pertaining to racial issues. For instance, African Americans’ perception of the extent of racism is different from that of whites. This has a significant bearing on the motivation of voters from each divide to participate in an election (Ginsberg et al.
For the interviews, the purpose was to find expert opinions and conclusions to why the student voter turnout is so low. To find these experts, the research team conducted two interviews with two different political club organizations on Ball State’s campus. The research team requested a representative from each group that could provide an expert opinion that could aid in determining the answer for the research question. The first organization was College Democrats and the other was College Republicans. The research team thought it would be best if they got opinions from both sides of the political spectrum to see if there were any difference in opinions. The last interview was conducted with a Political Science professor from Ball State’s campus. The research team determined that the opinion of this professor could be key in determining the research question because of the professor’s profound knowledge in political
The data obtained for this project has been gathered from the American National Election Studies, better known for short as “ANES.” Before continuing it is best to give some background information of the American National Election Studies, and why they are a reliable source for information. From the ANES website, they explain, “The mission of the American National Election Studies is to inform explanations of election outcomes by providing data that support rich hypothesis testing, maximize methodological excellence, measure many variables, and promote comparisons across people, contexts, and time” (ANES). ANES is a reliable source for data because it is used by many other social scientists. Many experiments conducted by other researchers have relied solely on the data from the American National Election Studies. The data source that is being used throughout this paper, are results from the American National Election Studies data file for 2012 (ANES, 2012). The ANES is an academic survey and a reputable source, which allows for investigation into how variables such as income, race and education has an impact on party identification.