Where Does Turnout Decline Come From?

1327 WordsOct 30, 20146 Pages
Where does turnout decline come from? ANDRE BLAIS, ELISABETH GIDENGIL, NEIL NEVITTE & RICHARD NADEAU Background Blais 2000 and Gray & Caul 2000 said that in the most recent democracies the number of people who use their voice in election is declining. As what the journal claimed, this is also occurred in Canada. The journal reported that the turnout in small period of elections tends to decline slightly by only three per cent, and this is claimed important. Based on that, this research was trying to investigate the causes of the decline using data from the Canada election conducted from 1968 to 2000. The researchers concentrated in age and education factor as classic socio-demographic factors that associated with voting. In addition,…show more content…
In the education factor, it is claimed that the fact happened in Canada, the decrease in turnout has occurred most significantly among the better educated who may have gotten to be more inclined to refrain from time to time. This result is surprising as we know that people with better education have higher willingness to vote that those with lower education. The research tries to find why did this happen, and seek any other factors that affects. Data Based on the journal, here are some points they used: Resource : Canadian Election Studies (CES) Details : Nine years elections 1968 1974 1979 1980 1984 1988 1993 1997 2000 *No election study for 1972 election because it is missing Data set : 25,000 individuals (about 3,000 per survey) Dependent variable : Reported vote in the post-election survey Independent variable : Age and Education The journal also mentions some problem in the research, they are: 1. Over-estimated voting Based on Blais & Young 1999 and Granberg & Holmberg 1992, the individuals who are more intrigued by political issues and more slanted to vote are more inclined to answer surveys, and to some degree (on account of board studies in which individuals are talked with in the campaign and re-questioned after the decision) in light of the fact that taking part in a race study makes individuals more slanted to vote. 2. Some misreporting due to social desirability Based on Brady et al (1995:292), social desirability
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